Agreed totally about the big races mate, but the thing is, those races are really lotteries regardless of what system you use because the hroses are of such elite class.
where I tend to work around is the top third of the field on exposed form, then pick the sydney class horses from that third of the field.
Obviously in the elite class the chances in the race are many more than in the standard saturday/sunday open class races.
I backed Zanna for example early in the day last week and it had a good win and fine odds, but in a major race, like say, Boreale for Hawkes at Flemington, I probably will back it but being an elite race, chances are diminished as the rest of the fields class speaks for itself.
One to look out for early in the day tomorrow at Doomben Race 2 number 3 Aquatic Drive. it is a No metro win class race with Stafi Katsidis on deck who has been getting most of the plumb rides in the absence of Rodd and Purton over recent weeks ( rodd is back in qld now though) It had nice sydney provincial form early in her career, then went north and nailed three wins from 4 races, culminating in a nice class 4 win at the gold coast, that was in 2000 though and she makes her return to racing here after a very long spell. Has obvious ability and the distance ( 2250 ) wont be beyond her, big query about her winning the race is her long spell away but the trainer should have her ready to race, I reckon she may be some nice odds on running a place and it's worth a tenner on her to place to get a little kick for the day.
Race 5 at doomben, number 3 HUEY for john Hawkes. When hawkes puts Galloway on a ride on saturday at Doomben, it means a win is on the cards, back it, ran a great race to win alt start, only problem may be the short odds, but if I get $1.60-$1.80 on it for a place I will have a Hungy on to take a quick $60-$80.
Race 6 at Doomben there is one with a bit of sydney form running for its 3rd start in Brisbane for new trainer Number 2 Gamesman. I like this thing and it should be big odds, a place bet all day long. I won't go silly on it , maybe $30 a place, but really should be paying $4 a place or thereabouts. It's best form has been over a mile and I reckon the stable has used his first 2 brissy runs to get him fit, and will be backing him tomorrow.
Race 7 doomben, two interesting horses that I may build a trifecta around, or maybe a few on the plcae on both horses.
Gerad Ryan has an interesting horse running called Music Star number 3 ( I hope nhumber 3 is a number that palces alot tomorrow in brissy and most of my picks seem to be carrying that saddle cloth !! ) only had one start in brissy early october at which he failed, but before that his sydney form was impeccible and on that form should win this race by 3 lengths, maybe something was amiss and the ryan camp has fixed it, in which case the horse should be backed and backed well !.
Number 6 in the same racfe, Penola should be the favortie for Bailey and young Carl Spry on board, great form but will be too short.
number 7 " he's on fire" is first start north after leacving sydney and I will include in the trifecta.
and number 10 WIDE AWAKE , hawkes and galloway combine again, flopped last start yet won well before that,
Box those 4 for a unit, cost $24 is what I will be doing, let s hope they get up and pay one of those silly brissy late trifectas !!
