Dragons are too short at $11...
It's a pretty common occurrence for us, particularly throughout the last decade. Although we are one of the top teams in the competition when it comes to making the finals (from that point of view giving us a chance of taking it out every year) our reputation usually means that our odds of winning the Premiership are sometimes a little too short.
At the same time though, I'm predicting us to finish around 5th-6th on the ladder, which is where they have us. I think sports agencies normally start the season too short for most teams, and fluctuate way too much during the season. Your team can have a mini form slump and another $5 can be added, and vice versa if you start the season well.
If I was a Newcastle fan, I'd probably be taking the $9, as Bennett teams are reknowned for being extremely good starters. I'm expecting Canberra to start (and do) a lot better this year too as long as Campese starts the season well, so I think at $21 they're the best value at the moment