the phantom menace
Coach
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Well, some component of the ALP 2-party preferred vote at the last election was truly down to how on the nose Scomo's Lib government had become to the vast population. But that doesn't indicate died in the wool Labor values held among those "swinging" voters that change their mind at any given election and effectively decide the result.Because honestly I cannot comprehend how someone would have the mentality to vote Labor or Green (and other left leaning, but preference Labor) at the last election, and then less than 18 months later even remotely consider voting No on this issue. It makes no ideological sense to me. Like seriously, WTF goes through these peoples minds when they're considering who to vote for that they can do this?
I don't think there's a correlation between the last (federal or state) election vote and this referendum's voting intentions - because in many people's minds they're two different things entirely (which they may not spend much time thinking or finding out about).
No, I think any "extreme left" No votes are dwindling in number by the minute, and folding into Yes votes.I'm lost with what made these No voters now preference Labor ahead of LNP in the first place.
It cant just primarily previously be just a hatred of ScoMo, or a super love affair with McGowan in WA.
Are there that many super lefties/Greens who don't think it goes far enough so vote No? Surely not.
I think you're trying to equate apples with oranges. If Albo had gone to the election promising he'd legislate the Voice into existence in government, I suspect the current No voters would have steered well clear. But Albo didn't promise that, he just promised that there'd be a referendum for people to have their say... and here we (including any dumb, easily influenced by corporate media, and slightly racists among us) are!