Nine would have rathered every sport be forced onto FTA with no rules governing if or when it should be shown.
A mystery mechanism will decide if games go on free-to-air or pay-TV
* Brent Read
* From: The Australian
* November 27, 2010 12:00AM
SPORT: THE billion-dollar dream is still alive. There's only one problem for the AFL and NRL _ it remains in the hands of politicians.
The country's biggest sporting bodies, eyeing off the most lucrative broadcasting deals in the history of Australian sport, have greeted the federal government's updated anti-siphoning list with cautious optimism.
Federal Communications Minister Stephen Conroy announced on Thursday changes to the list, opening up regular-season football games for pay-TV bidding but also promising to "protect the quality of games on free-to-air" via a mechanism to be determined.
The prudence of AFL and NRL officials is understandable given the mechanism for working out whether regular season games go on free-to-air or pay-TV is yet to be revealed by the government.
Already, the mysterious mechanism threatens to undermine the NRL's plan to go to full-season scheduling, a concept chief executive David Gallop has toyed with for next season. All of a sudden, politicians and bureaucrats have the potential to become programmers.
As one analyst noted: "That is very dangerous."
As it stands, the sporting bodies work in conjunction with the broadcasters to determine a pecking order for games. The NRL allows the Nine Network first, second and fifth pick each week. Fox Sports gets the rest.
AFL broadcasters Seven and Ten get the first four picks. The remainder go to Fox Sports.
Those decisions will now be made with a mechanism designed to ensure the majority of the public gets to see the best of the NRL and AFL.
Although the current broadcasting deal doesn't expire until the end of 2012, Gallop has already outlined plans to move the talks forward with a view to having a new deal in place by the end of next year.
While uncertainty surrounds that aspect of the anti-siphoning list, the alterations have given both codes' plans for expansion a shot in the arm. The changes mean the NRL and AFL can use the multi-channels to build their following outside their heartlands.
In rugby league's case, officials in Melbourne and Perth have already outlined their desire to have the NRL shown live in their cities on their extra channels. The AFL is likely to adopt a similar strategy in Brisbane and Sydney.
While that option is unlikely to result in any immediate windfalls, the long-term benefit could be significant. Both codes can get prime-time coverage in each other's backyard. Gold Coast Suns will join the AFL from next season. Greater Western Sydney will follow in 2012.
Gallop has spoken about the prospects of expansion in 2013. A decision is likely to be made midway through next year and Perth is one of the most attractive options given its suitability for television scheduling.
"Clearly, the most television exposure the game can get in Perth the better," Perth bid team head John Sackson said. "We believe it is critical to the growth of the game."
Melbourne Storm chief executive Ron Gauci said: "I think it's great news for us."
The NRL dominates on pay-TV -- at the end of last month, the NRL had four of the top five and 73 of the top 100 shows.
But the overriding desire of every major sport is to have commercial television coverage.
The big loser, according to one analyst, is soccer, because World Cup qualifiers were added to the anti-siphoning list. Fox Sports currently televises those as part of its soccer coverage, which includes the A-League.
Faced with the prospect of losing the national games to commercial television, the rights lose much of their attraction to Fox Sports given A-League games don't attract significant ratings.
The Socceroos' World Cup qualifying games are also on the B-list, meaning they can be shown on the multi-channels.
That would mean a limited audience for a sport struggling to make an impact in a cluttered landscape.
"For soccer, they're screwed," the analyst said.
"If you think about the owners of the A-League clubs, they have invested a lot of money into soccer. You have to question whether the A-League will be viable."
Fusion Strategy managing director Steve Allen said: "The next step is increasing popularity. The only way they can do that is with television.
"The best way you can benefit from television is with free-to-air. It's what the A-League faces. Just past the mid-point of their seven-year contract with Foxtel, they have a problem now.
"It's shown in ratings and ground attendance because they're not able to as forcefully market their game by having it available to everyone (on free-to-air television)."
The NRL and AFL have no such concerns. Their biggest issue will be ensuring the politicians and bureaucrats don't cost them at the negotiating table. The coming months will be a nervous time. After all, there's a lot at stake?
A billion dollars in fact.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/why-...-for-sport-on-channel-ten-20101126-18akt.html
Why Gina Rinehart could prove a saviour for sport on Channel Ten
ROY MASTERS
November 27, 2010 PLANS by James Packer and Lachlan Murdoch to slash expenditure on sport at Channel Ten may meet a formidable opponent in the Western Australian mining magnate Gina Rinehart, according to a source close to machinations at the network.
''She's tough, opinionated, sometimes difficult but never frightened,'' he said in reference to Rinehart, anticipating that her seizure of a 10 per cent stake in Ten will be a roadblock against any strategy the Packer-Murdoch juggernaut may have to control the company.
Packer and Murdoch recently told Ten executives that while they like sport, they believe the network is paying too much, particularly for AFL broadcasting rights.
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On his deathbed Kerry Packer gifted the AFL a $780 million deal over five years but his son James may prove to be the biggest impediment to the code receiving the $1 billion it anticipates at its next contract beginning 2012. Ten wants to renegotiate its partnership with Channel Seven over AFL coverage where Seven screens the popular Friday night and Sunday games, leaving Ten with less appealing Saturday afternoon and evening matches.
David White, the sports director of Ten, has told analysts that returns from AFL over the past season were very poor. It is expected Ten will seek a better ratio with Seven of their share of future fees, or demand an allocation of higher-rating matches. Under the existing Seven/Ten contract both networks must bid together, but if Ten is unable to improve its payment or game quality ratios, the agreement may collapse.
''Ten now has two directors [in Packer and Murdoch] who would support the move to walk,'' a source said.
Rinehart may lobby to retain the agreement in support of her fellow West Australian, Kerry Stokes, the owner of Seven. However, her principal motivation in outlaying a small proportion of her $4.75 billion wealth for 10 per cent of Ten is political influence.
Having witnessed the success of the advertising campaign against the mining tax, she recognises the powerful control of the media on politicians.
Similarly, Packer's chief ambition in securing a 17.9 per cent stake in Ten for $128 million - later on-selling half to Murdoch - is political influence, especially concerning gambling and sport.
Given the power of the independents and Greens in the retention of government by the ALP, media campaigns have the capacity to render politicians very nervous at this time.
However, the Communications Minister, Stephen Conroy, is proving very resilient, despite Packer and Murdoch dining him at Packer's Crown Casino in Melbourne.
On Thursday he announced changes to sport's anti-siphoning list, allowing free-to-air networks to show live sport on their digital channels, consistent with his strategy to move Australia quickly away from analog TV.
Ten has the only sports-dedicated digital channel (One). If Packer and Murdoch were successful in convincing the Ten board that One is too expensive and must be shut down, or use different programming, it would undermine Conroy's plan to use sport to hasten the uptake of digital TV. It would also frustrate the chiefs of the AFL and NRL, who see digital channels as a means of increasing the appeal of their sports in what they call ''the developing states''.
AFL games shown live on a free-to-air network's principal channel in Melbourne could be shown live on its digital channel in NSW and Queensland, rather than suffer poor ratings, as Ten has registered in Sydney and Brisbane, particularly on Saturday nights.
At present, northern AFL fans seeking Seven's coverage of Friday nights must subscribe to Foxtel, part-owned by companies associated with Packer and Murdoch.
Closing One would be seen as a measure aimed at protecting this lucrative investment, but a source close to Packer said he would be reluctant to invite the wrath of regulators, particularly given the returns of Crown and the very stringent government tests applied to the ownership of a casino licence. Should Ten walk from its AFL relationship with Seven, it would leave a Seven/Foxtel consortium as the only viable bidder.
Conroy also decoupled the existing anti-siphoning arrangement where free-to-air on-sold the bottom four games a week to pay TV, allowing Foxtel to bid directly.
But with Channel Nine reserving its war chest for NRL rights which expire in 2012, it is unlikely the AFL will be able to hold a vigorous auction for the rights.
With no challenger to Seven for the top four games and none to Foxtel for the other four, the AFL may find their $1 billion a bridge too far, with Packer and Murdoch paying less for rights, guaranteeing continuing profits in Foxtel and Fox Sports.
But these scions of Australia's wealthiest media families must first sweet-talk the rich lady from the west.
<H3>CROWE'S READY TO DEAL
</H3>http://www.smh.com.au/sport/hewitt-and-roche-aiming-for-top-10-20101127-18bco.html
SOUTHS owner Russell Crowe is ready to put his hand up and get heavily involved in the negotiations for league's next television deal - he's just waiting for someone to ask him. Souths boss Shane Richardson said Crowe would be the right person to ride shotgun with David Gallop as he meets television executives to work out the game's next deal. ''Russell is the perfect person to get involved with television deals - not only for the NRL and the next deal we do, but also for the international rights to the game,'' Richardson said. ''And what people have got wrong is that they think that Russell wouldn't have time to be involved. His passion for league is so strong he'd make the time. And he thinks about the game and its future all the time. He knows all the key players here and he has contacts overseas that no one here can match. I really think that the game needs to use his contacts more and approach him, especially in this kind of situation. It's an area he is passionate about and an area he has plenty of knowledge in.''
Mate, I'd be estactic if we could get the same deal we had for the 2009 finals across an entire season - just one match replayed in full every Friday night at 11.30pm on widely available macho cable channel Spike. This country is so ready for Rugby League - if only they knew it existed.How can he be worse than who weve got now? I mean, if he can get Spike to pick up an entire season in the US wed be laughin.
Mate, I'd be estactic if we could get the same deal we had for the 2009 finals across an entire season - just one match replayed in full every Friday night at 11.30pm on widely available macho cable channel Spike. This country is so ready for Rugby League - if only they knew it existed.
I've shown various games to work colleagues over here and every time the pattern is the same. Two or three minutes in they're picking at it saying how distracting the advertising on the field is (honestly the first comment I got), or how "gay" the lying on in the ruck or the short shorts look. Five minutes after that they start to realize that the game just doesn't stop. And that's when they notice how hard the tackles are...
Then they're hooked...
Leigh.
I think he covered it,The only thing i think Roy is missing is the fact that the shutdown of One will have no significant effect on the multichanneling of the major codes in non heartland areas
TrueBasically, whether or not One is shutdown in favour of an equivalent service to GO or 7Mate, the NRL and AFL will be shown outside its heartland on those multichannels.
Still could be 4 hours later,The only thing thats left up to debate will be what times they are shown, IMO