Projected semi final results if we used the AFL system

[Loudstrat]

Yes, this is theoretical. There are flaws in the system. Yes, you may want to whinge. Yes, you can probably do one better.,

This is a hypothetical. I'm trying to see what would happen if we used the AFL finals series instead of the Mac, as lots of people would rather copy theirs than trust ours.

So, I've warmed up the spreadsheet. I've taken the average per game for and against for each club. I've taken their first semi final results under the mac - and calculated their difference. I've compared the differences between teams as they would line up in the AFL system, and gotten a projected score.

See how it pans out over the finals.

Also use it as a discussion point about the pros and cons of each system

Here goes.

WEEK 1. Home teams first

Melbourne 19, Sydney 14

Manly 24, Cronulla 12

Brisbane 24, New Zealand 26

Canberra 12, St George 0

Manly and Melbourne to prelim final.

Brisbane and St George eliminated.

Next week:
Sydney v New Zealand at SFS

Cronulla v Canberra at Shark Park

 

[Eels Dude]

That's complete speculation, what's the point????

 

[leaguelover4]

Great post

 

[TheBourbonBeast]

I like pie

 

[Brutus]

It's not the AFL system, it's the original ARL system

 

[Azkatro]

Melbourne lost to 8th place at home, for f**k's sake. What makes you think they would have beaten 4th? :lol:

 

[no name]

Canberra 12, St George 0

:lol: Drugs are bad.

 

[mxlegend99]

Melbourne lost to 8th place at home, for f**k's sake. What makes you think they would have beaten 4th? :lol:

Storm don't struggle against any team like they do the Warriors.

Of all the teams in the top 8, i think only the Warriors, Sea Eagles and Broncos could have beaten the Storm.

 

[Brutus]

I like pie

Hair pie

 

[Ghoulies]

Storm don't struggle against any team like they do the Warriors.

Of all the teams in the top 8, i think only the Warriors, Sea Eagles and Broncos could have beaten the Storm.

The Roosters have beaten the Storm in 2 of their past 3 encounters IIRC. I'd say that's as good of a record as anyone.

 

[Tonearm Terrorwrist]

Storm don't struggle against any team like they do the Warriors.

Of all the teams in the top 8, i think only the Warriors, Sea Eagles and Broncos could have beaten the Storm.

we beat them in round 3 infact we beat them last year as well ... 2 out of 3 recently ain't bad is it ?

 

[simostorm]

I prefer the week 1 and 2 matchups that the Mac system has produced compared to the AFL one.

 

[Azkatro]

Bloody hell, on one hand it's "the NRL is too predictable", yet here we are trying to decipher a finals system that molly-coddles the top two teams through to the grand final as much as possible?

More weight as far as I'm concerned for my argument that the finals should be scrapped and an end-of-season cup held in its place. Finals are unpredictable, the season proper should not dictate what happens!

 

[RL1908]

It's not the AFL system, it's the original ARL system

Spot on - used for the ARL comp in 1995 (when Bulldogs won from 6th place) and in 1996.

In 1997 the ARL used a 7 team play-offs, and the first NRL comp (1998) was a 10 teams play-offs - where the Bulldogs came from a 8th v 9th semi-final to reach the Grand Final. In 1999 the current Top 8 McIntyre sytsem was implemented.

The AFL didn't invent anything. In 2000 the AFL adopted the ARL system of 1995-96.