A League crowds are down all over the country. The Brisbane team plays out of Redcliffe as their crowds are so tiny. Soccer is still big though, especially in Syd and Mel. You would have to walk around with your eyes closed and fingers in your ears not to notice this.
I can’t speak for Melbourne’s inner city. Or the very outer suburbs, but if you get a bunch of blokes together (school dads for example), besides AFL and cricket, basketball is the only other sport that gets a decent run - both local and NBA. And if you have a look at any primary school’s footy jumpers day, besides AFL, there would be twice as many basketball tops as soccer.
I am quite involved in a number of junior community sports. Basketball is number one by a mile for boys. AFL next (up to 50% of kids try Auskick but most give it away after that). For girls it is netball, AFL and basketball.
I would be across perhaps what sports 100+ local kids play around the eastern suburb. It would be something like:
80 basketball (65/15 boys/girls)
20 netball (all girls)
30 AFL (25/5 boys/girls)
50 AFL Auskick only
6 tennis
10 cricket
2 RL
1 RU (cherry picked a big kid who was playing AFL - he lasted one season)
6 soccer
Of our main immigrant groups here, the Chinese play tennis, a little soccer, Indians cricket and Africans AFL and soccer. We get fewer European immigrants here now which is probably a main factor in why the interest in soccer is plummeting.
I live in a pretty typical / average Melbourne suburb. Within 5km of my house there is six AFL community clubs, three basketball clubs, three netball clubs, one RU club (quite random), six tennis clubs, zero Soccer or RL clubs.
Soccer is played at high school, particularly at private schools with compulsory Saturday sport. The kids who didn’t play much sport when younger often take up soccer as it is the easiest to learn. RU is still played at some of the expensive private school, RL is almost only in the very outer suburbs.
In terms of overall interest in sports in Melbourne it would be
1. AFL
2. Cricket
3. Basketball
4. Tennis/Netball/Soccer (obviously soccer is higher when the WC is on, just like we love swimming for a week every Olympics, or tennis during the AO).
Obviously different parts of Melbourne will have different interests, but the interest in soccer would be less than half of what is was 15 years ago.