2024 R20 Fri - Canberra v Warriors @ GIO

[League Unlimited News]

NRL 2024 - Round 20
Canberra Raiders v Warriors
GIO Stadium Canberra, Bruce / Ngunnawal

Friday 19 July 2024
NRL kickoff 8:00pm
Broadcast live on Nine, 9Now, Fox, Kayo

1. Kaeo Weekes 2. Jordan Rapana 3. Matthew Timoko 4. Sebastian Kris 5. Xavier Savage 6. Ethan Strange 7. Jamal Fogarty 8. Josh Papali'i 9. Tom Starling 10. Joseph Tapine 11. Hudson Young 12. Elliott Whitehead 13. Morgan Smithies 14. Danny Levi 15. Trey Mooney 16. Ata Mariota 17. Zac Hosking 18. Adam Cook 19. Albert Hopoate 20. Simi Sasagi 21. Zac Woolford 22. Emre Guler

In: Jamal Fogarty (halfback), Hudson Young (second row), Zac Hosking (bench), Zac Woolford (reserve)
Changes: Albert Hopoate (centre to reserve), Adam Cook (halfback to bench), Ata Mariota (second row to bench), Simi Sasagi (bench to reserve), Emre Guler (bench to reserve), Sebastian Kris (bench to centre)

1. Taine Tuaupiki 2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 3. Ali Leiataua 4. Adam Pompey 5. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck 6. Chanel Harris-Tavita 7. Te Maire Martin 8. Addin Fonua-Blake 9. Wayde Egan 10. Mitchell Barnett 11. Marata Niukore 12. Kurt Capewell 13. Dylan Walker 14. Freddy Lussick 15. Jackson Ford 16. Jazz Tevaga 17. Leka Halasima 18. Tom Ale 20. Bunty Afoa 21. Edward Kosi 22. Moala Graham-Taufa 23. Jacob Laban

Out: Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad (fullback), Marcelo Montoya (wing)
In: Taine Tuaupiki (fullback), Ali Leiataua (centre), Tom Ale (reserve), Bunty Afoa (reserve), Edward Kosi (reserve), Moala Graham-Taufa (reserve), Jacob Laban (reserve)
Changes: Roger Tuivasa-Sheck (centre to wing)

Referee: Todd SMITH
Sideline Officials: Belinda SHARPE, Peter GOUGH
Video Referee: Liam KENNEDY

HEAD TO HEAD - 1995 - 2024​

	TOTAL	CBR	WAR	DRAWN
ALL MATCHES	51	26	25	0
GIO	21	14	7	0

LAST FIVE MEETINGS​

YEAR	ROUND	RESULT	VENUE	CROWD
2022	Round 8	WAR 21-20	Redcliffe	6326
2022	Round 19	CBR 26-14	GIO	11915
2023	Round 15	WAR 36-14	GIO	21082
2023	Round 21	WAR 21-20	Go Media	19112
2024	Round 3	WAR 18-10	Apollo	17249

BIGGEST WINS​

YEAR	ROUND	RESULT	VENUE	CROWD
2000	Round 5	CBR 56-12	Bruce	8170
2014	Round 9	WAR 54-12	Eden Park	18165

NEXT FOUR MATCHES​

	Round 21	Round 22	Round 23	Round 24
CBR	SOUTHS (H)	CANTERBURY (A)	MANLY (H)	NTH QLD (A)
WAR	W TIGERS (H)	PARRAMATTA (H)	DOLPHINS (A)	MANLY (A)

LAST THREE MATCHES​

	Round 16		Round 17		Round 18
CBR	W TIGERS	L 24-48	MELBOURNE	L 6-16	NEWCASTLE	L 12-16
WAR	GOLD COAST	L 6-66	BRISBANE	W 32-16	CANTERBURY	L 12-13

STATE OF PLAY: 2024 SEASON​

	POSITION	PLAYED	BYES	W-L-D	FOR	AGAINST
CBR	11th	16	3	7-9-0	314	407
WAR	12th	17	2	7-9-1	356	388

 

[Valheru]

Form suggest warriors but don't they have some epic losing rate in games that kick off 9:30 or later NZ time?

Canberra in a tight one

 

[Evil_Mush]

Form suggest warriors but don't they have some epic losing rate in games that kick off 9:30 or later NZ time?

Canberra in a tight one

Yeah, they did have a pretty strong victory last year against the Dragons (so conquered both their Dragons and late NZ-time game hoodoos that night), but I had gone through their late game record via Rugby League Project on that game day thread as below (and checked the games since) showing we don't do well that late at night...


"Also we are playing at 10pm NZ time on Friday, which doesn't bode well for the Warriors either. Was having a look at rleagueproject season summaries earlier, over the last 10.5 seasons (2013-present) we've only won 3/22 games where our games start 9pm or later NZ time (7 of those losses are the annual Melbourne ANZAC fun times)."


Looking at rleagueproject game summaries from that game onwards, we've only had another 3x games after 9pm NZT which actually surprises me (the big win over Dragons above comment was worried about, then Brisbane semi and Melbourne R2 loss this year), so record in late games is now 4/25 in last 11.5 seasons!

 

[Saxon]

Warriors on average score more and concede less than the Raiders.

This game is going to come down to who the ref fists harder.

 

[Wheeled Warrior]

Flip a coin on this one.

 

[Penrose Warrior]

Warriors on average score more and concede less than the Raiders.

This game is going to come down to who the ref fists harder.

Sadly this last line is the criteria for way too many games now.

 

[Vic Mackey]

Get ready for some wackiness

Think Fogarty gets the Raiders home by 4