I think Lantana's earlier post had plenty of wisdom
Ultimately the NRL WOULD kill League for sure if they said "f^%k the budget lets expand" and it FAILED. I'd rather have League than no League and all of you would too, you can't have a sport without money and the clubs can't survive without the NRL giving it to them (ok maybe 3 can but what's a 3 team comp??)
Let's assume for a moment that the NRL DID make a decision in the best interests of the game being that they said they need to:
1 see how much cash they can garner from their next TV deals, their MAJOR source of revenue
2 See how existing clubs survive... the NRL would look like stupid @ssholes if a foundation club failed as they expanded. I'd rather F%ck all expansion plans than lose my team
I think this decision certainly has the existing NRL at heart to a large degree, only a fool would build on a foundation of sand, but I'm sure that it will:
1. encourage Gay-Union and AFL to expand into LEague's promised lands
2. Make expansion much harder in future as League interest wanes
I'm certainly not re-assured in any pro-NRL argument on this matter that the NRL did in fact take League's best long term interests in hand in that while they may ensure the status-quo survives they also shoot the great expansion plans e.g. CC and GC down in flames
Perhaps League can survive as a pidgeon holed 'brief stretch of the east coast of Australia' and 'Northern England' only sport, and it seems that's what the NRL leadership will take the game too, but is it really the BEST option for LEague
My heart (not my brain) says the NRL should have:
Taken into account an expected windfall in future TV deals then got investment/ loan/ whatever, money that amounts to a modest amount of that likely future income then SPENT, SPENT, SPENT. NOW, NOW, NOW
If the NRL had the guts to expand into GC/ CC/ Wellington and push marketing at Melbourne, League would be #1 on the East coast of Australia with AFL (outside of VIC) , and Union put in their respective places
With the eventual windfall of FTA TV moneys NRL could bolster their 18 team comp and consolidate before re-introducing the WA and SA areas in 10-15 years.
Anyway only the NRL can know the true state of their finances #-o we can only speculate if they are gutless, money grubbing cretins or belt-tightening stiff-upper lippers :|