As I said what a club offers Foran today is not "market" for a player of his ilk. The value of a marquee player is pretty well known. He may well be slightly damaged goods, what what he brings to a team in capability and potential to produce the goods on the field in 2017 has not halved in the past 5 months.
No but what happened in the past five months is that the overs (as in, over market price) we were forced to pay (uncleverly hidden in TPAs) for him was included in our cap by the NRL. It is this value, which is far more than market value, that you are comparing Foran's new contract value with. It's a false comparison. Far more reflective of the market (then and now) is what we initially decided to pay under our cap, which I suggest is much closer to what the Warriors want to pay.
I think your view of his market value (even when we negotiated with him in 2015) is tainted by the massive overs he was assessed at after the NRL made their judgement against us. Indeed, if he was still on our books at the amount minus TPAs I daresay we wouldn't have let him go.
Hence why I am sticking to my guns about what his true value is. I will concede that (save his busted shoulder) he may have missed a few games for the Eels this year because of his "off field" issues, but really when he did play he was mostly producing 75%+ efforts and am sure that BA would attest to that.
Plenty of players go through slumps during the year. DCE had his own issues as did Milford. That does not mean that their market value has reduced. Foran trained and played through his issues but was sadly interrupted by his shoulder injury. I do not think that his playing ability suffered even though he had demons. There was certainly no evidence of his contribution to the team was effected. Was there ?
No but there is now the issue of his confirmed mental illness and history of unavailability and off field issues due to that. Plus his involvement in a criminal investigation. Foran is still a massive risk of being unable to play through all or even any of 2017. And while the Warriors can protect themselves somewhat through contract clauses, the fact is that having a large chunk of your cap freed up after the season has started isn't necessarily helpful. Even when players come available they probably won't be the ones you want or need to replace a starting half.