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Brisbane3 - What is needed to make it a successful bid?

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3,615

Meyn Game: NRL urged to deliver Brisbane a third NRL team to fight off AFL’s $1 billion invasion​

The AFL’s $1 billion invasion of Brisbane’s rugby league heartland is gaining momentum - but a powerful allegiance between rivals can halt the threat and deliver the city a third NRL team.

5 min read
April 6, 2026 - 5:00AM
News Sport Network

In the high-stakes world of Australian sports, Peter V’landys has never been one to shy away from a gamble. But as the NRL lands in the neon glow of Las Vegas, the true nature of the expansion is coming into focus.
The NRL’s former chief strategist has urged Peter V’landys and the ARLC to launch a 20th team in Brisbane’s west to tackle the AFL’s $1 billion invasion.
Respected administrator Shane Richardson believes there is only one option when it comes to the candidates for the NRL’s next expansion club.
The NRL will grow to a 19-team competition over the next two years with the introduction of the Perth Bears (2027) and Papua New Guinea Chiefs (2028).
But with record television ratings and the prospect of a $4 billion broadcast deal, the ARL Commission’s ultimate goal is to have a 20-team competition with a strong geographical footprint across Australia, New Zealand, league-mad PNG and the Pacific.
However, Richardson is convinced the only market to expand into is booming South East Queensland as the NRL weighs up its next move, potentially around 2030.
Richardson headed up the unsuccessful Brisbane Easts-backed Firehawks NRL bid in 2021, which was trumped by the Dolphins in the battle to become Brisbane’s second team to rival the Broncos.
NRL’s former chief strategist Shane Richardson says shoring up Brisbane’s western corridor is imperative to blunt the AFL’s invasion into the region. Picture: NewsWire/ Gaye Gerard

NRL’s former chief strategist Shane Richardson says shoring up Brisbane’s western corridor is imperative to blunt the AFL’s invasion into the region. Picture: NewsWire/ Gaye Gerard
The Firehawks planned to target the western corridor, which was also where the unsuccessful Ipswich Jets-aligned bid was based.
But the post-Covid population surge, 2032 Olympic Games hype and investment and AFL’s cashed-up northern raid means SEQ can sustain a fourth team alongside the Broncos, Dolphins and Titans.
In 2024, the AFL announced it would invest $1 billion over 10 years to double its participation numbers to one million nationwide, with a focus on non-traditional states NSW and Queensland.
Reigning AFL champions the Lions have targeted Brisbane’s western corridor as a key growth area for the game.
Richardson said the Easts and Ipswich consortia had to get together to secure the NRL’s 20th licence and deliver Queensland a fifth team to fend off the AFL.
“The Broncos aren’t servicing the area which is why the Warriors, Souths and everybody else is getting involved. There’s just not enough rugby league,” Richardson said.
“We had Ipswich and Easts going against each other (in 2021), but no one doubted that was the best way to go, even better than Redcliffe.
“Redcliffe have done a great job and I’m not being critical of them at all but the numbers for the west stacked up better than Redcliffe.
“There’s no doubt there should have been another team in that area to make sure we keep those great areas of rugby league alive from the west of Brisbane through Ipswich to Toowoomba.
“It’s now time that Easts and Ipswich get together. Ipswich have got the history but haven’t got the money. Easts have got the money.
Suncorp Stadium could host more derbies. Picture: Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images

Suncorp Stadium could host more derbies. Picture: Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images
“I don’t think there’s any doubt that the 20th team should be Ipswich and Easts getting together. It has to have a different name but be a combination of the juniors and the areas to make sure that we fight against the AFL.
“There’s not a lot of AFL players in the south of New Zealand and I don’t see the AFL putting an academy over there.
“We’re giving up our heartland to the AFL.”
Once V’landys and the NRL navigate the logistical minefield of the Chiefs they can turn their focus to a 20th team, which will deliver millions in extra broadcast revenue via the creation of a 10th game every week.
Here is an analysis of the contenders.

Brisbane – Ipswich or CBD

There was a fierce battle in Brisbane in 2021 for the NRL’s 17th licence, which was ultimately awarded to the Dolphins.
Bids from the Ipswich-based Jets and Firehawks, backed by Easts Tigers, challenged the Dolphins, but the ARLC was blown away by the financial strength of Redcliffe.
The Dolphins secured entry to the NRL from 2023, but that doesn’t mean Brisbane’s thirst for first grade rugby league has been quenched.
With a booming population and the 2032 Olympic Games on the horizon, a fourth NRL team in South East Queensland is a real possibility.
The biggest question remains where should it be based?
The Ipswich and blossoming western corridor has merit and a strong following, but so too does a genuine CBD rival for the Broncos.
Apart from choosing a divisive moniker, the Firehawks presented a compelling case last time and would give the Broncos a proper Brisbane rival on the south side of the river.
If Richardson has his way, the bids will join forces and present V’landys with a compelling case.
Brisbane Firehawks NRL bid was unsuccessful in 2021 with Brian Torpy, Shane Edwards, Zac Sarra and Stephen Bullow. Picture: Supplied

Brisbane Firehawks NRL bid was unsuccessful in 2021 with Brian Torpy, Shane Edwards, Zac Sarra and Stephen Bullow. Picture: Supplied

New Zealand – South or North Island

The NRL has streaked ahead of Super Rugby in Australia and the time has arrived for it to take on the 15-man code in New Zealand.
While the Warriors are surging and bringing along plenty for the ride, there is no doubt rugby remains the No. 1 code across the ditch.
The power of the All Blacks brand will make that difficult for the NRL to surpass, but we should be looking to hitch a ride on the popularity of the Wahs.
Think Broncos-Dolphins, Roosters-Rabbitohs and Sharks-Dragons. The Warriors don’t have a rival team.
The introduction of a second NRL team in New Zealand would take rugby league into an entirely new territory. Derbies could be played at the 50,000-seat Eden Park.
There are arguments for basing a team in Christchurch, Wellington or even Auckland, generating a fierce Warriors rival in the country’s biggest city of 1.5 million people.
Wellington is the capital and has a similar population of about 400,000 to Christchurch, which would create a north versus south island showdown.
The Warriors believe the pathways system in New Zealand isn’t ready for the country to sustain a second NRL team, but that can be worked on over the next five years.
Will the NRL look to ride the popularity of the Warriors? Picture: Hannah Peters/Getty Images

Will the NRL look to ride the popularity of the Warriors? Picture: Hannah Peters/Getty Images

Adelaide

If the NRL wants to be a truly national game like the AFL then it has to have a greater geographical footprint.
We are headed back to Perth next year with the resurrection of the Bears and the time could be right to venture back to Adelaide for the first time since the Rams folded in 1998.
The SA Government has shown a liking for league in recent times.
Premier Peter Malinauskas is a sports nut and paid big bucks to bring State of Origin to Adelaide in 2020 and 2023.
The AFL has a stranglehold on South Australia with the Crows and Power and there’s only one way to challenge that in a city of 1.5 million.
The Adelaide Oval has hosted State of Origin recently. Picture: Cameron Spencer/Getty Images

The Adelaide Oval has hosted State of Origin recently. Picture: Cameron Spencer/Getty Images

Pasifika

This is a left-field option, but the NRL’s decision to go to Papua New Guinea means it can’t be discounted.
A Pasifika team encompassing the likes of Tonga, Samoa and Fiji would give the NRL a foothold in traditional rugby-strong nations.
Like the $600 million Chiefs venture, a Pasifika bid would likely need serious government backing to get off the ground.
More than half of the NRL’s current players identify as having Pasifika heritage which shows how popular the team could be.
There are also logistical considerations, but the NRL has shown a willingness to tackle challenges and it could help spread the rugby league gospel.
 

Desert Qlder

First Grade
Messages
9,996
Richardson is right. The AFL are putting enormous resources into Brisbane. It is now their primary strategic target.

They've just secured the infrastructure with a new 63000 seat stadium, completely outwitting the hapless NRL on stadium policy.

This now gives them the basis for a second Brisbane side.

The NRL are sitting on their hands with regard to SEQ. Taking it for granted. Looking elsewhere. They said yes to Redcliffe and thought that's all there was too it.

'Neglect is the invisible hand that gently disassembles.'
 

BuffaloRules

Coach
Messages
18,214
Richardson is right. The AFL are putting enormous resources into Brisbane. It is now their primary strategic target.

They've just secured the infrastructure with a new 63000 seat stadium, completely outwitting the hapless NRL on stadium policy.

This now gives them the basis for a second Brisbane side.

The NRL are sitting on their hands with regard to SEQ. Taking it for granted. Looking elsewhere. They said yes to Redcliffe and thought that's all there was too it.

'Neglect is the invisible hand that gently disassembles.'

Is he right about the Broncos not doing enough and leaving it to Souths and the Warriors ?
 

Wb1234

Immortal
Messages
48,856
Richardson is right. The AFL are putting enormous resources into Brisbane. It is now their primary strategic target.

They've just secured the infrastructure with a new 63000 seat stadium, completely outwitting the hapless NRL on stadium policy.

This now gives them the basis for a second Brisbane side.

The NRL are sitting on their hands with regard to SEQ. Taking it for granted. Looking elsewhere. They said yes to Redcliffe and thought that's all there was too it.

'Neglect is the invisible hand that gently disassembles.'
The Brisbane lions and gc suns are basketcases

If afl is sruoid enough to add another Brisbane side they will canibalise the lions whose crowds are going to drop anyway once they stop winning comps

Afl is a minor sport in qld they can spend billions (they already have) they won’t touch league
 

mongoose

Coach
Messages
13,295
The Brisbane lions and gc suns are basketcases

If afl is sruoid enough to add another Brisbane side they will canibalise the lions whose crowds are going to drop anyway once they stop winning comps

Afl is a minor sport in qld they can spend billions (they already have) they won’t touch league
How are the Lions a basketcase? lol

They sell out the Gabba, although its capacity is capped, they won back to back premierships. I'm all for bagging AFL but making up rubbish for cOdE wArS makes you look like the sad delusional pricks on bigfooty.

Do you really think the Bears are going to carve out a huge market in Perth that is bigger than what the Lions have done in Brisbane? It's going to take them decades, are you going to call the Bears a basketcase cause they are smaller than the West Coast Eagles and Fremantle AFL teams?
 

Red&BlackBear

First Grade
Messages
6,227
Is he right about the Broncos not doing enough and leaving it to Souths and the Warriors ?
I’ve stated on here ad nauseam that Broncos, Dolphins and Titans cannot sufficiently service all of SE QLD RL.

The western parts (Ipswich to Toowoomba) is criminally neglected and Titans putting back 3 or 4 of their unused top 30 players to the Jets QRL side most weeks means little in terms of continued heartland and pathways support.

Toowoomba don’t even have an NRL affiliation which is the bare minimum really.

By the Souths & Warriors comments that’s more attributed to Warriors having a pathways and recruitment base located in Logan and Souths having a deal with Keebra. Roosters has a deal with Iona

Bears have a deal with Tigers.

Logan RL is a bit of a mess with multiple QRL and NRL clubs setting up shop as a free for all. Ipswich, Toowoomba and western parts are under resourced and under utilised when understanding their numbers. Big part of why QRL is backing the push for Jets inclusion to the NRL. Jets might as well be bolstered and look after their own catchment properly - because the other SEQLD NRL clubs cannot and I doubt that’ll change as the population here keeps increasing - it becomes increasingly difficult to sufficiently service all areas adequately.

I don’t sign up to this AFL threat - I’m very much in the basing Jets prospects on their own merits and strengths camp. Which is how it should be. That’s the proactive way.
 
Last edited:

Desert Qlder

First Grade
Messages
9,996
The Brisbane lions and gc suns are basketcases

If afl is sruoid enough to add another Brisbane side they will canibalise the lions whose crowds are going to drop anyway once they stop winning comps

Afl is a minor sport in qld they can spend billions (they already have) they won’t touch league
Because you are not from Queensland you are showing your ignorance of the whole situation. Starting with the difference between Brisbane and Gold Coast. They are fundamentally different markets and cultural locations.

The AFL have turned quite strategically to Brisbane these past few years as it offers huge advantage and growth potential. Gold Coast is a legacy of the Demetriou years, but their new administration recognises where the real growth lies.

The other thing people from southern states miss is that AFL games in Brisbane are patronised by fans of other clubs, of which there is a large spread due to southern migration (which is enormous). They will also travel from Melbourne. Witness their Easter Thursday game which is near dominant support from the magpies ozzie rules club. A second club and set of fixtures gives these fans the opportunity to attend even more. This isn't cannibalisation.

This is not the equal of the situation with GWS. A second Brisbane side has much more potential and the AFL will have learnt from their mistakes. We need Sydney Rugby League people with us on this. Not against us.
 

Wb1234

Immortal
Messages
48,856
Because you are not from Queensland you are showing your ignorance of the whole situation. Starting with the difference between Brisbane and Gold Coast. They are fundamentally different markets and cultural locations.

The AFL have turned quite strategically to Brisbane these past few years as it offers huge advantage and growth potential. Gold Coast is a legacy of the Demetriou years, but their new administration recognises where the real growth lies.

The other thing people from southern states miss is that AFL games in Brisbane are patronised by fans of other clubs, of which there is a large spread due to southern migration (which is enormous). They will also travel from Melbourne. Witness their Easter Thursday game which is near dominant support from the magpies ozzie rules club. A second club and set of fixtures gives these fans the opportunity to attend even more. This isn't cannibalisation.

This is not the equal of the situation with GWS. A second Brisbane side has much more potential and the AFL will have learnt from their mistakes. We need Sydney Rugby League people with us on this. Not against us.
Not reflected in tv ratings, crowds especially for suns are poor

If the afl reduces the lions / suns funding to that of an average afl club they would die off

Stop being dramatic

Anybody that genuinely believes afl is a threat in QLD or Brisbane is seriously deluded

Let the dolphins have some clean air for a while
 

BuffaloRules

Coach
Messages
18,214
Newtown-Ipswich Jets

Whats taking Richo so long

Why the hell do they need Newtown ? 😂

They are trying to save Western Brisbane from the AFL hordes at the gate… I’ll tell you also …. If there is one suburb in Sydney ( and only one ) that might be AFL dominated its Newtown 😂
 
Messages
13,026
If AFL is to grow in QLD even further they'll need a bigger TV deal... I'm under the impression AFL will hit it's ceiling in the next decade. If a beast needs to grow it needs more food... I don't think the Australian market can keep feeding it.
Hence why Abdo and PVL are looking abroad.

Also on top of that majority of traditional AFL clubs have been left behind or forgotten about, just so they can push into the non AFL states.
 

Pippen94

First Grade
Messages
9,072
If AFL is to grow in QLD even further they'll need a bigger TV deal... I'm under the impression AFL will hit it's ceiling in the next decade. If a beast needs to grow it needs more food... I don't think the Australian market can keep feeding it.
Hence why Abdo and PVL are looking abroad.

Also on top of that majority of traditional AFL clubs have been left behind or forgotten about, just so they can push into the non AFL states.

Yep, real growth is outside of Australia
 

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