But you're assuming coaching performance is all about wins and losses. The fact is that coaching performance is about development of the team, and wins and losses should eventually fall out of that, but not necessarily straight away.
To an extent that's right, but I think you undersell the importance to a club of maintaining a decent win ratio. When a club starts to bleed sponsors and lose memberships year on year due to poor performance not developed between seasons by the coach, then it becomes a bottom line issue. They can have all the (misplaced) belief and patience they can muster in Kearney, but if the operations start bleeding because he isn't maintaining enough wins, then they will turn on him. And that's even before the self-interest of what they need to be seen to be doing before elections in December and next April even comes into play....
Re your example, Wayne Bennett is having a worse year as a coach in 2012 than 2009, yes. In the same way Fuifui is having a worse year as a player. Do you think Bennett will bounce back next year? Do you think Fuifui will? Even Jack Gibson had a failed run late in his coaching career. Trying to generalise about (or absolve) coaches' first years is counter productive imo.
No, that if coaches who won in their first year turned out to be ordinary, and coaches who finished near the bottom in their first year turned out to be guns, then it is strong evidence that a coach's first year in charge can't be judged on wins and losses.
I think it's a random factor. Some coaches with poor early performances turn out to be guns, some/many never do. Some coaches who shine early go on to maintain success, some/many splutter and fade. There are no facts, you've cherry-picked a couple of examples rather than done a comprehensive sweep and tallied the numbers to support your assertion.
No it's factual, and I just showed you why.
No it's not, and no you didn't :lol:. You might have showed yourself, but I suspect that's a much easier audience to convince.
I just gave you the factual examples of Hagan, Stuart and Hasler's rookie seasons.
You've cherry-picked examples, rather than comprehensively searched for facts. Excusing Kearney's first year is neither here nor there. Judging Kearney's employment with us based on his performance at the half-way point is a valid measure of whether the second half is going to represent best value or whether the club should cut its losses. It did an assessment on Anderson in terms of cutting losses there, but clearly got it very wrong.
A team's performance is dependent on everybody in the club; not just the coach. Otherwise Wayne Bennett and Des Hasler's teams would finish 1st and 2nd every year.
True, everybody has a role to play. But Bennett and Hasler have proved they're up to it, and command respect. Kearney is not up to the role he is employed in, and would be losing the respect of the league world fast. Just because he still has the support of our Board doesn't mean he deserves that respect, or that we should treat that support as noteworthy - there are so many other factors at play in that equation (see first paragraph). Our Board may be like those who still protested the earth was flat until the very last day...
When it comes to logic I'm just a natural. Sounds like you should ask for your HECS fees back though.
As you've clearly proven :lol:. Thanks but I think my HECS fees were good value for money in comparison.