I know alot are saying top 8 minimum next year otherwise Hook gets the bullet. For me, if we fall say 1 game short and can see real progress, with fewer dropped balls, 6 agains, and better defense, and a real sense that the club is progressing then I would be happy to keep him on. If he is still there in 2023 and we don't make semis, then he would have had 3 years and time to give someone else a go.
Crystal ball out next year, looking at other teams / "our competition"...
The Top 6 would appear to remain again - as they did last year... (aside from any disastrous injury tolls - but the Roosters proved even this can be weathered). I can't see any of these falling out.
Storm
Panthers
Rabbits
Roosters
Eels
Sea Eagles.
So that leaves 10 positions from 7-16.
Of the current teams here based on the 2nd half of this season and movements next year. Are they "on the up", staying as is "neutral", or on the decline "down"....
Knights - UP (won last 5 games). Finally getting their act together. No real signings / losses of note, maybe Gagai/Watson movements. May depend on what happens to Pearce.
Sharks - UP (won 2 of last 5), have signed Fitzgibbon, Hynes, Finucane, McInnes. Hard to see anything but further improvement from them.
Raiders - UP. After the worst start to their season they came home better, although flogged by the Roosters. Williams Saga hurt them amongst an enormous injury toll.
Titans - NEUTRAL. Improvement on season 2020 with players. They rattled home last year to get 9th. Currently 10th. Another season with their team ("new" signings etc) together could see them improve.
Warriors - NEUTRAL. The nomads of the NRL. Hard to say how anything will pan out for them while Covid lingers.
Tigers - DOWN. Perennial "almost there" - they've fallen in a heap for most of this year. Hastings signed for next year may help but can't expect miracles from him.
Cowboys - NEUTRAL. Despite a surge mid season they've dropped again. Deardon, Hiku, Townsend will help... but how much...
Broncos - UP. They couldn't go down any further.... but they have improved in the back end of 2021. Have signed Reynolds, Capewell, Lee, Jensen. Reynolds is the real win. Losses are significant but necessary. Another season under the belt of the younger players will help. They could be big movers..
Bulldogs - UP. Again, couldn't go any lower. But they've signed Addo Carr, Burton, Pangai Jr, Naden, and our two cast-offs in Vaughan and Dufty. They've also got Gould - who amongst other things has worked with Barrett. It may not be celebrations next year, but the year after should see them back in the thick of it again.
So where does that leave the Dragons???
I think we are Neutral, potentially Down. Down based on results in the back half of the year, but some positives in the players we've kicked out/replaced.
And so - given the top 6 is locked in.... 2 spots left in the 8.....
The Sharks, Knights, Raiders, are on the UP..... that takes the top 9...
The Bulldogs and Broncos will improve....
It could be a replica of this seasons' ladder. I see it like...
1-6 (any order)
Storm
Panthers
Rabbitohs
Rosters
Eels
Sea Eagles
7-9 (any order)
Knights
Raiders
Sharks
10-15 (any order)
Warriors
Cowboys
Titans
Dragons
Broncos
Bulldogs
16
Tigers.