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18th club, whose next?

Perth Red

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70,537
So afl see the potential in png even if you don’t

pretty good they’ve stuck with rugby league
no one ever said there wasnt potential in png. Most of us have a problem with the model and long term viability of whats being proposed in terms of hosting an NRL club.
Could you ever imagine AFL proposing to its clubs they put a club in PNG? lol

weve been pumping millions upon millions into PNG for over a decade, its still no where near being able to sustain an NRL club in reality and is only being considered due to govt flash cash.
 

Wb1234

Immortal
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35,541
no one ever said there wasnt potential in png. Most of us have a problem with the model and long term viability of whats being proposed in terms of hosting an NRL club.
Could you ever imagine AFL proposing to its clubs they put a club in PNG? lol

weve been pumping millions upon millions into PNG for over a decade, its still no where near being able to sustain an NRL club in reality and is only being considered due to govt flash cash.
Their clubs allowed gws and tasmania into the conp

the two worst expansion teams across any football code and that includes the Perth reds and Adelaide rams
 

Perth Red

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70,537
Their clubs allowed gws and tasmania into the conp

the two worst expansion teams across any football code and that includes the Perth reds and Adelaide rams
And they have a funding and player draft model that supports them long term.

If the NRl is happy to pick up the tab for the next 30 years for PNG when the govt money runs out then great, Im all for it. But that would require some significant philosophical backflip by the NRL and its clubs to achieve that. All we've ever heard from NRL is 'business case has to stack up'. Where's the business case for PNG?
 

Wb1234

Immortal
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35,541
And they have a funding and player draft model that supports them long term.

If the NRl is happy to pick up the tab for the next 30 years for PNG when the govt money runs out then great, Im all for it. But that would require some significant philosophical backflip by the NRL and its clubs to achieve that. All we've ever heard from NRL is 'business case has to stack up'. Where's the business case for PNG?
Yeh the draft model is the exact opposite of what rugby league should do

player depth is a huge issue for the afl they really can’t support more than 16 but don’t seem to care about their playing standards

Giving your expansion clubs three times what the strong clubs get is just communism

it’s doomed

the Tasmanian afl team will lose close to ten million pa the state can’t support an afl team

gws and suns aren’t viable either
 

Perth Red

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70,537
Yeh the draft model is the exact opposite of what rugby league should do

player depth is a huge issue for the afl they really can’t support more than 16 but don’t seem to care about their playing standards

Giving your expansion clubs three times what the strong clubs get is just communism

it’s doomed

the Tasmanian afl team will lose close to ten million pa the state can’t support an afl team

gws and suns aren’t viable either
Rightly or wrongly they have a model that supports expansion and keeps unviable clubs viable on and off the field until they get established.

How do you think PNG will be viable when govt cash runs out? Oh that's right you think it will last forever lol.
 

Wb1234

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35,541
Rightly or wrongly they have amodel that supports expansion and keeps unviable clubs viable on and off the field.

How do you think PNG will be viable when govt cash runs out? Oh thats right you think it will last forever lol.
It’s not viable though

throwing a billion dollars at teams that aren’t sustainable and hoping one day they turn it around is madness it’s a Ponzi scheme

in terms of players 16 is the maximum number of teams. Ironically that would mean the afl basket cases don’t exist except the lions
 
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14,822
Top 10 population centres in Aus & NZ:

1. Sydney RL dominant over AFL
2. Melbourne AFL dominant over RL
3. Brisbane RL dominant over AFL
4. Auckland RL dominant over AFL
5. Perth AFL dominant over RL
6. Adelaide AFL dominant over RL
7. Gold Coast RL dominant over AFL
8. Newcastle RL dominant over AFL
9. Canberra RL dominant over AFL
10. Central Coast RL dominant over AFL

That's 7 out of 10 of the largest population areas in favour of RL. Are we seeing the big picture now why the AFL are desperately pissing hundreds of millions down the drain to get a tiny foothold in our markets? NSW and QLD aren't a battleground, they are THE battleground in Australian sports. Whoever wins them long term dominates.

The AFL aren't "geniuses" for expanding here, they had no choice but to risk spending ridiculous sums to get foreign markets to accept their shit sport. The NRL don't have to do that at all. QLD's population is larger than WA, SA and TAS combined. Let that sink in for a second and tell me if we need to go putting irrelevant dots on a map. We don't, we just need to leverage our heartlands and geographical advantage properly.

Now having said that, I'm in favour of a Perth team in the NRL but let's not overstate the importance of getting some of the AFL's wasteland heartlands because they are largely irrelevant when it comes to winning the code battle.

Perth is a candidate for a team at some stage. Adelaide is out of the question.

I'd prefer to see a southern Brisbane team and a Christchurch team for the 19th and. 20th licence. Perth would be good for the 21st licence. NZ3 for the 22nd. That gives us a very strong footprint.
 

Perth Red

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70,537
It’s not viable though

throwing a billion dollars at teams that aren’t sustainable and hoping one day they turn it around is madness it’s a Ponzi scheme

in terms of players 16 is the maximum number of teams. Ironically that would mean the afl basket cases don’t exist except the lions
Not if you believe the footprint they are growing is leading to ever more revenue way above what its costing them to grow that footprint.

And it isnt a billion $ extra, that's just nonsese. If you avg out the afl club grant its around $17mill a year, the expansion (plus some smaller heartland) clubs get around $8-9mill a year more than that.

Before their last bout of expansion and content creation their revenue was $300mill. By the time tassie come in their revenue will be over $1billion. more than TRIPLED the pre expansion revenue.

and youve ignored how you think PNG remain viable after govt money runs out? Reality is if we want them to still be around NRL is going to have to be putting in significant money above the standard grant amount for a very long time.
 

Perth Red

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70,537
Perth is a candidate for a team at some stage. Adelaide is out of the question.

I'd prefer to see a southern Brisbane team and a Christchurch team for the 19th and. 20th licence. Perth would be good for the 21st licence. NZ3 for the 22nd. That gives us a very strong footprint.
Adelaide can work, it either needs a decade or so of investment to grow the game or it needs a partnership with Bears or Easts to fast track its viability.
 
Messages
14,822
Or we could go for a club with:
long term viability
with a population reach of 2.2 million
that offers a perfect 9th spot tv time
that has a rich state govt backing it and millionaires owning it
that opens up a new market for the sport

just an idea!

I'm all for a strong and viable Perth consortium once southern Brisbane and Christchurch are added.
 

Wb1234

Immortal
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35,541
Not if you believe the footprint they are growing is leading to ever more revenue way above what its costing them to grow that footprint.

And it isnt a billion $ extra, that's just nonsese. If you avg out the afl club grant its around $17mill a year, the expansion (plus some smaller heartland) clubs get around $8-9mill a year more than that.

Before their last bout of expansion and content creation their revenue was $300mill. By the time tassie come in their revenue will be over $1billion. more than TRIPLED the pre expansion revenue.

and youve ignored how you think PNG remain viable after govt money runs out? Reality is if we want them to still be around NRL is going to have to be putting in significant money above the standard grant amount for a very long time.
Lmao suns and gws 25 million each pa. 50 millon a year

for nothing. Take out the 19th team contra and the magic round and broadcasters weren’t keen on any increase for the afl rights

when you add teams they need to grow tv audiences in their own market

that’s why afl is failing and why the nrl would. Be crazy to copy it
 

blue bags

First Grade
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9,794
Perth is a candidate for a team at some stage. Adelaide is out of the question.

I'd prefer to see a southern Brisbane team and a Christchurch team for the 19th and. 20th licence. Perth would be good for the 21st licence. NZ3 for the 22nd. That gives us a very strong footprint.
18th team of yours ???
 

Perth Red

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70,537
Lmao suns and gws 25 million each pa. 50 millon a year

for nothing. Take out the 19th team contra and the magic round and broadcasters weren’t keen on any increase for the afl rights

when you add teams they need to grow tv audiences in their own market

that’s why afl is failing and why the nrl would. R crazy to copy it
sigh, if every club in afl was getting same, as in the NRL, then suns and gws cost the AFL around $8-9mill a year more than what would be the avg. Not hard to understand!

I thought you said tassie wasnt worth anything, now your saying it is? Make up your mind! If you think a magic weekend led to a $150mill a year cash increase your cooked lol.

Again you believe it to be worth nothing, but in reality its added more tv content and strengthened their national game perception amongst tv and sponsors. That has led to revenue growth from $300mill to over $1bill by time tassie come in.

yeh they are doing so badly compared to us, thats why we just signed a $400mill 5 year tv deal and they signed a $640 mill 7 year media deal! I'll take some of that failure lol
 

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