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Season 2025

Nutz

First Grade
Messages
5,226
I read it to see how they came up with it:-

FOX Sports Lab simulates the season 10,000 times over, based on each team’s final rating from last season and the draw for 2025.

They are so smart those guys at Fox what they did is as follows:-

1. Rank each team 1-17 based on last seasons ladder
2. Get this years draw
3. Run a simulation on this years draw. So if team 17 plays team 1 team 17 loses.
4. Do this 10,000 times and rank the teams based on who gets the most wins

It's like the dumbest shit in the world and they write an article on it. I suppose that is why it is Fox Sports.
If you ignore all that crap and look at it logically you would put the teams best 17 against their opponents in rd 1 right through till the last Rd.
Do that with every team and you may have a clear 8 emerge.
The trouble is, in the first few rounds there're always upsets as teams struggle to get used to new combos or they are simply a bit rusty after a long break.
Also during the year there is going to be injuries. Some clubs are decimated by them.
You have SOO and no doubt some naughty boys on and off the field.
So this logical way of doing it has serious flaws.
However, the term, " the team with the best roster usually wins" again rings true.
In the modern game, usually the top 4 teams have two or more of the elete type players eg Inglis, Haas, Clearey, Munster, LUAI :)
 

Tigerm

Coach
Messages
10,726
I don't want anyone one on that list so I agree.
I really don't think there is a club who would want them either unless we pay up.
At a pinch and with a gun pointing at my head to take one ut would probably Feledy.
Simply because I've seen glimpses of good footy that gave him a reputation of being a scoring machine in Manly pathways. He also just needs to get rid of the belly role and take a second off his sprint times :)
You have to look at the future. Josh is still young and he and Makasini could take over from Olam and Co as our centre pairing in a year or so.
I'd keep Naden.
He was very good in second grade and obviously can come into FG if needed.
 

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