Cleary will tap half his players on the shoulder as will the Gold Coast and Brisbane. There will be plenty to go around.
Possibly.
But do you want their discards? Are they going to be, mentally and even in terms of ability, any better than the merkins we already have?
Gutho and Moses we should definitely re-sign. Right now the best options elsewhere in their positions are Michael fking Gordon at fullback (unless you count DWZ and I reckon he's worse than Gutho) and Sam Williams or Te Maire Martin in the halves (presuming Cronk retires given he's 342 years old).
I'd re-sign Alvaro. He's cheap and works his nuts off. Hang on to Mannah and Ma'u for cheap if we could, and obviously keep young Stefano and Niukore. Guys like Stone, Moeroa, and the two Jennings can earn something, but not immediate keepers.
That basically means we let go of 10-14 players.
Then have a look at gys like Tui Kamicamica, Christian Welch, Agnatius Paasi, Tevita Tatola, Blake Lawrie, Sitili Tupounia, Corey Oates. We'd still need to manufacture a deal or keep Mennings to get a centre though because the off contract list is dross
It's not great pickings. And I don't think you can hope for blokes to be tapped on the shoulder. You need to have a side, and keep some wiggle room if blokes do get tapped.
The core of the squad is pretty good. It's just muppets like Takairangi and Terepo, and a few blokes who have dropped off a cliff. It doesn't happen overnight