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I just think he is massive value- I highly doubt he could win but I do think he is a moral to run in the first half of the field and if he is capable of that then he is capable of running a hole and you are getting 16s to find out.
I take your point i.e. Melbourne, though I'm disregarding it as two of his starts have been at Goat Valley which isn't a track that suits the horse at all and I don't think he ran poorly in either of those races. The other start he was beaten 75 lengths and was lame after the race.
He has a lot of pluses that make me think he can runs good race, for starters he is an out and out stayer proven at 3200... He should of won the Metropolitan yet crazily he is twice the price of Junoob and Araldo (who he did beat that day). He is trained by Waller who is just a freak at targeting horses for certain races and having them running well on the day, Tye Angland jumps on board in good form. I like those middle barriers in this race I think there will be a lot of horses from the inside and out wide going forward so the speed should be on and hopefully he can just take a sit midfield get out cleanly in the straight and I'm sure he will be running home.
Protectionist FTW though
