Season 2023: A Write-Off?

[Gary Gutful]

Easy to kick someone when they are down, but he was a hell of a player.

 

[the phantom menace]

^^ Who's Harold Moelzer, and I wonder how he feels about that now...?

 

[the phantom menace]

Easy to kick someone when they are down, but he was a hell of a player.

*down = twice convicted sexual assaulter
*player = show pony

 

[Gary Gutful]

^^ Who's Harold Moelzer, and I wonder how he feels about that now...?

Arrow thing doesnt work when it is on an earlier page.

 

[the phantom menace]

Well you shouldn't have posted your second pic of Hayne so quickly!

 

[Gary Gutful]

*down = twice convicted sexual assaulter
*player = show pony

He's a shit bag...albeit a lazy, insanely talented one. Biggest waste of a career I have seen.

 

[Gary Gutful]

Well you shouldn't have posted your second pic of Hayne so quickly!

Keep up, merkin.

 

[Legal Eel]

Are you sure he won't get worn out like Paulo and RCG?

An extra 20 minutes of footy once a week won't make anybody fit. If they haven't built their fitness base by the end of pre-season they need to do extra conditioning through the week.

Agreed, but big sluggish merkins like Greig are far more likely to struggle making repeat efforts without the ball.

Every post you make betrays your ignorance of the sport - you clearly never played, coached or administered the sport.

 

[Poupou Escobar]

lol you’ve administered rugby league haven’t you? I f**king knew it.

 

[Legal Eel]

lol you’ve administered rugby league haven’t you? I f**king knew it.

played, coached and administered.

Still do the latter two. But of course you would ridicule anyone with any actual involvement or experience - to you it's all about the stats on the page.

Who needs coaches or players when you can have statisticians.

 

[bazza]

so a win against the Cowboys then the bye will put them around 9th with a match against the Bulldogs to go to a 7-7 win-loss record

Also currently 5th based on for and against

all "winnable" games till round 22 v Melbourne

 

[Parra]

That for-and-against will come in handy when it counts

 

[Poupou Escobar]

played, coached and administered.

Still do the latter two.

I have played (including as an adult) and coached (but only under 7s).

But of course you would ridicule anyone with any actual involvement or experience

Are you sure I wouldn’t blindly trust any authority figure due to my military background?

- to you it's all about the stats on the page.

Who needs coaches or players when you can have statisticians.

Stats are a great source of objective truth, whereas our observations and memory are clouded by cognitive bias.

 

[King-Gutho94]

so a win against the Cowboys then the bye will put them around 9th with a match against the Bulldogs to go to a 7-7 win-loss record

Also currently 5th based on for and against

all "winnable" games till round 22 v Melbourne

Might be all winnable but we will slip up somewhere wouldn't surprise me up at the sunny coast against the Fins. This group just hasn't proven they can go on a decent run without a slip up.

Best streak we have had under BA is 6 wins.

Only on 6 occasions have we had a minimum 4 game winning Streaks under BA in 10 years - 2 of those streaks were separated by long breaks in between matchew

4 wins - Round 25, 2016 to Round 2, 2017 - Two different seasons
6 wins - Round 15, 2017 to Round 22, 2017
4 wins - Round 19, 2022 to Round 22, 2019
5 wins - Round 1, 2020 to Round 5, 2020 - Covid affected round 1 & 2 before 2 month lockdown.
4 wins - Round 1, 2021 to Round 4, 2021
5 wins - Round 6, 2021 to Round 10, 2021

 

[hineyrulz]

Might be all winnable but we will slip up somewhere wouldn't surprise me up at the sunny coast against the Fins. This group just hasn't proven they can go on a decent run without a slip up.

Best streak we have had under BA is 6 wins.

Only on 6 occasions have we had a minimum 4 game winning Streaks under BA in 10 years - 2 of those streaks were separated by long breaks in between matchew

4 wins - Round 25, 2016 to Round 2, 2017 - Two different seasons
6 wins - Round 15, 2017 to Round 22, 2017
4 wins - Round 19, 2022 to Round 22, 2019
5 wins - Round 1, 2020 to Round 5, 2020 - Covid affected round 1 & 2 before 2 month lockdown.
4 wins - Round 1, 2021 to Round 4, 2021
5 wins - Round 6, 2021 to Round 10, 2021

Proof that chasing the collisions means it hard to stay up week to week. Or that the coach isn’t able to get the players up for more than 2 or 3 weeks at a time. Makes it hard to win a comp that’s for sure.

 

[the phantom menace]

Stats are a great source of objective truth, whereas our observations and memory are clouded by cognitive bias.

*Stats are a great source of statistical truth...

 

[Twizzle]

so a win against the Cowboys then the bye will put them around 9th with a match against the Bulldogs to go to a 7-7 win-loss record

Also currently 5th based on for and against

all "winnable" games till round 22 v Melbourne

Storm has been our bitches, till Round 1 this year.

 

[bazza]

Might be all winnable but we will slip up somewhere wouldn't surprise me up at the sunny coast against the Fins. This group just hasn't proven they can go on a decent run without a slip up.

Best streak we have had under BA is 6 wins.

Only on 6 occasions have we had a minimum 4 game winning Streaks under BA in 10 years - 2 of those streaks were separated by long breaks in between matchew

4 wins - Round 25, 2016 to Round 2, 2017 - Two different seasons
6 wins - Round 15, 2017 to Round 22, 2017
4 wins - Round 19, 2022 to Round 22, 2019
5 wins - Round 1, 2020 to Round 5, 2020 - Covid affected round 1 & 2 before 2 month lockdown.
4 wins - Round 1, 2021 to Round 4, 2021
5 wins - Round 6, 2021 to Round 10, 2021

getting 6/8 winnable games is acceptable to me
just saying that the team is a finals contender - though have to put the wins on the paddock

 

[Poupou Escobar]

Proof that chasing the collisions means it hard to stay up week to week. Or that the coach isn’t able to get the players up for more than 2 or 3 weeks at a time. Makes it hard to win a comp that’s for sure.

If you're only going to win 68% of your games (our best win rate, which we achieved in 2020), is there any good reason you should win more than two or three in a row? If you win more than that in a row there's a significant element of random chance, and it means you will probably also have longer than usual losing streaks:

Year	Longest win streak	Longest loss streak
2017	6	4
2019	4	3
2020	5	2
2021	5	4
2022	3	1

You'll find the longest losing streaks will generally be from teams that were good enough to win significantly more than two thirds of their games. For example if you have a team that won 85% of their games one year it is mathematically impossible for them to not have at least one six game winning streak, and in fact if that was their longest streak they would necessarily have at least three of them.

 

[hineyrulz]

If you're only going to win 68% of your games (our best win rate, which we achieved in 2020), is there any good reason you should win more than two or three in a row? If you win more than that in a row there's a significant element of random chance, and it means you will probably also have longer than usual losing streaks:

Year	Longest win streak	Longest loss streak
2017	6	4
2019	4	3
2020	5	2
2021	5	4
2022	3	1

You'll find the longest losing streaks will generally be from teams that were good enough to win significantly more than two thirds of their games. For example if you have a team that won 85% of their games one year it is mathematically impossible for them to not have at least one six game winning streak, and in fact if that was their longest streak they would necessarily have at least three of them.