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NRL's growth mindset points to 18th team. And it ain't Perth.

Messages
14,822
With the Broncos getting the wooden spoon last year there is next to no chance that pro/rel would ever happen. Can you imagine if the Broncos got relegated and what that would do to the comp? Nine would lose their shit but they wouldn't even pay for the rights knowing the Broncos could possibly be relegated.
Murdoch would be the first to crack the shits.
 
Messages
14,822
Bring back the North Sydney Bears and, while we’re at it, the Newtown Jets.

And do it without affecting the quality of the NRL competition.

The future of rugby league has been the subject of much debate around conferences, expansion, a lopsided competition and the survival of bush footy.

One option the NRL should consider is promotion and relegation like in UK soccer.

Relegate two clubs to have a streamlined 14-team NRL premiership and a 10-team Championship (2nd division.)

Here’s how it would work.

BETTER FOOTY

The two-conference proposal first raised seven years ago in this newspaper will not improve the standard of the product each week.

It will actually make it worse in that there are not enough quality football players to fill 16 teams, let alone 18.

The gap between the top and bottom teams is too great. We see it every week.

Reducing the number of teams will create a much stronger NRL competition with fewer blowouts and more regular blockbusters.

Players that aren’t quite first graders can join a Championship team.

THE DESPERATION

There would be as much interest in the bottom end of the ladder as the top.

Lower teams would be as desperate to avoid relegation as top clubs are to make the finals.

It would add huge interest at the back end of the season to games that are normally dead rubbers.

This will surely increase the quality of football, attendances and television ratings.

Imagine the interest if St George-Illawarra was playing the Wests Tigers and needed to win to avoid relegation in the final round. You’d need a big stadium.

DETAILS AT A GLANCE

  • Initially two teams relegated from bottom of the ladder

  • 1 team promoted and relegated each year

  • 14 strong NRL clubs

  • New 10-team Championship (2nd division)

  • Not as many blowouts

  • More blockbuster games

  • Huge interest in bottom placed NRL teams late in season

  • Huge interest in top Championship teams late in season

  • Brings back the Bears and Newtown

  • Puts the onus on the clubs to get their houses in order

  • Massive boost for bush football

  • League on the Central Coast

  • Loan player arrangements for promoted clubs

  • Championship match of the round on TV Wednesday nights
DEMOTED NRL CLUBS

The bottom two teams on the premiership ladder would initially drop to The Championship.

Then the bottom team each year would be relegated.

It sounds harsh and there would no doubt be met with outrage by fans of underperforming NRL clubs like the Wests Tigers, the Canterbury Bulldogs or even the Cronulla Sharks.

However tough and not always fan-friendly calls need to be made.

Uncompetitive teams on the receiving end of blowouts each week are hurting the quality of the NRL competition.

Let them go back to The Championship, get their house in order, then try to make it back through better management.

This will force them to think smarter and run a business as well as clubs like the Roosters, Rabbitohs, Storm and the Parramatta Eels.

THE PLAYERS

So what happens to the star NRL players from the clubs that are demoted?

The players could be lent to clubs in the NRL competition. Like Melbourne Storm, the Wests Tigers and Harry Grant last year. It can be done.

The promoted Championship club each year would get first crack in a draft for these players.

NRL 14-TEAM COMP

$10 million salary cap

Teams: Panthers, Storm, Eels, Roosters, Raiders, Rabbitohs, Knights, Sharks, Titans

Warriors, Manly, Dragons, Broncos, Cowboys

  • Play each other twice

  • Top 5 finals series

  • Bottom team drops to Championship
THE CHAMPIONSHIP

Imagine the excitement around a fairytale return for traditional old clubs like the North Sydney Bears and the Newtown Jets.

While these clubs at the moment are nowhere near in a position to be running an NRL side, this at least leaves the door ever so slightly ajar for it to happen in the future.

Both clubs still have enormous fan bases.

The Championship 10-team competition would also put rugby league back on the Central Coast.

This is a thriving rugby league area but lacks enough corporate support to have an NRL franchise. This would change if they won The Championship.

It would also be a way help new expansion clubs like a second Brisbane or New Zealand team get their introductions into a professional environment.

Teams would have a salary cap of $4 million.

CHAMPIONSHIP 10-TEAM COMP

$4 million salary cap

Teams: Wests Tigers, 2nd Brisbane team, Bulldogs, Wellington (NZ), NSW Country, Perth, Central Coast, North Sydney Bears, Newtown, Mackay

NSW COUNTRY

This would give country football the lift and revitalisation it so desperately needs.

The side could be based out of the Riverina, (population 155,000) and once a rugby league heartland before the AFL steamrolled into Wagga Wagga.

It could be a satellite team playing home games in country towns like Dubbo, Bathurst, Mudgee, Tamworth, Armidale and Coffs Harbour but the majority of games out of the Riverina.

It would mean high quality rugby league in the bush every weekend. Youngsters in country towns would dream of making the side and getting TV exposure along a pathway to the NRL.

TV COVERAGE

Having two competitions would allow the NRL to spread the coverage of the game around the TV networks, like what happens with major sport in the United States.

All Championship matches would be covered on TV as well as NRL.

The match of the round could become a regular Wednesday night game on Fox Sports.

THE REACTION

Peter V’Landys has always said he will listen to the fans. This is fantastic.

However you can’t be completely driven by the parochialism of rugby league supporters.

There will be initial pain but tough decisions need to be made in big business and in sport.
No one gives a f**k about the North Sydney Bears or Newtown Jets. Cronulla would be up shit creek if this happened. The better option would be to demote a couple of Sydney's less profitable clubs from oversaturated areas to the NSW Cup, then rename the surviving clubs from their area to something more broad so they can develop a larger fanbase over the next 20 years. Sharks and Bulldogs to go. Wests Tigers become Western Sydney Tigers. St George Illawarra Dragons become Southern Sydney Dragons. Manly Sea Eagles become North Sydney Sea Eagles. Now you've got a good distribution of clubs, less clutter and better branding to attract international sponsors.

If you're a Chinese company, who are you more likely to invest in, St George Illawarra Dragons or Southern Sydney Dragons?
No one in China would know where "St George Illawarra" is, but they know about Sydney.
There's a large Chinese population in St George, so why not try to draw investors from China to make the club one of the largest sporting brands in the world?
The fact they use the "Dragons" mascot would appeal to Chinese considering dragons hold a special place in Chinese culture. Change the club's main colour to red and add yellow so it represents China. Get St George out of the logo and make it more appealing to Chinese.
 
Last edited:

The Great Dane

First Grade
Messages
7,957
To be fair to Rothfield a pro&reg system could be implemented in the NRL, only the way he designed it would be a disaster and you'd need years of planning and probably decades of preparation to get it off the ground.

Unless they are willing to risk TV dollars the NRL would need a roughly even geographical spread of clubs able to participate in the pyramid, and multiple from every major market, before they could even start seriously pushing pro&reg.

So yeah, it's not impossible, but even if the NRL wanted it it'd take decades of work before it was feasible.

Conferences on the other hand are not only an inevitable result of growth, but could be achieved in about a decade if the NRL wants to go down that route. However the Sydney conference is just as bad an idea as Rothfields pro&reg plan.
 

MugaB

Coach
Messages
15,042
To be fair to Rothfield a pro&reg system could be implemented in the NRL, only the way he designed it would be a disaster and you'd need years of planning and probably decades of preparation to get it off the ground.

Unless they are willing to risk TV dollars the NRL would need a roughly even geographical spread of clubs able to participate in the pyramid, and multiple from every major market, before they could even start seriously pushing pro&reg.

So yeah, it's not impossible, but even if the NRL wanted it it'd take decades of work before it was feasible.

Conferences on the other hand are not only an inevitable result of growth, but could be achieved in about a decade if the NRL wants to go down that route. However the Sydney conference is just as bad an idea as Rothfields pro&reg plan.
Yep agree, i cant see a sydney only conference purely coz they can never play against each other in a superbowl at the end of the competition.
That and the super unfair advantage of travel that the interstate (or non-sydney teams) would have to do in comparison to the sydney conference, wayne bennet mentioned that they are used to it and that being away every fortnight is the norm, but its more elevated if this structure is in place. Plus some teams from out of sydney draw bigger crowds from the sydney brands and vice versa.
The only way conferences work is if Sydney is spit in half using the M4 or Parramatta rd as the border, any clubs north of that border in the northern conference, and any team south of that border in the southern conference.

Effectively Northern conference would be =North Qld, Brisbane2, Broncos, Titans, Newcastle, Manly, Tigers, Eels, Panthers.

Southern Conference would be = Souths, Roosters, Bulldogs, Sharks, Raiders, Dragons, Storm, Warriors, NZ2 (or Perth)
 

The Great Dane

First Grade
Messages
7,957
Yep agree, i cant see a sydney only conference purely coz they can never play against each other in a superbowl at the end of the competition.
That and the super unfair advantage of travel that the interstate (or non-sydney teams) would have to do in comparison to the sydney conference, wayne bennet mentioned that they are used to it and that being away every fortnight is the norm, but its more elevated if this structure is in place. Plus some teams from out of sydney draw bigger crowds from the sydney brands and vice versa.
The only way conferences work is if Sydney is spit in half using the M4 or Parramatta rd as the border, any clubs north of that border in the northern conference, and any team south of that border in the southern conference.

Effectively Northern conference would be =North Qld, Brisbane2, Broncos, Titans, Newcastle, Manly, Tigers, Eels, Panthers.

Southern Conference would be = Souths, Roosters, Bulldogs, Sharks, Raiders, Dragons, Storm, Warriors, NZ2 (or Perth)
Ideally if you were going to move to conferences you'd have more than two, it's just easier to make it fairer that way. But if for whatever reason the NRL has it's heart set on having two conferences then maybe the way to go would be to split the big rivalries up.

Now I know that sounds insane, but that is the only way I can think of where you could have a even slightly fair geographical spread and 9 teams in the one city, and it'd give added meaning to the rivalry games.

That way you play every one in your conference twice, everyone in the other conference once, and those rivalry games are a huge event that happens once a year (outside of in finals).

So something like-

Conference A- Brisbane, Canberra, GC, Manly, St. George, Souths, NZ 2, Parramatta, Penrith.

Conference B- Bris 2, Newcastle, NQ, Melbourne, Cronulla, Easts, Warriors, Canterbury, Wests.

It's not ideal, but see how that gives you about as even a geographical spread as possible, and it could enhance the rivalries rather than take away from them.

BTW, ideally you'd have even numbers in the conferences, which would require a quick move to 20 teams instead of 18.
 
Last edited:

MugaB

Coach
Messages
15,042
Ideally if you were going to move to conferences you'd have more than two, it's just easier to make it fairer that way. But if for whatever reason the NRL has it's heart set on having two conferences then maybe the way to go would be to split the big rivalries up.

Now I know that sounds insane, but that is the only way I can think of where you could have a even slightly fair geographical spread and 9 teams in the one city, and it'd give added meaning to the rivalry games.

That way you play every one in your conference twice, everyone in the other conference once, and those rivalry games are a huge even that happens once a year (outside of in finals).

So something like-

Conference A- Broncos, Raiders, Titans, Manly, St. George, Rabbitohs, NZ 2, Parramatta, Penrith.

Conference B- Bris 2, Knights, Cowboys, Melbourne, Cronulla, Roosters, Warriors, Canterbury, Wests.

It's not ideal, but see how that gives you about as even a geographical spread as possible, and it could enhance the rivalries rather than take away from them.

BTW, ideally you'd have even numbers in the conferences, which would require a quick move to 20 teams instead of 18.
Im pretty sure they are keen on keeping the qld sides in one conference as well the two nz sides
 

The Great Dane

First Grade
Messages
7,957
Im pretty sure they are keen on keeping the qld sides in one conference as well the two nz sides
Yeah but as soon as you do that you make the geography lopsided, which should be avoided for all sorts of reasons

Whether you split the Sydney clubs or not you are going to end up with a weird conference if you keep the Qld and NZ sides together, and weird conferences should be avoided.

In an ideal world the NRL would hold off on conferences until stuff like Qld and NZ conferences are feasible. There's probably never going to be a time when e.g. a Western conference is feasible, so there'd still be anomalies, but they are an inevitably in conference systems, and that would still be a better outcome.
 

MugaB

Coach
Messages
15,042
Yeah but as soon as you do that you make the geography lopsided, which should be avoided for all sorts of reasons

Whether you split the Sydney clubs or not you are going to end up with a weird conference if you keep the Qld and NZ sides together, and weird conferences should be avoided.

In an ideal world the NRL would hold off on conferences until stuff like Qld and NZ conferences are feasible. There's probably never going to be a time when e.g. a Western conference is feasible, so there'd still be anomalies, but they are an inevitably in conference systems, and that would still be a better outcome.
I mean like having the 4 qld teams, Newcastle, penrith, parra, wests and manly in one "northern" conference,
And the Nz 1& 2 plus the rest in the other "southern" conference, i wouldn't have 2 new expansion sides in the same conference, like they've been rumoured to be along with the interstate teams.
I know you stated to have more than 2 conferences but i'd be waiting for upto 20 clubs before doing that
 

Jamberoo

Juniors
Messages
1,436
Yep agree, i cant see a sydney only conference purely coz they can never play against each other in a superbowl at the end of the competition.
That and the super unfair advantage of travel that the interstate (or non-sydney teams) would have to do in comparison to the sydney conference, wayne bennet mentioned that they are used to it and that being away every fortnight is the norm, but its more elevated if this structure is in place. Plus some teams from out of sydney draw bigger crowds from the sydney brands and vice versa.
The only way conferences work is if Sydney is spit in half using the M4 or Parramatta rd as the border, any clubs north of that border in the northern conference, and any team south of that border in the southern conference.

Effectively Northern conference would be =North Qld, Brisbane2, Broncos, Titans, Newcastle, Manly, Tigers, Eels, Panthers.

Southern Conference would be = Souths, Roosters, Bulldogs, Sharks, Raiders, Dragons, Storm, Warriors, NZ2 (or Perth)
So what it the benefit of dividing teams into two conferences?
 

Perth Red

Post Whore
Messages
69,548
So what it the benefit of dividing teams into two conferences?

Only one I can see is guaranteeing two matches against natural rivals each season, but that doesn't need conferences to achieve.
Longer term I suppose it might create new rivalries within your conference that might not currently exist.
I thought it might work out cheaper for NRL with less travel and accommodation but looking at previous years it seems Sydney teams travel to out of sydney times around 4-6 times a year which wouldn't be any different under this conference idea.
For the NRL they believe it may create an extra two massive event games a year with the conference championship games which would potentially be bigger than the current finals.
 

jim_57

Moderator
Staff member
Messages
4,602

I'd love to see the figures for junior participation in PNG, NSW, QLD & NZ then compare those numbers to how many make it to NRL, NSW Cup or QLD Cup.

PNG and to a lesser extent Fiji would be a long way behind on the conversion rate. This isn't coincidence, it's because there are next to no pathways for juniors outside of NSW, QLD and NZ to make it to the NRL.
 

TheRam

Coach
Messages
13,883
AFL invasion of country footy means expansion goalposts have well and truly moved
Before we worry about the alleged inequities of any NRL conference system let’s ask where will the talent come from to fill two teams writes Paul Kent.

The solution to both is there in front of us.

A day after news broke about a dual-conference system in the NRL, Craig Bellamy is on the phone and we are talking about what seems to be one of the great concerns about this idea of expansion.

Bellamy’s concern is like that of almost all the coaches, which is a lack of talent to spread across all 17, and perhaps eventually 18, teams.

This competition is already divided into teams that can win the premiership and those struggling to improve, and already the NRL is talking about adding one and then another team who, under the rules of simple mathematics, means they are adding the 481st- to 540th-ranked best players in the land.

9b9434880312d0ce50306dd195c04a7f

Storm head coach Craig Bellamy doesn’t think there is enough talent to fill two new teams in the NRL. Picture: Daniel Pockett/Getty Images

For those a little mathematically challenged, the first 480 are already contracted to the 16 NRL clubs.

How does that make the competition better?

Bellamy is worried there is not enough good players to spread across the NRL already.

“Back in the day when you and I played,” he says, generously assuming I had a day, “all you could do was play footy.


“Nowadays there’s so many other things they can do.”

He starts talking about Melbourne’s game against Penrith in Bathurst in 2019 and of their bus trip after the game, driving through the dark streets of Bathurst when suddenly the world lit up.

Bellamy grew up not far away, at Portland just outside of Lithgow, hidden behind the Wallerawang Power Station.

And here out of the darkness rose an AFL field lit up like the cornfield in Field of Dreams, with grass you could play snooker on.

Next to it was a smaller AFL ground.

“The AFL have spread their wings all through our areas,” Bellamy says. “They had two AFL grounds.”

c44f724671e851305279f1a924849c9e

Retired NRL great Noel Cleal has spoken about his fears for bush footy. Picture: Nathan Edwards

Two AFL grounds. He could not believe it. There wasn’t an AFL competition in the central west when Bellamy grew up and now they have these two big beautiful AFL grounds, shining like diamonds, as the AFL marches across rugby league heartlands.

Then, in the same week, Noel Cleal, bush football’s greatest patriot, declares he has not seen bush football in a worse state in his 50 years of involvement with the bush.

The two are most definitely related, and the NRL need to realise this as soon as possible.

Bush clubs are dying through lack of player numbers. Competitions are folding or merging because it no longer seems fun beating up on the same two clubs in a three-team competition.

Where towns once had second and even third grades now they struggle to put out a first grade competition, age-group football is shrinking.

Over the years, the NRL and previously the ARL have offered any number of reasons why this is so, the arc bordering from arrogance to incompetence.

All the way back in 1994 I wrote a column when it had already begun. It was clear then the game was already in some decline.

The column asked why the Australian Rugby League was spending $1.5 million a year on development in country NSW and country Queensland while the AFL was already spending $6 million, four times as much, in the same areas.

The ARL scoffed at the AFL’s stupidity.

95b927a47e7ed17f22d0d6b5b4f37afe

Australian Rugby League Commission Chairman Peter V’landys must walk a fine line between expansion of the NRL and hurting country football. Picture: Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)

Those are rugby league heartlands, they said, and the AFL is dreaming if they ever think they will have a presence there.

And now you think of Bellamy’s AFL goalposts in Bathurst.

Whenever I got letters or emails after that from good country people worrying about the state of the bush game I would ask the NRL what they were doing and the answer was a broad brush response that did nothing.

“It’s not just bush football that’s dying,” they’d say, “the bush is dying.”

In other words, nothing we can do. Even if, in some towns, they were right. Kids were fleeing to the city.

But the trick is to adapt and move forward, which they never seemed too bothered with.

Or perhaps had no answers. Or maybe it was too tough, the job too big.

Some years later, AFL boss Andrew Demetriou called in the heavy hitters in his game and, in a secret meeting, declared they were going to take on rugby league.

Demetriou explained they were going to take a subversive approach, borrowed straight from a military textbook.

We are going to go after the hearts and minds of the mothers, he said, and we are going to take their land.

So the AFL approached councils like the one in western Sydney, who oversaw a dusty, yellow-grassed eyesore some called a footy field and the AFL offered to resurface the entire oval and then pay for a greenkeeper to maintain the ground every week.

With there being no such thing as a free lunch, the council asked what they wanted in return.

“Just take down the rugby league posts and put up AFL posts,” the AFL said.

That was it.

And now you think of Bellamy’s AFL goalposts.

The AFL was launching a 20-year war, going after the next generation.

And now as the game tries to expand at the top they wonder why there might not be enough talent to go around.

The two are clearly related.

The answer is not merely expensive academies for elite talent, which helps the NRL clubs mostly. The NRL already has the elite players, the quiet truth being they now come from a dwindling pool.

The answer is participation, winning back all that ground surrendered to the AFL.

Only strength through numbers will make the game thrive, and it needs a whole of game approach to achieve it.

https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/s...d/news-story/a4aed11b04f04041c6879f76d899831e
 

mongoose

Coach
Messages
11,808
Only one I can see is guaranteeing two matches against natural rivals each season, but that doesn't need conferences to achieve.
Longer term I suppose it might create new rivalries within your conference that might not currently exist.
I thought it might work out cheaper for NRL with less travel and accommodation but looking at previous years it seems Sydney teams travel to out of sydney times around 4-6 times a year which wouldn't be any different under this conference idea.
For the NRL they believe it may create an extra two massive event games a year with the conference championship games which would potentially be bigger than the current finals.

A more equal draw for teams within your conference.

I think the cons outweigh the pros though. You can't play a grand final or "super bowl" against a team in your own conference and also what if one conference is stacked with all the best teams? Imagine if Panthers, Storm, Roosters, Eels, Rabbitohs were all in the same conference this year.
 

Perth Red

Post Whore
Messages
69,548
AFL invasion of country footy means expansion goalposts have well and truly moved
Before we worry about the alleged inequities of any NRL conference system let’s ask where will the talent come from to fill two teams writes Paul Kent.

The solution to both is there in front of us.

A day after news broke about a dual-conference system in the NRL, Craig Bellamy is on the phone and we are talking about what seems to be one of the great concerns about this idea of expansion.

Bellamy’s concern is like that of almost all the coaches, which is a lack of talent to spread across all 17, and perhaps eventually 18, teams.

This competition is already divided into teams that can win the premiership and those struggling to improve, and already the NRL is talking about adding one and then another team who, under the rules of simple mathematics, means they are adding the 481st- to 540th-ranked best players in the land.

9b9434880312d0ce50306dd195c04a7f

Storm head coach Craig Bellamy doesn’t think there is enough talent to fill two new teams in the NRL. Picture: Daniel Pockett/Getty Images

For those a little mathematically challenged, the first 480 are already contracted to the 16 NRL clubs.

How does that make the competition better?

Bellamy is worried there is not enough good players to spread across the NRL already.

“Back in the day when you and I played,” he says, generously assuming I had a day, “all you could do was play footy.


“Nowadays there’s so many other things they can do.”

He starts talking about Melbourne’s game against Penrith in Bathurst in 2019 and of their bus trip after the game, driving through the dark streets of Bathurst when suddenly the world lit up.

Bellamy grew up not far away, at Portland just outside of Lithgow, hidden behind the Wallerawang Power Station.

And here out of the darkness rose an AFL field lit up like the cornfield in Field of Dreams, with grass you could play snooker on.

Next to it was a smaller AFL ground.

“The AFL have spread their wings all through our areas,” Bellamy says. “They had two AFL grounds.”

c44f724671e851305279f1a924849c9e

Retired NRL great Noel Cleal has spoken about his fears for bush footy. Picture: Nathan Edwards

Two AFL grounds. He could not believe it. There wasn’t an AFL competition in the central west when Bellamy grew up and now they have these two big beautiful AFL grounds, shining like diamonds, as the AFL marches across rugby league heartlands.

Then, in the same week, Noel Cleal, bush football’s greatest patriot, declares he has not seen bush football in a worse state in his 50 years of involvement with the bush.

The two are most definitely related, and the NRL need to realise this as soon as possible.

Bush clubs are dying through lack of player numbers. Competitions are folding or merging because it no longer seems fun beating up on the same two clubs in a three-team competition.

Where towns once had second and even third grades now they struggle to put out a first grade competition, age-group football is shrinking.

Over the years, the NRL and previously the ARL have offered any number of reasons why this is so, the arc bordering from arrogance to incompetence.

All the way back in 1994 I wrote a column when it had already begun. It was clear then the game was already in some decline.

The column asked why the Australian Rugby League was spending $1.5 million a year on development in country NSW and country Queensland while the AFL was already spending $6 million, four times as much, in the same areas.

The ARL scoffed at the AFL’s stupidity.

95b927a47e7ed17f22d0d6b5b4f37afe

Australian Rugby League Commission Chairman Peter V’landys must walk a fine line between expansion of the NRL and hurting country football. Picture: Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)

Those are rugby league heartlands, they said, and the AFL is dreaming if they ever think they will have a presence there.

And now you think of Bellamy’s AFL goalposts in Bathurst.

Whenever I got letters or emails after that from good country people worrying about the state of the bush game I would ask the NRL what they were doing and the answer was a broad brush response that did nothing.

“It’s not just bush football that’s dying,” they’d say, “the bush is dying.”

In other words, nothing we can do. Even if, in some towns, they were right. Kids were fleeing to the city.

But the trick is to adapt and move forward, which they never seemed too bothered with.

Or perhaps had no answers. Or maybe it was too tough, the job too big.

Some years later, AFL boss Andrew Demetriou called in the heavy hitters in his game and, in a secret meeting, declared they were going to take on rugby league.

Demetriou explained they were going to take a subversive approach, borrowed straight from a military textbook.

We are going to go after the hearts and minds of the mothers, he said, and we are going to take their land.

So the AFL approached councils like the one in western Sydney, who oversaw a dusty, yellow-grassed eyesore some called a footy field and the AFL offered to resurface the entire oval and then pay for a greenkeeper to maintain the ground every week.

With there being no such thing as a free lunch, the council asked what they wanted in return.

“Just take down the rugby league posts and put up AFL posts,” the AFL said.

That was it.

And now you think of Bellamy’s AFL goalposts.

The AFL was launching a 20-year war, going after the next generation.

And now as the game tries to expand at the top they wonder why there might not be enough talent to go around.

The two are clearly related.

The answer is not merely expensive academies for elite talent, which helps the NRL clubs mostly. The NRL already has the elite players, the quiet truth being they now come from a dwindling pool.

The answer is participation, winning back all that ground surrendered to the AFL.

Only strength through numbers will make the game thrive, and it needs a whole of game approach to achieve it.

https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/s...d/news-story/a4aed11b04f04041c6879f76d899831e

I love these sort of chicken little articles that have no evidence, stats or solutions! Firstly AFL can focus on NSW and Qlnd as their heartland state league organisations are doing their jobs very well, and the fact RL has no strategy to move into their turf meaning they dont have to worry about their rears, they can just keep forging ahead in new areas. IN WA the AFL has virtually nothing to do with grassroots AFL. Its all run by the WAFC. Maybe Kent should be asking NSWRL/CRL why they exist and what their strategy is. The NRl should just be helping fund that strategy not responsible for it. RL has a dumb set up that the NRL are held responsible for everything, they should not be. Grassroots should be the responsibility of the State body, with support from the ARLC.

Then we should be asking what is the NRL doing to close the $250mill a year revenue gap with AFL. End of day the AFL can spend big in growth areas because it earns sht loads more money than NRL. Imagine what NRL could do with an extra $250mill a year in the kitty!

The other thing is the ARLC have stopped producing quantitively measurable metrics in the annual report since Vlandys took over. Be up front and show us how club registrations are going by state, by age group and by gender. Its hard to know if we have a problem if we don't have transparency. Likewise every State League organisation should have to be producing an annual report with their own break down of participation rates.
 

Perth Red

Post Whore
Messages
69,548
A more equal draw for teams within your conference.

I think the cons outweigh the pros though. You can't play a grand final or "super bowl" against a team in your own conference and also what if one conference is stacked with all the best teams? Imagine if Panthers, Storm, Roosters, Eels, Rabbitohs were all in the same conference this year.

Yes that is a big issue but easily solved by putting the top 4 from each conference into a playoff structure like we have now based on win/loss and points difference then conference rating. That way you could still end up with anyone playing anyone in the GF. It does take away the idea of a confernece championship game though which is one of the appealing things for the TV.
 

mongoose

Coach
Messages
11,808
AFL invasion of country footy means expansion goalposts have well and truly moved
Before we worry about the alleged inequities of any NRL conference system let’s ask where will the talent come from to fill two teams writes Paul Kent.

The solution to both is there in front of us.

A day after news broke about a dual-conference system in the NRL, Craig Bellamy is on the phone and we are talking about what seems to be one of the great concerns about this idea of expansion.

Bellamy’s concern is like that of almost all the coaches, which is a lack of talent to spread across all 17, and perhaps eventually 18, teams.

This competition is already divided into teams that can win the premiership and those struggling to improve, and already the NRL is talking about adding one and then another team who, under the rules of simple mathematics, means they are adding the 481st- to 540th-ranked best players in the land.

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Storm head coach Craig Bellamy doesn’t think there is enough talent to fill two new teams in the NRL. Picture: Daniel Pockett/Getty Images

For those a little mathematically challenged, the first 480 are already contracted to the 16 NRL clubs.

How does that make the competition better?

Bellamy is worried there is not enough good players to spread across the NRL already.

“Back in the day when you and I played,” he says, generously assuming I had a day, “all you could do was play footy.


“Nowadays there’s so many other things they can do.”

He starts talking about Melbourne’s game against Penrith in Bathurst in 2019 and of their bus trip after the game, driving through the dark streets of Bathurst when suddenly the world lit up.

Bellamy grew up not far away, at Portland just outside of Lithgow, hidden behind the Wallerawang Power Station.

And here out of the darkness rose an AFL field lit up like the cornfield in Field of Dreams, with grass you could play snooker on.

Next to it was a smaller AFL ground.

“The AFL have spread their wings all through our areas,” Bellamy says. “They had two AFL grounds.”

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Retired NRL great Noel Cleal has spoken about his fears for bush footy. Picture: Nathan Edwards

Two AFL grounds. He could not believe it. There wasn’t an AFL competition in the central west when Bellamy grew up and now they have these two big beautiful AFL grounds, shining like diamonds, as the AFL marches across rugby league heartlands.

Then, in the same week, Noel Cleal, bush football’s greatest patriot, declares he has not seen bush football in a worse state in his 50 years of involvement with the bush.

The two are most definitely related, and the NRL need to realise this as soon as possible.

Bush clubs are dying through lack of player numbers. Competitions are folding or merging because it no longer seems fun beating up on the same two clubs in a three-team competition.

Where towns once had second and even third grades now they struggle to put out a first grade competition, age-group football is shrinking.

Over the years, the NRL and previously the ARL have offered any number of reasons why this is so, the arc bordering from arrogance to incompetence.

All the way back in 1994 I wrote a column when it had already begun. It was clear then the game was already in some decline.

The column asked why the Australian Rugby League was spending $1.5 million a year on development in country NSW and country Queensland while the AFL was already spending $6 million, four times as much, in the same areas.

The ARL scoffed at the AFL’s stupidity.

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Australian Rugby League Commission Chairman Peter V’landys must walk a fine line between expansion of the NRL and hurting country football. Picture: Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)

Those are rugby league heartlands, they said, and the AFL is dreaming if they ever think they will have a presence there.

And now you think of Bellamy’s AFL goalposts in Bathurst.

Whenever I got letters or emails after that from good country people worrying about the state of the bush game I would ask the NRL what they were doing and the answer was a broad brush response that did nothing.

“It’s not just bush football that’s dying,” they’d say, “the bush is dying.”

In other words, nothing we can do. Even if, in some towns, they were right. Kids were fleeing to the city.

But the trick is to adapt and move forward, which they never seemed too bothered with.

Or perhaps had no answers. Or maybe it was too tough, the job too big.

Some years later, AFL boss Andrew Demetriou called in the heavy hitters in his game and, in a secret meeting, declared they were going to take on rugby league.

Demetriou explained they were going to take a subversive approach, borrowed straight from a military textbook.

We are going to go after the hearts and minds of the mothers, he said, and we are going to take their land.

So the AFL approached councils like the one in western Sydney, who oversaw a dusty, yellow-grassed eyesore some called a footy field and the AFL offered to resurface the entire oval and then pay for a greenkeeper to maintain the ground every week.

With there being no such thing as a free lunch, the council asked what they wanted in return.

“Just take down the rugby league posts and put up AFL posts,” the AFL said.

That was it.

And now you think of Bellamy’s AFL goalposts.

The AFL was launching a 20-year war, going after the next generation.

And now as the game tries to expand at the top they wonder why there might not be enough talent to go around.

The two are clearly related.

The answer is not merely expensive academies for elite talent, which helps the NRL clubs mostly. The NRL already has the elite players, the quiet truth being they now come from a dwindling pool.

The answer is participation, winning back all that ground surrendered to the AFL.

Only strength through numbers will make the game thrive, and it needs a whole of game approach to achieve it.

https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/s...d/news-story/a4aed11b04f04041c6879f76d899831e

Firstly there is no divide in the competition and even if there is it's not because of a lack of talent , that's just a lazy analysis. What's the difference between 1 or 2 teams being way ahead of everyone else and 5 teams? There have been dozens of years where a couple of teams are virtually unbeatable. Manly and Canberra in 1995 only lost 2 games during the regular season. Eels in 2001 blew everyone away. Storm and Roosters have had some very dominant seasons in recent times. Panthers last year. It's like this every season. This year it seems to be 5 teams that are way ahead of everyone else, so?

Bellamy is worried his old big 3 aren't going to be replaced with equally talented players? f**king hell... he actually has replaced them with amazingly talented players which is actually astounding.
 

Perth Red

Post Whore
Messages
69,548
Seems its not so much the amount of talent to spread but rather that some clubs seem to have much more success in getting the very talented. Maybe the clubs who don't have such luck recruiting or developing that level of talent need to take a look in the mirror rather than blaming a lack of talent? I mean Storm built arguably the greatest spine of all time, some said when it was gone they would be down at the bottom. Instead it seems they have replaced that GOAT spine with three outstanding youngsters and a journeyman they've turned into a star, signs are they could go on to emulate the GOAT.

That's not to say we shouldn't be concerned about a drop in grassroots number, if indeed there is a significant drop, which we dont know.
 

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