You could have faith in them winning in Melbourne. Not sure West Coast deserve that respect.
I certainly do agree that Collingwood seem to have the smell of Geelong 07 about them though - Window wide open with no one appearing to be quite on that level.
In fairness though, Adelaide's win against Carlton was its first win in Melbourne in 16 attempts and the Crows were touched-up by the Hawks at the MCG in Round 3. I think we need to see more of West Coast with Josh Kennedy in the line-up, as I think they're missing him a lot.
Yes, I don't want to give the impression that Collingwood are past the post. In all honesty I thought they were better things at this corresponding stage last season. As things stand, however, they offer the best mix of experience (in terms of getting up in big matches) and form.
The references to 2007 are apt, although I think there's less of a gap (or will be by season's end) between the Pies and the other contenders this year, than there was between Geelong and the rest then.
In overall terms, 2007 is probably the weakest season I've seen.