1. Hayne (if we want to win we need our best Origin player highly involved from the position he's most dominant)
2. Idris (if he can adapt to wing - otherwise ?)
3. Jennings
4. Gasnier
5. Uate
14. Bird
7. Pearce (there's simply not a better option)
8. Mannah
9. Farah (need his attack and defence which is clearly superior to Ennis)
10. Snowden
11. Watmough (duh - always makes meters and supports the ball. Just don't drop it 5 times).
12. Scott (was very solid defensively game 1, really put in)
13. Gallen
6. Soward (get him on after 15-20 and have him look to use his running game. Running off Hayne's short ball = trouble for the Maroons on the fringe of the ruck)
15. Lewis
16. TLL
17. Hunt/ Weyman?
The real problem for NSW is in the prop department. There are 3 guys who were playing well this season (Mannah, Tolman, Snowden) - unfortunately Tolman is out. I'd give one of the Dragons prop a shot working in combination off the bench. They're defensively sound, and Weyman has experience which might be invaluable off the bench - I think Hunt is more athletic and would make more meterage, so I'd go for him.
TLL is far too lazy. He just doesn't run the ball enough - this season he's making hardly any meters. But he's been there before, and in limited time he could be 'forced' to make a couple of his rousing charges into the Maroons and bend them backwards.
I'd bring on Lewis after 20 minutes and let him play the game out. Give Gallen a rest after 20 and bring him back fresh for the final 20-30.