the narrative surrounding the aflol's next media rights deal is full of inconsistencies & nonsense ..
If Paramount /10 are offering 600 million a year ( widely reported ) then, why are the aflol still even talking to Ch7/foxtel ?
600 mill is in reality silly money & the aflol's reluctance to take it suggests to me there is no offer of this magnitude or in fact ... anything like it .. from Paramount /10, hence the aflol still courting their current broadcast partners ( again widely reported) to up their offers . The offer if it exists at all , from Paramount /10 is most likely in the same range as Ch7/foxtel's so there is no motivation to change partners ( better the devil you know) The silly laughable attempt by the aflol to create bidding tension with a stories about 3 billion offers on the table has failed miserably.
so
where is the bid.
The curr
ent partners have offered something in the vicinity of a CPI increase telling the aflol thats what they believe the rights are worth in their current format.
so its up to about 440 Mill
The aflol are now desperately trying to see what they can change in the format to increase the offers on the table.
removing the guarantee of all games on FTA in WA & SA is worth money to foxtel , no doubt. But any gains there will be lost in Ch 7's offer because they could lose up to 30 million viewers over the life of the deal.
So what does the aflol do , they give Ch 7 regular Thursday nights & night GF's as compensation.
I'd say foxtel will pay 20 mill pa more for the extra WA & SA subscriptions , the only increase in the deal outside of CPI
meaning the total deal will come in at around 460 mill pa.
Thats it
theres nothing else the the aflol can do or offer.
Vlandys now works out what a 9th game is worth to the NRL & wether it is worth introducing team 18 in the life of their next deal 2023-27.
My guess, it will be worth it ( over 50 mill pa) & will happen in 2026.