Just did some sums using any news reportsI could find.
Assuming we do nab Willie Tonga, that'll leave (by my calcs) $200k to be divided between 3 squad members. Which is tight and obviously why it hasn't been announced yet.
This also doesn't bode well for our current minimum wage earners coming off contract, especially Etu & Manase.
These are the 5 I'm talking of and 2012 situation:
McGuire - due to the amount of games he's played this season, even if he comes back on absolute minimum, his deemed value is probably going to bust more than a 1/3rd of the available cap. He'll probably retire.
Hicks - deemed value won't be as high, but it'll be more than absolute minimum. I think retirement is coming as well.
Humble - I think this is a major reason why we haven't and won't see him in first grade this year. His deemed value in 2012 will be this salary whoever is paying him next year. Luckily or unluckily for him, the drug saga works out in the clubs favour as lack of game time may stop other clubs approaching him. If he does stay it'll be on $55k. I think he'll move on.
Manuokafoa - same situation as Hicks but he's younger. I unfortunately think for Manase that he'll be in the NRL wilderness next year.
Uaisele - because he's played 11 games, he's in a tough place. If we can wrangle him into 2nd tier, he might stay. If not, I can't see him at Parra again.
The real good thing will be next year when we get back around $1.8m to cover 13 spots