You're not gonna agree with this but
I don't reckon our pack is THAT far off theirs (next year). Well, our starting pack anyway.
Looking at a likely starting pack for both sides based on what they have signed up now....
8-Paulo
10-Alvaro
11-Ma'u
12-Moeroa
13-Brown
8-Graham
10-Vaughan
11-Frizzell
12-Sims
13-De Belin
I think, straight off the bat, that Brown and De Belin are quite even. Similar style players, even.
Paulo is a better attacking prop than Vaughan, although his work rate is lower especially in defence and that's the major difference. Personally I'd say Vaughan edges it because of his defence and his consistently high work rate, but we did need an attacking prop and Paulo is certainly that
I rate Alvaro over Graham all day as it stands. Graham is obviously on the slide, he's making fewer metres, fewer tackle busts, much fewer tackles when compared to Alvaro and he's playing a lot fewer minutes than he was. Alvaro has had a stormer of a year, easily our best player IMO and again they are similar style players.
I'd say now that Ma'u has found his mojo again, he and Frizzell are pretty equal all things considered. Tougher to compare because they are different style players; Frizzell is a bash and barge type and there's no doubt he's stronger player, but I also think Ma'u is a far smarter player. I think Ma'u hits a hole better and is better at getting his outside man into space. Statistically this season Ma'u beats him in every category, which actually surprised me. Obviously that's not the whole story and I'd say they are reasonably equal players.
Right now, Sims beats Tepai easy.
The big difference is the one not listed. Their hooker smacks ours and that makes a huge difference. That being said I think McInness hasn't been as good as he was at the start of the year and I still reckon he's more likely to be a plodder who's had a purple patch than a star.
Of course, their bench may beat ours, but with signings as they are it's hard to say. They've lost Ah Mau who is massive off the bench for them, while we really only have a couple of bench forwards on the books at the moment. So we can't really compare that yet.
Still, I don't reckon the difference is as huge as people seem to think.