Broncos chances in 2016

[sensesmaybenumbed]

As long as they lose the battle but win the war..

 

[roostersrule2]

When members start playing with percentages to decide a clubs chances of winning a comp, you know that side has a f**ktonne of chance to win it because they're being talked about.

You didn't mention the club involved, have you not heard of them?

 

[Rhyno]

You didn't mention the club involved, have you not heard of them?

Lame a$$ joke

 

[I Bleed Maroon]

Lame a$$ joke

Are you surprised?

 

[isaiah]

The good news for the Broncos is that 2017 and 2018 will be just as likely? Would only lose Parker and possibly Thaiday during that time and have Oates and Arrow coming through. A real premiership window for the Broncos. 2015 was just a lucky one for us, many predicted that we wouldn't even make the 8.

This. And a production line of talent coming thru. Look for George fai and caleb timu this year. Then jaryd su'a and michael molo next year.

 

[jaseg]

So 3 runner ups have gone on to win the next year in 18 years. 3/18.. in a 16 team comp.. couldn't be many previous year finishing positions that do better? Would actually be pretty interesting to see what finishing position tends to do best the next year.

Not sure why you are so riled up about a team being the favourites, kinda happens every year.

I don't have the exact numbers in front of me right now, but it was something like 10 of the 17 last seasons (18 seasons of NRL, but since we need 2 consecutive seasons and you wouldn't want to use the '97 dual comp finishes the sample size drops to 17) were won by a team that finished in the top 3 on the ladder, and I think it was also 7 or 8 of those were eliminated at earliest the week prior to the grand final. Obviously these two observations are significantly related - it's much easier to make it to finals week 3 with home games and/or an allowable loss.

I think the breakdown at the top end of the table was 4-2-4 (as in, 4 premiers finished 1st the season before, 2 finished 2nd and 4 finished 3rd). After that it was a wide spread of minimal results (perhaps all 1's, maybe a 2 in there somewhere?) that looked pretty random/insignificant.

Broncos fit both correlated requirements (finished in top 3, made it to at least the week before the grand final). The other teams to do so are the defending premiers (no team has gone back to back in over 2 decades) and the Roosters - who lost 2 key players. Hardly a surprise who the favs for 2016 are...

 

[Hutty1986]

I could have sworn St George won 11 premierships in a row.

Must ve wrong though, because IBM said so.

 

[DiegoNT]

Just a quick look at where every premier finished the year before in the nrl era (not including 98 as it was a split comp in 97)
Previous years premiers- 0
Previous years runners up- 1 (and storm 07,09)
Knocked out in previous years prelim final- 4
Knocked out in previous years semis- 4
Knocked out first week of previous years finals- 3
Outside the previous years finals- 3

 

[Valheru]

Brisbane do have some parra 2010 type hype about them coming into the 2016 season. I don't expect them to fall apart like parra did but it certainly won't be as easy as some of their fans think.

Brisbane will once again have a target on its back and most teams generally like to play at suncorp so it will be interesting.

 

[Jason Maher]

If the donkeys don't win the comp, it will be a massive failure and a black mark against Wayne Bennett's legacy.

 

[Card Shark]

True, there is a hell of a lot of expectation there.

 

[Phil McGrawhan]

If the donkeys don't win the comp, it will be a massive failure and a black mark against Wayne Bennett's legacy.

Never heard of the f**ker .

 

[BradMackay]

Back to back grand final losses so Wayne will experience Brian Smith syndrome

 

[_Johnsy]

Their forward pack is another year older with Matt Scott and Aussie Jim looking like they have less f**ks to give as each game goes by.

Have the trials started early ?

 

[_Johnsy]

While it's true that they either will or won't win the comp, that doesn't equal a 50% chance. Out of 16 teams, only 1 wins and 15 don't. Therefore, that would equate to a 1/16 or 6.25% chance. Then you have to account for variables like playing group, coaching staff, draw, injuries and likelihood of being disqualified for rotting the cap. Either way, much less than 50%.

Just saying...

Leave Jawwod out of this.

 

[Snappy]

If the donkeys don't win the comp, it will be a massive failure and a black mark against Wayne Bennett's legacy.

lol righto champ

 

[Bigcoq]

50/50

 

[Phil McGrawhan]

Have the trials started early ?

:lol::lol:
Bronco fans .
The comedy geniuses of LU .
& silly me thought Matty Scott is one of the most consistent props running around .

Then again what would I know .
I thought Will Chambers was a better centre than John Folau .
Glad moron 4life enlightened me .

 

[SLRBRONCOS]

When someone with Mitchell Pearce as their display picture speaks about legacy....

 

[Rhyno]

The Broncos have a loser mentality