I'm really loving the Roosters this year. Their defence is incredible. Yet to prove some away form, but I will continue to bet heavy on them in future. I rate defensive teams highly, they are usually the only ones I bet on.
I don't bet on any other sports. I stick to what I know. Anything else will not be profitable long term. Arbitrage is an exception.
However I am a currency trader, which you could consider gambling. That is where the real money is at. As an experienced trader, it is no longer gambling. It is highly technical and requires a proper scope on risk vs reward, and money management. Most people cannot handle the market unfortunately, which is why I would not recommend it.
Just noticed your reply. Being in Melbourne I don't get to see too many games, aside the Friday night double header and MNF haven't gotten to see too many Roosters games. Seems pretty impressive how they've turned things around.
Yeah, I have no clue about currency trading, stocks etc. I work in a creative/tech field, sports punting is my main hobby I'm just an old sports nut with an understanding of the sports betting industry, spend a bit of time behind a pc for work, will have a video stream on a display or audio stream for footy and be following scores, upcoming lines and analysing stats and situations.
While I can make some small dumb action bets for shits and giggles like the Anzac day or Test match I do my best to take an educated, disciplined approach and grind out long term profit over a season. I'm no pro punter or highroller but I basically follow the professional method of 1% - 2% stake and aiming to cap at 55%, no all in bets, as you know I don't like paying too much juice, unless I have a good statistical angle and gut feeling on a 70% profit I'd rather pass than take a risk, even on some H2H markets that are obviously a free 20-50% profit. I just can't bring myself to pull the trigger on in case it goes tits up.
I bet on all the sports in my sig as well as tennis and MMA, don't bet on like every game or fight. Look for angles, soft spreads and point/round totals or +ev value underdogs in ML sports like MLB and MMA markets. I tend to find with the Yank sports I don't really have any bias and I just arbitrarily chose teams due to various reasons, I can analyse better and I do a bit better on. I generally try to avoid betting on Storm and against Brisbane Lions due to instilled bias/pessimism. The only things I don't bet on cause I generally lose on is Ice Hockey and Racing.
