I doubt BA is going to change the side unless force to from injury. He has rarely ever made last minute changes.
He has basically picked the same side as the Storm game (where Kaufusi wasn’t picked). With RCG for hipgrave/Smith for lussick.
The other one really missing out is Matterson. I wouId have picked him, but he is probably rewarding Maka for his form/why change a winning side.
Matterson is above average. Even with form down he is still above average. Not origin level. Origin level players are consistently in your top 5 on the field every week. Above average guys are a lot of the time also in your top 5. And still capable of being best player on field.
Lane,Elliot,Jackson is what's I'd call an average NRL level player. On their day they can be in your top 5 players but it isn't consistently. Rare they'd pull a MOM performance.
In your top 17 there is also guys who are below average. Stone and Makatoa fit in here. Maybe even Bryce based on his dumb play.. They are good back ups and ok benchies. But they are not capable of changing a game or ever having a MOM performance. It would even suprise if they made the top 5 players on the field.
If Matterson had an off day he probably fall in the category of Average. If he fires he is capable of MOM.
LANE,BRYCE,STONE,MAKATOA can all give a solid performance. I'd give 200-1 on all of them to ever being MOM. Matterson would be 20-1