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Season 2021 Predictions

84 Baby

Referee
Messages
29,749
I will adjust my predictions as I gain more data and see some results. Now pull your head in. How else will I make predictions accurate?
Moron
I’ll back you that you haven’t drastically changed your predictions. Except the one about BA to which it seems you’re basing your change off a 1-1 trial form
 

Gary Gutful

Post Whore
Messages
53,010
I will adjust my predictions as I gain more data and see some results. Now pull your head in. How else will I make predictions accurate?
Moron
You just randomly vomit a bunch of shit and hope that some of it eventually sticks.

Not like me. I have my finger on the pulse...or up my arse....I’m not sure. Anyway, the point is that my finger is somewhere!
 

Gary Gutful

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Messages
53,010
I think we'll finish 6th on the table and one club will have their points stripped for cheating or just being merkins.
I predict that will happen to the Raiders and as punishment Ricky and Mal will be chased into Lake Burley Griffin and forced to perform Synchronised Swimming.
 

Eelogical

Referee
Messages
23,267
Where will we finish?
Just outside the 8. I'd say 9th.

If we don’t win it, who will?
Hindy111's first and beloved team in pink.

Best player?
Junior Paulo. A consistent producer of excellence amongst a team of indifferent players.

Biggest disappointment?
Dylan Brown. He's promised so much but has delivered less than my mailman.

The first rookie to make NRL debut?
Samuel Hughes

Surprise packet?
Mahoney. I think it's time for him to go to the next level.

Breakout year?
I don't think there is a player in line for this at this point in time but I'd go with Kaufusi

Best retention?
I can't answer this.

The biggest name we let go?
Fergo.

Biggest signing?
I can't answer this with any exuberance either, but out of who we've signed for 2021 I'd say Opacic.

Will BA survive beyond 2021 and if not who will replace him?
He won't be our coach come 2022. I don't have the foresight of Hindy111 to name his successor.
 

Gary Gutful

Post Whore
Messages
53,010
Can you bold the questions so that it’s easier to read? Actually, scratch that, I appreciate that you are already at the peak of your boomer powers.
 

Poupou Escobar

Post Whore
Messages
91,401
Experts generally tipping us to finish sixth. Reasonable, imo. If we finish higher we overachieved. If we beat better teams in the finals we overachieved. If we do neither of these things we don't need a scapegoat. We need to incrementally improve, which is best measured by a rolling three year win rate:

2014-16: 47% (34/72)
2015-17: 51% (38/74)
2016-18: 47% (35/74)
2017-19: 49% (37/76)
2018-20: 50% (36/72)

We're getting there, but the only thing that ever made me doubt Arthur's was 2018. If something like that happens this year I'll be off him. If we continue to improve I'll assume no other coach would do better with our resources.
 

Twizzle

Administrator
Staff member
Messages
153,388
we seem reasonably consistent, its the other teams that are moving around us
 

hindy111

Post Whore
Messages
62,883
Experts generally tipping us to finish sixth. Reasonable, imo. If we finish higher we overachieved. If we beat better teams in the finals we overachieved. If we do neither of these things we don't need a scapegoat. We need to incrementally improve, which is best measured by a rolling three year win rate:

2014-16: 47% (34/72)
2015-17: 51% (38/74)
2016-18: 47% (35/74)
2017-19: 49% (37/76)
2018-20: 50% (36/72)

We're getting there, but the only thing that ever made me doubt Arthur's was 2018. If something like that happens this year I'll be off him. If we continue to improve I'll assume no other coach would do better with our resources.


The thing with BA is he produces a reliable side that will beat most sides between 7th-16th. And that will get you in finals. But I do not recall us beating a side with a better squad on paper when we are outsiders. Not in the finals and not in your normal week to week games.

I reckon there are coaches who can put game plans together that can beat the better sides even with a weaker squad. I dare say had Ricky hung around we would of been in a better position. He seems able to do it.
 

Poupou Escobar

Post Whore
Messages
91,401
I reckon ours will go up this year now that 2018 is out of the picture. RFYWR would still be pretty shit but
 
Messages
42,876
Where will we finish? 6th

If we don’t win it, who will? Chooks

Best player? Ferguson

Biggest disappointment? Drown

The first rookie to make NRL debut? Penisini

Surprise packet? Will Smith

Breakout year? How big is Oregon?

Best retention? Kaufusi

The biggest name we let go? Nrown

Biggest signing? Staggs

Will BA survive beyond 2021 and if not who will replace him? Yes
 

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