Nrl Betting

[Jimmy Rustles]

Thanks mate. I found an arbitrage opportunity on Monday and loaded up heavily. I have now hedged a portion of the capital and locked in a profit before a ball has been kicked.

I agree, there is no longer much value to be had in Hd/Hd / Line markets.

Unsure about your Over 42 bet.. In regards to my previous post, I doubt NZ will add much to the total score at all. And it may not be dry weather football.

Josh Morris is a flip of the coin bet. I tend to steer far away from those.

You're welcome and nice stuff on the arb.

Doubt I will bet the over, as you said can't rely on NZ to put up much and anything over 40 is risky with possible showers forecast, especially for the Aussies to possibly have to put up alone, they are capable of it but it's not a sharp bet. In the past 10 Over 42 is 5-5.

Would be better off taking Australia TT over 29.5, but after getting screwed by the hook on the Storm TT at 26.5. Australia will probably put up 28 and then kick a meaningless field goal for shits and giggles in the dying seconds and the team total lands on 29. Type of game that's best left alone unless you got on early.

I generally avoid the try scorer props too, won't be going crazy on anything just trying to get some value for some fun bets to make it a bit more interesting to watch.

 

[Apey]

Made 4 very small bets on this game just for fun.

Can't believe 2 of them just came off within 5 mins of each other :lol: Morris & GI to score.

Others are under 40.5 and also Aus 13+/under 40.5.

Those 2 quick tries have me a bit worried for the last 2 :crazy: Hopefully the score blows out but not too much.

 

[Apey]

Others are under 40.5 and also Aus 13+/under 40.5.

Those 2 quick tries have me a bit worried for the last 2 :crazy: Hopefully the score blows out but not too much.

Oh f**k you, try in the last 3 minutes :lol:

 

[Jimmy Rustles]

Dangnabbit Bobby Hill... the lesser Morris brother scored.

 

[diggo]

Anzac Day:

Melbourne looking like a sure thing. Warriors missing their captain and a couple of others. Should be a comfortable win for Melbourne. Not a whole lot of value hd/hd, but I found some good value on sportsbet. Going large on:

Melbourne (-6.5) @ $1.43

Warriors total points under 12.5 @ 1.75 may be worth a look too.

Have a smaller wager on roosters hd/hd @ $1.41 (cb)

 

[Chicken_Hunter]

Sounds good.

 

[Paullyboy]

I think anyone who punts on either of the favourites tomorrow is playing with fire. This is not a good week for punting

 

[Jimmy Rustles]

Small bet on the Dragons +10

 

[Chicken_Hunter]

Lucky it was a small bet

 

[Jimmy Rustles]

Lucky it was a small bet

It was looking good for the first few minutes :lol:

Small bet on the Manly 1-12 tonight @ $3

 

[Jono078]

David Williams FTS/ Manly 1-12 $10 @ $22 = $220 return.

He's come close twice already!

 

[umina panther]

He's had a million chances

 

[Paullyboy]

Manly always go to Lyon inside the 20, I assume it's because he's captain and demands it, makes absolutely no sense why they keep doing it but for a punter you're on to a likely thing with Williams outside him.

 

[diggo]

This weeks betting is nealry over for mine. I have something on Cowboys -6.5 tonight @ $1.67, Canberra simply don't perform away from home.. They are 0-3 this year, leaked 96 points and only scored 22 against average teams. Cowboys could win big here.

Already looking forward to next week. I'm enjoying Sportsbet's early markets.. providing heaps of value this year. Gone large on Manly to beat Dragons @ $1.55 earlier this week. Should be able to hedge next week and lock in a profit.

Will be going big on Roosters to beat Penrith and Melbourne to beat Canberra when the line betting markets are up too.

 

[diggo]

Small bet on the Dragons +10

Mug bet. I expect better from you Jimmy.

 

[Jimmy Rustles]

Mug bet. I expect better from you Jimmy.

:lol:
It was indeed, I had no real angle, just wanted some action on the game so I tried fading the public being all over the Roosters.

Cowboys -11.5 @ 1.98

 

[Jimmy Rustles]

Was wondering if I should have taken -9.5 up until the last few minutes. Luckily they covered the 2 converted tries.

Next up; Broncos -6 @ 1.95

 

[Jimmy Rustles]

Really like Cowboys to spank Parra tonight, the -6.5 @ 2.05 on Pinnacle, wish pinnacle allowed you to buy/sell half points on league, like they do on other sports but the hook doesn't really concern me here. Cowboys win by 20+

 

[diggo]

Melb -6.5 @ $1.41

 

[Jimmy Rustles]

Bad luck diggo....Parra and Canberra both show up to play on the same night. :?