Card Shark
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It's really difficult to get 40k+ at the SFS, it relies on stadium members like anywhere else and anything short of an A-League GF or similar sees it fall short of the 40k mark in recent years.
As a comparison, the roosters/Knights 2013 Prelim got just under 36k from memory and the place was rocking. I expect a similar crowd this week.
The Roosters/dogs in 2003 did get 41k for a prelim but that had 2 Sydney sides, a luxury this fixture doesn't have.
When you put it that way, yes 40k will be stretching it.