I think QLD still have the better backline. They have more proven Origin players and experience then we do. We only have one proven Origin player in our backline.
Billy Slater - Best fullback over the past few years
Darius Boyd - Great fullback and a good winger, is a proven performer for QLD and despite not playing wing at club level, is the most experienced rep winger in either team
Wille Tonga - Despite not being a likely choice for a full strength QLD side, IMO he has been in better form then Greg Inglis and deserved his spot regardless of injury. He has plenty of experience and is a proven performer for QLD
Dane Nielson - The only genuine weakness in the backline IMO. He's a rookie and nowhere near Inglis or Hodges level. But he's a good player and this unlikely shot at a QLD jersey could inspire him to take his game to a whole new level. I remember a fairly unknown Adam Mogg looking like a superstar not all that long ago when he received a similar opportunity.
Jharal Yow-Yeh - His edge as a winger was his combination with Hodges, but he's still a good solid winger with an Australian test behind him where he beat out some very experienced players and others who were in great form.
Josh Dugan - Would have rated him right up there near Billy Slater toward the start of the year. But I don't think he has been anywhere near his best in the regular season and his constant injuries have held him back. I think he selection was a huge gamble... I just hope he's fully fit and ready to play like he did for the All Stars.
Brett Morris - Good club winger and has looked good in strong Australian sides. But in his 3 Origin matches so far has looked out of his depth. IMO he's the worst of the wingers from either side.
Michael Jennings - Similar to Brett Morris. Good club centre (in poor form though) and has looked great for Australia. But so far in Origin is yet to play well.
Mark Gasnier - Our only proven Origin performer. He's the best centre playing tonight and hopefully he's fully fit and ready to go.
Akuila Uate - Despite being a rookie I rate his chances at stepping up tonight as much higher then Brett Morris. I think he and Gasnier will be a handful. That said he's still the least experienced winger playing tonight and it's hard to tell how he'll handle the occasion.