Limited places is a myth, they can go to 22-24 teams if they wanted to, licences cost nothing, its all dependant on how much money the NRL can distribute the broadcast funds, aswell as how many players are circulating in the tital player pool around the NRL and reserve grade comps..
So limited places is a myth but the NRL could only sustain 22-24 teams...
Any given competition can only sustain so many teams at any given time before the competition becomes unwieldy and/or it starts to negatively effect the quality of the product.
In the NRL's case that number is probably around 22 (at a stretch), however they have more than 5 expansion options all vying for those places, almost all of which would be more viable and valuable options than PNG. Even smaller markets like the CC, Sunshine Coast, and other similar markets, would be better options than PNG, and none of them should get a whiff of an NRL side any time in the foreseeable future either.
Also licenses have a market value, that value is important to the league, and it is effected by the quality of the product. It would have a major effect on the NRL if they were to sell a bunch of licenses to crap teams that devalued the competition, and team's license values by extension. In other words licenses don't 'cost nothing'.
Your right on the fact they can set pathways from the islands without an NRL team, but why do it, when the govt is willing to fund a team for the "pasifika" and that can help set it up first and foremost, with a pathway towards that said team
Because teams in the pacific would be very expensive luxuries that aren't sustainable. Sooner or later the NRL will either be left holding the bill for that luxury or faced with folding those teams, and they can't really afford either of those things.
They especially can't afford it when there're other options on the table that would offer a return for the NRL's investment.
, like i said, afterwards if the team should go under, those said pathways could divert towards the existing franchises and then can go from there, theres no harm in trying, and that said team could garner more interest into young players getting more interested in RL over RU in those regions, Fiji is a great example of how RU is more popular there than League.
Those pathways could only divert towards the existing teams if somebody was willing to pay for that to happen, and why not just do that from the beginning if somebody is willing to pay for that to happen?
It'd be way less risky for all involved and way more efficient, so why not? The answer to that is that it wouldn't make headlines and the pollies wouldn't have ribbons to cut, but that isn't the NRL's concern!
There's also plenty of potential harm in trying. A PNG side would be a money pit that could seriously damage the league if it got really out of control. Their struggling would be a PR nightmare as well, that could have serious implications on international relations. The NRL would be smart to avoid being involved in that.