docbrown
Coach
- Messages
- 11,842
Okay from 7's perspective (obviously can't graph but it's a simple 2x2 CBA box arrangement) -
7 Wins The Rights -
Pro: 9, 10 & Foxtel go into competition against each other to get the scraps, 7 keeps the top shelf for itself, makes money from the second network auction. They can also set up a better simulcast deal with Foxtel then what they have with the AFL - in other words they can do a Wally Lewis and dictate terms.
Pro: they split the halo & steal part of 9's F2A ad base, grow their youth base
Con: they may be left with all the rights if the other networks don't want to bid - BUT - that auction would be a totally blind auction so that scenario is highly unlikely. All 3 parties would be left guessing as to what the others would be doing. Ask yourself - what are the consequences for each if they fail to get even part of the NRL package.
Con: temporary share price adjustment but they're big enough to cover it in the short term
7 Don't Win The Rights -
Pro: but by driving up the price they force 9 & 10 out of other programming (not just sports, but overall network
Pro: may kill off F&LR for 2018 auction
No cons, status quo obviously
Feel free to add more pro and cons if you feel I've missed any but they're the main ones in my opinion.
7 Wins The Rights -
Pro: 9, 10 & Foxtel go into competition against each other to get the scraps, 7 keeps the top shelf for itself, makes money from the second network auction. They can also set up a better simulcast deal with Foxtel then what they have with the AFL - in other words they can do a Wally Lewis and dictate terms.
Pro: they split the halo & steal part of 9's F2A ad base, grow their youth base
Con: they may be left with all the rights if the other networks don't want to bid - BUT - that auction would be a totally blind auction so that scenario is highly unlikely. All 3 parties would be left guessing as to what the others would be doing. Ask yourself - what are the consequences for each if they fail to get even part of the NRL package.
Con: temporary share price adjustment but they're big enough to cover it in the short term
7 Don't Win The Rights -
Pro: but by driving up the price they force 9 & 10 out of other programming (not just sports, but overall network
Pro: may kill off F&LR for 2018 auction
No cons, status quo obviously
Feel free to add more pro and cons if you feel I've missed any but they're the main ones in my opinion.