So just for something different - Went and looked at the stats for each top 4 teams centres. There’s a few things to look at, and there seems to be a difference in how some teams use them. But looking at strike power first up I looked at how many possessions each player averaged before scoring or being involved in a try, line break or line break assist.
Possessions divided by Try involvements, line breaks, line break assists
Mitchell 5.1
Manu 9.6
Inglis 11.8
Scott 15
Aitken 15.2
Lafai 15.7
Gagai18.1
Chambers 19
So it’s Mitchell first, daylight second. Damn near unbelievable how explosively dangerous he is. The sort of player who could carry a team to a premiership, and to do that from centre, is extraordinary.
Manu and Inglis close together next.
Scott, aitken, Lafai next group
Gagai and chambers last
Next up is yardage - most teams have their wingers and centres take early hit ups, and they’re expected to contribute to field position this way.
Average metres per game
Aitken 113
Inglis 109
Lafai 108
Gagai 103
Chambers 92
Scott 90
Mitchell 77
Manu 76
I think this is interesting as it looks like the roosters centres are largely left out of yardage early in sets - presumably to save their intensity for attack. Seems to be true to a lesser extent for the storm too, but Scott and Chambers haven’t been near the attacking weapons as Mitchell and Manu. Us and Souths use them more for yardage.
Average metres per run
Mitchell 10.7
Manu 9.5
Inglis 9.4
Chambers 8.9
Aitken 8.8
Lafai 8.8
Gagai 8.4
Scott 8.4
Again it looks like the centres who run less overall during a game, make more metres per run - exception being Inglis, and Scott at the bottom who both runs less than the others (except roosters) but makes less metres each run.
Tackle breaks per game
Mitchell 4.1
Lafai 3.1
Aitken 3.1
Gagai 2.9
Scott 2.2
Manu 2.1
Inglis 1.9
Chambers 1.4
Mitchell top again - aitken and Lafai next. Here’s where there needs to be improvement, having players moving in support will turn more of these into line breaks and points. Wouldn’t have expected Inglis so low.
Possessions to Effective offloads
Mitchell 12.2
Lafai 16.5
Chambers 27.1
Aitken 31.9
Manu 33.6
Gagai 40.2
Scott 56.2
Inglis 69.2
Again the deficiencies in support play, those offloads should be translating into more line breaks. Lafai has certainly improved his offload selection, and aitken better than I expected. But they need to be capitalised on more frequently.
Some surprises in defence
Tackle efficiency
Inglis 87%
Aitken 84%
Lafai 83%
Scott 82%
Manu 82%
Gagai 80%
Chambers 79%
Mitchell 77%
Linebreak causes per game
Scott 0.3
Aitken 0.4
Lafai 0.4
Inglis 0.4
Chambers 0.5
Manu 0.6
Gagai 0.6
Mitchell 0.6
Interestingly despite aitkens propensity for making poor reads, his stuff ups cause line breaks at the same rate per game as Inglis, and better than Chambers. And again similar to total metres run there’s something of an inverse correlation between attacking intensity and defensive efficiency. Manu and Mitchell are a third more likely to concede a linebreak than Lafai, aitken or Inglis.
I’m not actually trying to convince anyone of anything - both our centres had a shit day Sunday. If lomax or whoever came in and played better, I’d be stoked. But context helps when trying to look at players performance. I wouldn’t expect aitken for instance to concede the same amount of line breaks as Inglis and less than Chambers or Gagai. The problems are more systemic than down to individual players, with better focus and support play, and not looking to set up the next play we’d probably find more points off the opportunities a player like Lafai provides.