So who are your top 4 sides ? And bottom 4 sides ?
I don't have a top 4 and bottom 4 as such, but I would classify the competition into these categories.
Top teams (7) - Storm, Sharks, Roosters, Broncos, Cowboys, Raiders, Panthers - Four of these teams will fill the top 4 spots and the Premier will come from this list, as they have squads of players superior to the other 9 in the competition. Of these I'd be surprised if the Cowboys won the comp given the injury to Scott and their lack of forward power up front. Barring injuries to key personnel I don't see any of these teams missing the top 8.
Middle of the Road Teams (8) - Dragons, Manly, Parra, Warriors, Titans, Souths, Dogs, Tigers - All of these teams can challenge for the last one (maybe two of they're lucky) spot in the top 8, but all of them can also fall away and make the bottom 4. None of them are capable of winning the competition. Form will fluctuate for all 8 of these teams throughout the season and a lot of where they will finish will have a lot to do with injuries.
Knights - Knights squad is not sufficiently strong enough for them to be a chance of making the Top 8. Doesn't mean they will run last, but I dare say they won't be far away.