Over a large sample it's not luck, it's resources. Our juniors were very good between 2014 and 2017. I'd say we've spent considerably less since then. Luck has nothing to do with it.
I don't believe so.
I think it depends on who is recruiting. Many clubs will get a lot ofmplayers wrong just as fans will. They are trying to pick kids at age 15-17 who will make it. And reality is if you have 2 very talented kids in the same position thenone who misses out will try and seek an opportunity at another club. I have friends who's kids play SG ball. And out will say favouritism also plays a huge role.
JA is actually a great example. Many on here think he has a future and just needs to develop while others would cut him end of season and look elsewhere.
I know people in our club who rated Schneider as the one to keep over Mahoney. Even Fitler had him in the emerging blues squad.
Your special talents like Hayne and Turbo would stand out like dogs balls. But so many forwards would be tricky to know. Look at Pauli Pauli and Tepai. Those two killed under 20s. Looked like special talents and I was excited watching them coming through. My guess is plenty of clubs would of picked both as future NRL PLAYERS and maybe even stars.
So yes resources help of course. The more juniors to chose from also increases chances but it also give you a higher chance of picking the wrong kids and letting the better ones go.