Storm v Sea Eagles Preview
Big League
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DESPITE both sides making tentative starts in 2008 with 2-2 records, the Storm and Sea Eagles are nonetheless entrenched in the top eight and this grand final rematch looms as a cracker.
The Sea Eagles have plenty of motivation after their 34-8 drubbing in the 2007 decider, while the Storm will be looking to slot into top gear after cruising over the top of the Broncos last week a relieving win given back-to-back losses to the Sharks and Roosters.
After a worrying first fortnight Manly hit their straps with a 52-6 annihilation of the Warriors, then added further woe to Jason Taylors load with a 20-2 win over the Bunnies. Both those games were at Brookvale, however, and with four of their next five games played away, Des Hasler will have his side pumped for a result here.
Significantly, this is Manlys third game in 11 days; the side remains intact from last round.
Meanwhile the Storm is trying desperately to fend off negative press surrounding their team tactics (chicken wing tackles etc) and speculation Craig Bellamy could be off to Brisbane from 2010 and take a bunch of their talent with him.
While that might seem a long way off the destabilising effect it could have on a tightly drilled unit could be great. And they could continue to find their players before the judiciary, with Matt Geyer and Adam Blair fronting in successive weeks.
On the field the Storm are back rolling efficiently, as evidenced by their comprehensive 28-8 win over the previously undefeated Broncos.
Watch out Storm: Sea Eagles back-rower Anthony Watmough has a point to prove he labels his game in last years decider the worst game in my life and knows it cost him a Kangaroos jersey in the ensuing Test against New Zealand.
With the representative season about to swing into gear Choc will be out to bury his demons. And hes flying for the Sea Eagles his 14 disposals ranks him leading offloader in the NRL and 22 tackle breaks 7th. Plus his 542 metres gained (average 136) for the seasiders ranks second only to livewire fullback Brett Stewart.
Expect him to shadow the likes of Orford and Menzies looking for short ball on the fringes to expose any tired Storm defenders. Is ready to run himself into a frenzy.
Watch out Sea Eagles: The problem for Manly is the Storm dont appear to have any weak links. They have players ready to punish all around the park. While Billy Slater (average 116-metre gain) and Israel Folau (average 114-metre gain) tend to get most of the accolades, the man the Sea Eagles would fear most this round is Greg Inglis.
He played 60 minutes in his second game back last week, taking on the line (eight runs for 55 metres and an offload) with confidence. Expect him to be primed for this game, and to prove a handful.
Where it will be won: It all gets down to tactics. This game throws together the entertainers with the relentless grinders the Sea Eagles top the NRL for hot-potato play with a staggering 76 offloads, while the Storm continue to show the ball respect in 2008 with a competition-low 18 offloads.
Chances are Des Hasler has decided to play to his strengths rather than try to match game plans with Craig Bellamy, so theyll be looking to blow the Storm away with fast, enterprising play.
Down the other end of the field, interesting to note Bellamys men made an unusually high 10 offloads last week in demolishing the Broncos (who themselves were limited to an uncharacteristic six). So if anything, expect the Storm to step out of their comfort zone a little in this one.
The History: Played 11; Storm 6, Sea Eagles 5. The Sea Eagles have one of the best records over the Storm in recent years, winning more than their fair share (five of the past eight). But they did blow the one that counts: last years grand final. And their past five wins were all at Brookvale Oval.
Its a different kettle of fish at Olympic Park, where the Storm have won all four match-ups. Thats not good news for the visitors.
Conclusion: With Tony Archer back in the hot seat for the grand final rematch, chances are there wont be too many penalties.
This will suit both sides, but perhaps the Sea Eagles a little more given the increased scrutiny on Storm tackling techniques. But youd be a brave tipper to opt against the premiers at home. A fast, open affair with 40+ points scored, we say.
Match officials: Referee Tony Archer; Sideline Officials Steve Lyons & Russell Turner; Video ref Bill Harrigan.
Televised: Channel 9 Live 7.30pm (NSW), Delayed 9.30pm (Qld); Foxsports 2 Delayed 11.30pm.