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The Case for Adelaide.....

The Great Dane

First Grade
Messages
7,960
How did the Toronto Wolfpack and London Broncos go?
They didn't go at all, mainly because they were undermined by self interest and poor management, i.e. the two things that have been slowly killing RL in the Northern Hemisphere since the 50s.

Not sure what they've got to do with anything anyway, but then again 99% of the stuff you bring up has nothing to do with anything.
Perth doesn't have an NRL team yet the game is growing over there from the bottom up, to the point it is a genuine expansion option and deserves to be the 17th or 18th club.
WA also has an unusual amount of emigration from the eastern states compared to most other parts of the country. Those expats bring the sport with them and bolster it in the local area, however, unless something changes, that isn't going to happen anytime soon in most other "expansion" markets (with the possible exception of Melbourne).

It's also going to hit a point where the sport simply won't be able to grow further without a pro club, in fact it's probably already hit that point. Also once that stream of people from the eastern states dries up, and it will dry up eventually, you'll see support for RL in WA start to shrink as those people from the eastern states are assimilated into the local culture.
Melbourne on the other hand has barely grown the game, despite having an NRL team that never loses. I have no doubt that a team in Perth will grow the game far faster than one in Adelaide or Melbourne because Perth has developed a grassroots following to tap into for players and supporters.
The Storm have grown the game in Melbourne exponentially, only an utterly ignorant person would suggest otherwise.

RL basically didn't exist in Melbourne before the Storm, more often than not people in Victoria didn't even know that there were two different types of rugby. Now the Storm, and the sport, have gone from a tiny niche sport to household names. Sure there may not be many juniors in Victoria compared to NSW and Qld, but there are way more now then there were before the Storm, and they will continue to grow into the future.

None of that growth happens without the Storm, and you won't see similar jumps in growth rates in other markets without their own pro teams to draw attention to the sport.
 
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14,822
They didn't go at all, mainly because they were undermined by self interest and poor management, i.e. the two things that have been slowly killing RL in the Northern Hemisphere since the 50s.

Not sure what they've got to do with anything anyway, but then again 99% of the stuff you bring up has nothing to do with anything.

WA also has an unusual amount of emigration from the eastern states compared to most other parts of the country. Those expats bring the sport with them and bolster it in the local area, however, unless something changes, that isn't going to happen anytime soon in most other "expansion" markets (with the possible exception of Melbourne).

It's also going to hit a point where the sport simply won't be able to grow further without a pro club, in fact it's probably already hit that point. Also once that stream of people from the eastern states dries up, and it will dry up eventually, you'll see support for RL in WA start to shrink as those people from the eastern states are assimilated into the local culture.

The Storm have grown the game in Melbourne exponentially, only an utterly ignorant person would suggest otherwise.

RL basically didn't exist in Melbourne before the Storm, more often than not people in Victoria didn't even know that there were two different types of rugby. Now the Storm, and the sport, have gone from a tiny niche sport to household names. Sure there may not be many juniors in Victoria compared to NSW and Qld, but there are way more now then there were before the Storm, and they will continue to grow into the future.

None of that growth happens without the Storm, and you won't see similar jumps in growth rates in other markets without their own pro teams to draw attention to the sport.
London and Toronto are expansion areas, just like Adelaide, Melbourne and Perth. London was given the luxury of being guaranteed a spot in Super League throughout most of their existence even if they finished last. They put together some competitive teams, but never drew any interest from the public. RFL tried hard, but no one in London cared.

There are plenty of migrants from Queensland and NSW living in Melbourne too, so I cannot agree with what you're saying about WA being completely different. New Zealanders are also there in large numbers. There's more than enough to have at least 10k registered players by now.

Victoria's participation numbers are similar to WA, despite having a much larger population, a pro team that has been on top for the bulk of its 22 year existence and SOO/Tests played there since the early 1990s. RL was played in Victoria long before the Storm existed, starting all the way back in the 1920s, so you're flat out wrong when you say the game didn't exist in Melbourne before 1998. The Storm have given the game a much higher profile, but it's dishonest to say no one in Victoria knew of its existence before they entered the NRL. Australians know about American football despite having nothing more than a few amateur leagues scattered around the country that are smaller than RL was in Victoria pre-Storm.

The game didn't reach Perth until 20 or 30 years after it began in Victoria, but its growth has been far better with less resources. The growth in Victoria since the Storm entered the competition has improved, but it hasn't been exponential. There are what, 3,500 registered players, compared to a 700 around 20 years ago. That's nice, but it's not exponential. Queensland has 20k registered fumblers, with a pro team entering AwFuL only 10 years before the Storm. Brisbane has half the population of Melbourne.

I don't know what point you're trying to make regarding Perth. I said Perth is ready for an NRL team because it has grown its base from the bottom up.
 
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The Great Dane

First Grade
Messages
7,960
London and Toronto are expansion areas, just like Adelaide, Melbourne and Perth. London was given the luxury of being guaranteed a spot in Super League throughout most of their existence even if they finished last. They put together some competitive teams, but never drew any interest from the public. RFL tried hard, but no one in London cared.
Sure they are both expansion areas, however they (i.e. RL in the northern hemisphere in general) are facing a completely different set of circumstances and pressures than RL in Australia. In other words you are comparing apples and oranges and trying to divert the discussion down a massive tangent that has f**k all to do with the discussion at hand.

Even then, RL is significantly bigger in both London and Toronto now than it was prior to their respective teams entering their comps, and that has only happened because of what exposure their respective teams have brought.
There are plenty of migrants from Queensland and NSW living in Melbourne too, so I cannot agree with what you're saying about WA being completely different. New Zealanders are also there in large numbers. There's more than enough to have at least 10k registered players by now.
Proportionately migrants to Melbourne from the east coast are a significantly smaller portion of the population of Melbourne than migrants to WA are. I.e. they are more dispersed in the population and as such it's harder to form expat communities.
They also come from more varied demographics than the ones headed to WA, whom are disproportionately miners with young families. Families with young kids equal juniors equal higher participation, where as the young adults in their late teens and early 20s going to Melbourne for uni and work generally doesn't equal higher participation (however it probably does provide growth in other areas).

In other words, you are comparing apples and oranges again. However as I said in my previous post things are changing in Melbourne, but that is another tangent.
Victoria's participation numbers are similar to WA, despite having a much larger population, a pro team that has been on top for the bulk of its 22 year existence and SOO/Tests played there since the early 1990s. RL was played in Victoria long before the Storm existed, so you're flat out wrong when you say the game didn't exist in Melbourne before 1998. The Storm have given the game a much higher profile, but it's dishonest to say no one in Victoria knew of its existence before they entered the NRL. Australians know about American football despite having nothing more than a few amateur leagues scattered around the country that are smaller than RL was in Victoria pre-Storm.
I never said that the game didn't exist in Melbourne before the Storm or that nobody in Victoria knew of RL's existence...

What I did actually say was that RL was a tiny niche sport prior to the Storm and now it's a household name. That is undeniably true and it doesn't happen without the Storm.

Comparing RL in Victoria prior to the Storm to local American Football is actually a good comparison, it was a tiny niche sport that made little to no penetration into the mainstream culture, and as such struggled to grow beyond it's tiny niche status.

Your criticism of Victorian RL basically amounts to RL not having grown it's juniors numbers in Victoria as quickly as you would like. Well I'm sorry but that doesn't change the fact that they have grown significantly and that the vast majority of that growth doesn't happen without the Storm.
You are also cherry picking one metric and choosing to focus on it at the expense of all others, which is always dishonest.
I don't know what point you're trying to make regarding Perth. I said Perth is ready for an NRL team because it has grown its base from the bottom up.
I'm not making any point about Perth in particular except to address your point about Perth/WA.
 
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14,822
Sure they are both expansion areas, however they (i.e. RL in the northern hemisphere in general) are facing a completely different set of circumstances and pressures than RL in Australia. In other words you are comparing apples and oranges and trying to divert the discussion down a massive tangent that has f**k all to do with the discussion at hand.

Even then, RL is significantly bigger in both London and Toronto now than it was prior to their respective teams entering their comps, and that has only happened because of what exposure their respective teams have brought.

Proportionately migrants to Melbourne from the east coast are a significantly smaller portion of the population of Melbourne than migrants to WA are. I.e. they are more dispersed in the population and as such it's harder to form expat communities.
They also come from more varied demographics than the ones headed to WA, whom are disproportionately miners with young families. Families with young kids equal juniors equal higher participation, where as the young adults in their late teens and early 20s going to Melbourne for uni and work generally doesn't equal higher participation (however it probably does provide growth in other areas).

In other words, you are comparing apples and oranges again. However as I said in my previous post things are changing in Melbourne, but that is another tangent.

I never said that the game didn't exist in Melbourne before the Storm or that nobody in Victoria knew of RL's existence...

What I did actually say was that RL was a tiny niche sport prior to the Storm and now it's a household name. That is undeniably true and it doesn't happen without the Storm.

Comparing RL in Victoria prior to the Storm to local American Football is actually a good comparison, it was a tiny niche sport that made little to no penetration into the mainstream culture, and as such struggled to grow beyond it's tiny niche status.

Your criticism of Victorian RL basically amounts to RL not having grown it's juniors numbers in Victoria as quickly as you would like. Well I'm sorry but that doesn't change the fact that they have grown significantly and that the vast majority of that growth doesn't happen without the Storm.
You are also cherry picking one metric and choosing to focus on it at the expense of all others, which is always dishonest.

I'm not making any point about Perth in particular except to address your point about Perth/WA.
London and Toronto do have a larger grassroots scene now than they did before the Broncos and Wolfpack came around. The amateur side of the game targeted London and grew the player base, but it hasn't translated into a passionate supporter base for the Broncos. There's just too many professional sporting clubs in London from sports that are more established, and the RFL doesn't have the funds to compete against it.

RL would be much smaller in Melbourne if the Storm were never introduced. No one is arguing otherwise. More people in Melbourne are watching RL, at least the big event games, now that the Storm are around. That's not to be denied. But we cannot forget that big crowds rocked up in Melbourne during the early and mid 1990s to watch Test matches and SOO games. 13k went to see NSW play Great Britain in Melbourne in 1914. But, you cannot talk about the success of the Storm without acknowledging the role of News Ltd. They used their publications to promote the game in Melbourne during a time when the paper meant something. They chucked large sums of cash at the club to make sure it was successful. Its initial roster was built on the demise of 3 clubs. It was a perfect recipe for an expansion club to work.

Can you honestly say Adelaide will have any of these advantages afforded to it?

News Ltd are no longer flush with cash and the print media isn't as influential these days. Nor does News Ltd want a team in Adelaide. Their first mission when they gained control of the game was to kick out Perth and a year later they tossed out Adelaide. So don't expect any favours from that mob with regard to expansion teams in Adelaide and Perth. Adelaide doesn't have any of that, and you're kidding yourself if you think some tycoon is going to step up and fund it. And even if someone with massive pockets did step up to fund an Adelaide team, it would need to be a run away success on the field to compete with the Crows and Power for television coverage on the 6pm news. There's also no bid from Adelaide and the ARLC have never stated they have any intention of putting a team there. The only way I can see Adelaide getting a team is through relocation, which is highly unlikely.

I can see Perth working because it has done the hard yards to build a solid community. Immigration has helped, too. WARL had around 10k registered players in the mid 90s. That's a lot. They didn't get SOO games played in Perth to generate that interest. They did it by growing the game from the ground up. The mining boom in WA really took off during the 00s and is now almost done. The time to put a team in Perth was 10 years ago, but I still think there's time to successfully get one off the ground if it's added within the next 5 years.
 

Perth Red

Post Whore
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69,865
Adelaide or Perth or melbourne would work if the nrl invests in it. Sadly the game has no vision, strategy or balls to be the number 1 footy code in the country so won’t invest accordingly. Being a b8g fish in a little pond seems the height of the arlc’s ambition, especially under Vlandys
 
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8,480
Adelaide or Perth or melbourne would work if the nrl invests in it. Sadly the game has no vision, strategy or balls to be the number 1 footy code in the country so won’t invest accordingly. Being a b8g fish in a little pond seems the height of the arlc’s ambition, especially under Vlandys

I agree however... with Vlandys he’s come into the gig at the time where Australian Rugby League (like many other sports) has been hit with its biggest financial crisis in history.

I think his predecessors have to carry the can for the insular strategies to this point.

Brisbane V2 is expansion and he’s publically endorsed it. And to me, this is the logical next step for a new team.

As for expansion into SA/WA etc ... you and me, and plenty here agree it could work with investment, a strong business case and strategic platform, and clear direction to make it happen. I just think for now Vlandys has had far more pressing issues to manage and I applaud him for how’s he’s done it.

I think by this time next year we will get a clearer idea as to any direction in driving the NRL west of the NSW border..
 

Perth Red

Post Whore
Messages
69,865
I don’t see another brisbane team as expansion, its consolidating an already rugby league mad market, its not growing the game.
Agree re predecessors but at least Beattie made expansion noise and started a proper expansion review and strategy,which Vlandys has seemingly binned because his gut tells him Brisbane2 is the only option.
 
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14,822
Adelaide's best chance is for Perth to come in and succeed beyond all belief. If Perth is a winner then a struggling Sydney club might be tempted to jump over to Adelaide should they fall on hard times.
 
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14,822
That won't be hard as long as A-League is played in the summer and Adelaide Utd are also lobbying for a new 25k seat stadium.
Any chance of businessman from across the country who like RL establishing a link with Adelaide Utd to bid for an NRL licence?

The two sports working together will increase their likelihood of getting the SA Gov to build infrastructure for them.
 

Perth Red

Post Whore
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69,865
Any chance of businessman from across the country who like RL establishing a link with Adelaide Utd to bid for an NRL licence?

The two sports working together will increase their likelihood of getting the SA Gov to build infrastructure for them.

It is very (very!) hard to get businessmen interested in putting time, money and energy into something that has zero chance of happening! IF the NRL came out and said "there are two licenses for grabs and all bids would be considered" you would see groups in WA, SA and elsewhere putting the effort in. This was the case in WA in 2012 when we thought there was genuine chance of a Perth club (we had at least 3 groups putting bids together). As it is the NRL, or at least Vlandys, has said "dont bother we arent interested" so how on earth are you going to convince successful business people to get interested??
 
Messages
14,822
It is very (very!) hard to get businessmen interested in putting time, money and energy into something that has zero chance of happening! IF the NRL came out and said "there are two licenses for grabs and all bids would be considered" you would see groups in WA, SA and elsewhere putting the effort in. This was the case in WA in 2012 when we thought there was genuine chance of a Perth club (we had at least 3 groups putting bids together). As it is the NRL, or at least Vlandys, has said "dont bother we arent interested" so how on earth are you going to convince successful business people to get interested??
I think the best we can hope for is Brisbane 2 and Perth or Brisbane 2 and Brisbane 3. I cannot see the NRL expanding beyond 18 teams.
 

MugaB

Coach
Messages
15,378
I think the best we can hope for is Brisbane 2 and Perth or Brisbane 2 and Brisbane 3. I cannot see the NRL expanding beyond 18 teams.
I can easily see it getting to 20 teams
In about 10-15 years, Perth and Adelaide will have teams, just might be relocations rather than new clubs for those cities, as the newer clubs added would more likely be the teams in areas that are more heartland areas
 

flippikat

First Grade
Messages
5,250
I can easily see it getting to 20 teams
In about 10-15 years, Perth and Adelaide will have teams, just might be relocations rather than new clubs for those cities, as the newer clubs added would more likely be the teams in areas that are more heartland areas

Well AFL's relocations (Swans, Lions-Bears merger/relocation) have both tellingly been to NON-AFL cities.

I think the if the NRL ever wanted to consider relocation (they won't, but humor me), the best chance would be somewhere in AFL-land.
 

Perth Red

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69,865
Well AFL's relocations (Swans, Lions-Bears merger/relocation) have both tellingly been to NON-AFL cities.

I think the if the NRL ever wanted to consider relocation (they won't, but humor me), the best chance would be somewhere in AFL-land.

Relocation is a pipedream and if we are basing our hope for growing the game on that pipedream then it simply isn't going to happen, ever.
Better we actually have a realistic expansion strategy that considers where, when, whats needed and how best to use the extra content to cover the cost.
 

mongoose

Coach
Messages
11,817
I kind of think the NRL should de-merge Wests Tigers and relocate one party, maybe to Adelaide. Only problem is both Tigers and Magpies are massive AFL clubs. They might have to change their mascot
 
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