docbrown
Coach
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I left off the Chiefs as you can only model 4 at a time and they were worse than the other 4 Super Rugby clubs. But so you can see I've included them here instead of the Auckland Blues.Curious if there’s a comparative for Canterbury last year/2022 Crusaders going into their worst season since 96 vs Warriors coming off one of their best whether it’s a recent swing or a longer term trend.
similarlyHurricanes with their best start in a long time may have recently skewed a few more back to union in Wellington
Also noticed Chiefs in particular missing, probably won’t change a generally league friendly province like Taranaki but would likely eat into Waikato and BOP and maybe even some of HB/Gisbourne.
Moana Pasifika I don’t think has really made a dent which is a bit of a cautionary tale for those calling for a PI NRL team
Here's the 5 year trends:
And the 5 year for Waikato in particular (Chiefs now red):
If you ignore that the NRL season goes for a few extra months, even when it's NRL vs Super Rugby seasons head to head, the Warriors (post covid) are holding their own over the rugby union clubs.
Here's this year so far in Waikato:
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