Interesting to consider the bandwagon effect and whether it is real.
Take the example of a Sydney club (with numbers plucked from the ether):
- They may have an average home crowd for regular season games of 15,000.
- Of these, say 2,000 is the average number of away supporters.
- Of the average 13,000 home supporters, not everyone will attend every game. Let's say that 6,000 attend every home game, while 7,000 attend 3 home games per year.
- So that is 34,000 supporters who attend at least 1 home game per year (6,000 + 7,000 x 12/3)
Now, let's say that team makes the finals. It is a pretty safe bet that a large chunk of those 34,000 supporters will want to attend the finals games.
And having 2 Sydney clubs with 34,000 wanting to attend a final would give 68,000. Add on a few thousand more neutrals and 75,000 should be a realistic figure for a preliminary final.
So my question is: How few games a year does it take for someone to be considered a bandwagon supporter?