Every season needs to be judged on its own merits though. It’s not an 11 year continuum with an inevitable premiership at the end. Each year we have had a chance of winning the comp ranging from zero to whatever. We’ll never know what our chances were so we can pretend they’ve always been zero, and always will under this coach, but I think that would be an incorrect assessment.
Wayne Bennett hasn’t won anything since 2010, which is a longer drought than Brad Arthur. Would Bennett have inevitably won a premiership if he had spent the past 12 years at the Knights? I seriously doubt it. He might’ve won but it’s not inevitable just by piling on extra years. With more luck he could’ve won in 2013, which might’ve been their best chance in the last decade even if Bennett had been there the entire time. Likewise we could’ve won in 2020, ‘21 or ‘22 with more luck.
I think it’s likely that the board understands that premierships are ultimately a matter of probability and randomness. Bennett might’ve won a premiership over the past 14 years with more luck, and Arthur might’ve won in the past four years, also with more luck. The club was a f**kfight prior to 2019 though, so those years shouldn’t count against Brad Arthur. His results since that time have been far superior to his pre-2019 results. He might as well have been coaching at two different clubs.