My take-
Gold Coast:
They have twice the population of the Central Coast. Queensland desperately needs another team to develop players. As Diehard stated before, 40% of League players in Australia are Queenslanders. Yet only 18% of NRL players are Queenslanders.
Yet, these same traits were evident for the Seagulls, Chargers and Giants. None of these traits ensured enough support, or generated enough money, to enable the club to survive. Twice they folded due to lack of crowd support (or financial support). Once they folded simply because the Broncos asked for it. No one in Queensland cared less - in comparison when Souths were punted there was enough commmunity anger to provide the catalyst for their re-admission. The population of Souths area is dwarfed by the Gold Coasts.
The Gold Coast has long been a retirement area for Victorians. Hence the Brisbane Bears playing at Cararra. Hence lousy support for the other 3 Gold Coast clubs.
Central Coast
Fastest growing urban area in NSW, with great transport links to the North Shore -thus doubling it's potential market. With the North Shore (expluding Manly and Warringah) the CC's nursery swells very close to 1 million people.
They have a stadium. A pearler, close to transport, and crucially, close to the club (ensureing money through the pokies/bar/bistro after the game)
They have 2 Leagues clubs - thus guaranteeing financial backing. This was the reason that the Goal Coast died, when Seagulls went under.
The locals were very much behind the Bears relocation. Like all normal people west of the Rosevill Bridge, they didn't like Manly. Copping Manly as a home team is like a forced marriage to Amanda Vanstone.
Wellington
Stadium - yes.
Juniors - apparently, yes.
Support? They have had good crowds there for League matches. This is Union heartland, however, and it is safe to assume that attendence patterns will be similar to the Warriors.
If the Gold Coast bid relies on the argument that juniors need better representation, then the same applies to New Zealand. The Kiwis, and threfore Rugby LEague intrnationally, will only benefit if they get more exposure to NRL. There is also more potantial to grow their junior base, because they can claim a greater market share of Union.
Financial backing?????
For mine, all 3 have strong claims. There is a definite advantage to bringing in 1 team at a time. The last tmie we brought more than 2, Queenslanders went berko and brought about Super League. We can't have this happen again.
That's why the Central Coast shuold be included. A decision now would allow them to have a team for 2006. IN that time, we can reasses Wellington's finances.
Gold Coast can do what the CC did - build a stadium, get a long term source of funding - and reapply.