Pretty much this. I'm no Nostradamus but I called it as soon as we gave away the first penalty. The bit I got wrong was penalty, restart, restart, try. Instead it was penalty, penalty, restart try. I'm pretty confident I wasn't the only one that posts here that thought exactly the same thing before it unfolded.
The thing that pisses me off is in most cases there is no need for the hold down, off side or whatever. When the Roosters used to hand out penalties like lollies a few years ago it was tactical. With us at the moment is just retread boneheaded ill discipline. It's also usually the same culprits every time., and early in the game where fatigue isn't an excuse.
Yep we are literally doing the same negative plays to start every game every week that i can remember. Its not just one play either, its the same sequence on repeat.