Run Home Predictions

[hindy111]

Our last 6 games against top 8 sides is 2 wins and 4 losses.
One win was against 12 men Penrith missing their origin halves and centre. And the Roosters who by memory had no Keary,JWH or Radley. Also lost Butcher early.
Both those games we failed to score in the 2nd half.

I am sceptical about both those wins. Had Roosters been full strength and Penrith I dont see us winning. Its easy to chalk up those wins and beat our chests but reality is both missed 3 of their top shelf players. I agree we where on top against Penrith for the first 15mins but with 65mins to go it ridiculous to say we had already won the game prior to Cleary being sent.

And sure we did against Souths have no Moses. Huge out. But it isn't like he is a great defender. They piled on the points.

I feel we are all living in that Storm and Penrith win earlier in the season. They where excellent wins but a very long time ago.

So what happens now? Last year it was about now we clicked into gear. Is history about to repeat itself?

 

[King-Gutho94]

If Moses is back this week I think we settle down have a genuine chance at winning the last 3 games, but I still don’t think that will be enough to get us into the top 4 now.

I’ve got us finishing 5th and playing the broncos in first week of finals, panthers second week, sharks third week, Souths in the GF if we make it that far. We won’t be winning that GF though if that’s how it pans out.

Panthers
Sharks
Cowboys
Rabbits
Eels
Storm
Roosters
Broncos

Depends if Brisbane beat Melbourne this week then Top 4 is back on the table if we win our last 3.

But the problem is we haven't shown any sign we can perform for more then 2 games straight all season how is that going to change in the last 7 weeks of the season.

 

[King-Gutho94]

Our last 6 games against top 8 sides is 2 wins and 4 losses.
One win was against 12 men Penrith missing their origin halves and centre. And the Roosters who by memory had no Keary,JWH or Radley. Also lost Butcher early.
Both those games we failed to score in the 2nd half.

I am sceptical about both those wins. Had Roosters been full strength and Penrith I dont see us winning. Its easy to chalk up those wins and beat our chests but reality is both missed 3 of their top shelf players. I agree we where on top against Penrith for the first 15mins but with 65mins to go it ridiculous to say we had already won the game prior to Cleary being sent.

And sure we did against Souths have no Moses. Huge out. But it isn't like he is a great defender. They piled on the points.

I feel we are all living in that Storm and Penrith win earlier in the season. They where excellent wins but a very long time ago.

So what happens now? Last year it was about now we clicked into gear. Is history about to repeat itself?

I wouldn't say we clicked we pulled out a great a performance against Melbourne on a 19 game winning streak who in hindsight were probably due for a loss.

And took Penrith to the wire.

Newcastle win was good enough but I wouldn't call it great.

We played better against Penrith and lost a week later.

2 good games out of our last 9 games.

 

[hindy111]

I wouldn't say we clicked we pulled out a great a performance against Melbourne on a 19 game winning streak who in hindsight were probably due for a loss.

And took Penrith to the wire.

Newcastle win was good enough but I wouldn't call it great.

We played better against Penrith and lost a week later.

2 good games out of our last 9 games.

Yes Knights pushed us. I remember not being able to watch the last 5mins. We couldn't put them away. I did a walk around the block.

 

[the phantom menace]

So after this round:

Penrith 38
NQ Cowboys 32 (+208)
CS Sharks 32 (+137) - points corrected, thanks @Ozzi_78
M Storm 30 (+211)
Souths 28 (+134)
Broncos 28 (+69)
Parra 28 (+28)
Roosters 26 (+121)
-
Raiders 24 (-29)


And maybe after next Round...:

Penrith 38 (loss to Souths?) - points corrected, thanks @Gary Gutful
NQ Cowboys 34 (win over NZ)
CS Sharks 34 (win at Manly)
M Storm 32 (win at Brisbane)
Souths 30 (win at Penrith?)
Parra 30 (win over Bulldogs)
Roosters 28 (win over Tigers)
Broncos 28 (loss to Storm)
-
Raiders 26 (win at Newcastle)


Come on Penrith next week!

 

[eels_fan]

Souths will demolish Penrith as they did us.

roosters v storm and vs rabbits are big games for the top 4 and 8. If they win both we have a good chance at top 4 if we win all 3 games left. Conversely roosters could lose both those games and miss the finals with the raiders winning their games

 

[Ozzi_78]

So after this round:

Penrith 38
NQ Cowboys 32 (+208)
M Storm 30 (+211)
CS Sharks 30 (+137)
Souths 28 (+134)
Broncos 28 (+69)
Parra 28 (+28)
Roosters 26 (+121)
-
Raiders 24 (-29)


And maybe after next Round...:

Penrith 40 (loss to Souths?)
NQ Cowboys 34 (win over NZ)
M Storm 32 (win at Brisbane)
CS Sharks 32 (win at Manly)
Souths 28 (win at Penrith?)
Parra 30 (win over Bulldogs)
Roosters 28 (win over Tigers)
Broncos 28 (loss to Storm)
-
Raiders 26 (win at Newcastle)


Come on Penrith next week!

Check sharks points mate.

 

[Stinkfinger]

Come on Penrith next week!

Panthers won't be able to put out a team to get near Souths and don't need to, they will likely rest players, take their lumps and welcome back players for the Warriors at home, which will wrap up the minor premiership. That is the only game of the last 3 they need to win.

 

[chiefy1]

Were going to be 8th at best.

 

[Poupou Escobar]

*worst

 

[the phantom menace]

Were going to be 8th at best.

We definitely look no chance of getting higher than 6th. And coming 7th or 8th is very much in play if we don't turn up again against Broncos (away), and/or in the final round against Storm (home).

 

[the phantom menace]

I reckon Storm will be 4 points clear in 4th place coming into the final round, so thankfully for us they'll likely rest a few players... meaning we should limp into 7th, staring at a sudden death final against Brisbane or Souths

 

[eels_fan]

I reckon Storm will be 4 points clear in 4th place coming into the final round, so thankfully for us they'll likely rest a few players... meaning we should limp into 7th, staring at a sudden death final against Brisbane or Souths

Storm will need to beat us for a top 4 spot, I don’t think there is any chance they are resting players. Not with Souths right on their tail

 

[Gary Gutful]

So after this round:

Penrith 38
NQ Cowboys 32 (+208)
CS Sharks 32 (+137) - points corrected, thanks @Ozzi_78
M Storm 30 (+211)
Souths 28 (+134)
Broncos 28 (+69)
Parra 28 (+28)
Roosters 26 (+121)
-
Raiders 24 (-29)


And maybe after next Round...:

Penrith 40 (loss to Souths?)
NQ Cowboys 34 (win over NZ)
CS Sharks 34 (win at Manly)
M Storm 32 (win at Brisbane)
Souths 30 (win at Penrith?)
Parra 30 (win over Bulldogs)
Roosters 28 (win over Tigers)
Broncos 28 (loss to Storm)
-
Raiders 26 (win at Newcastle)


Come on Penrith next week!

You have Souths and Penrith both getting 2 points next week.

 

[I'm a loser baby...]

That's because they're better than us.

 

[Gary Gutful]

 

[Chipmunk]

From my quick look at the predictor, the most simplest scenario is that if both us and Roosters win all our remaining games then we will run 4th guaranteed.

There are other scenarios, where Panthers beat Souths, but Roosters lose to Souths, then we'd also finish 4th.

Fairly unlike at this stage, but not impossible.

 

[the phantom menace]

Storm will need to beat us for a top 4 spot, I don’t think there is any chance they are resting players. Not with Souths right on their tail

If Storm beat Roosters, and Cowboys beat Souths at Townsville, then there's a 4 point break between Storm in 4th and whoever else in 5th going into the final round.

 

[the phantom menace]

I end up with:

Penrith 40
Cowboys 38
Sharks 38
Storm 34
Souths 32
Brisbane 32
Parra 32
Raiders 30
-
Roosters 28

 

[hindy111]

*worst

9th is possible we lose all 3 and Canberra win all 3

f**king rabbit. By a calculator