I just said there is potential because the Gabba is being sold out at current capacity (34k) for most Lions games. In a brand new 60k stadium, average crowds of 45k+ are not beyond reason.
Brisbane Lions 3 premierships in a row, 2001, 2002, 2003
2004 Crowd Average: 33,619
2017 Crowd Average: 16,455
It halved over 13 years. Rock bottom was only 9 years ago.
2025 Crowd Average: 30,598
Another premiership year.
The Brisbane Lions now average 3,101 less than 21 years ago
That's not growth. That's stagnation. Don't bullshit and say they've maxed out the GABBA.
What's to say 13 years from now the Lions crowds don't halve again like they did before?
Probably because fans go to games?
The supporter base thing is substantiated by a Roy Morgan survey. The Swans have the biggest fan base in Sydney. Now obviously the majority of the fanbase is nominal and may only watch one game per year.
Same story
Sydney Swans 1997 average = 35,818
Sydney Swans 2025 average = 34,277
More decline and stagnation.
Canterbury Bulldogs 2025 average = 30,688
However the aggregate was only 11,000 different.
But what about big crowds?
- 65,305: Round 7 (vs Rabbitohs)
- 59,878: King's Birthday clash (vs Eels)
- 56,872: Home final (vs Panthers)
Sydney Swans biggest crowd in 2025? 40,310
You could argue
CANTERBURY BULLDOGS ARE BIGGER THAN THE SYDNEY SWANS just based on crowds.
If you do a survey and say who is your team, people with a casual interest will say 'yeah the Swans I guess' like they'll go 'the Storm I guess'. It's a fleeting interest at best.
At least with the Storm there's things other than a survey that you can go off. The Storm have double the Swans social media following.
Meanwhile:
Melbourne Storm 1998 average = 12,716
Melbourne Storm 2025 average = 23,959* - all time record -
double the average whilst the Swans went backwards in the same space of time
Brisbane Broncos 2025 average = 44,011 - 2nd highest (number 1 for aggregate)
1097693 went to Lang Park in 2025. It was 475196 when the Broncos set the record at the Old QEII.
NRL attendance in Brisbane has doubled and is at an all time record.
If you want to focus on crowds, you should concern yourself more with this fact:
AFL 2008 Average: 36,996
AFL 2025 Average: 36,986
AFL 17 years = 0% growth in crowd averages
AFL 2008 Aggregate: 6954187
AFL 2025 Aggregate: 7656090
AFL 17 years = 10% growth
NRL 2008 Average: 15030
NRL 2025 Average: 21046
NRL 17 years = 40% growth in crowd averages
NRL 2008 Aggregate: 2885693
NRL 2025 Aggregate: 4295456
NRL 17 years = 49% growth in crowd aggregate