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Central Coast Bears NRL Bid.

siv

First Grade
Messages
6,748
Ok, so when the NRL puts a 2nd team in Brisbane (a given), then a 2nd team in NZ (not a dead cert, but likely given the rhetoric).. what then for Perth & Adelaide?

Each NRL team needs to then adopt a region and play home games there

CC Bears is my 18th team - 3 games at NSO

Easts - Adelaide with 6 games
Cronulla - Perth with 6 games
Penrith - Western NSW 2 games
Canberra - Riverina-Albury 2 games
Newcastle - Tamworth 2 games
Parramatta - Darwin 2 games
Canterbury - Christchurch 3 games
Melbourne - 2 games Hobart/Launceston
Souths - 2 games Coffs
Gold Coast - 2 games Lismore
Wests - 3 games Wellington NZ
Auckland - 2 games Hamilton NZ
Nth Qld - 2 games Mt Isa/Cairns
Western Brisbane - Toowoomba 2 games
Manly - Rockhampton/Sunshine Coast 3 games
Brisbane - Port Moresby 1 game
St Merge - 9 games in Wollongong
 

taipan

Referee
Messages
22,500
20 teams will require significant investment from the game's broadcasters.

Can you honestly see commercial TV and pay TV pumping an extra $52 million per year onto the amount they're already paying to support the NRL grant that 4 new teams will require?

Streaming is the future and it's killing commercial TV and forcing Foxtel to cut costs just to survive. There is no local streaming giant interested in forking out the funds required to support our game at the level its players and clubs now enjoy.


The NSW gov just shelved plans to rebuild the 3rd stadium that was promised in exchange for the rights to host the NRL GF in Sydney until 2040. The NRL has no more bargaining power and there's nothing to gain from rebuilding Brookvale, Penrith, Endeavor, Campbelltown and Kogarah. New grounds at these venues won't bring more high money drawing events to the city, which is the point of funding them. NSW gov funded the rebuild of Parramatta and SFS because it guaranteed they'll keep the GF and help secure more RU Tests and soccer internationals.



It's about bringing new fans into the game from Perth, adding value to the broadcast rights. Ratings in Melbourne for GFs, Origin and Tests have increased by a huge margin since the Storm were introduced. If we want to command even higher ratings for these fixtures then we'll need teams in Adelaide and Perth to raise the profile of the game. AwFuL's fumbleflag is pulling ahead of our centrepiece because it has a base in all 5 major population centres.


Rusted on fans aren't going to jump to another team, which is why keeping the brand alive in another market is vital. Fumbleball's Swans still have old South Melbourne fans based in the City of Fumbles buying memberships.

Manly is a tiny suburb and represents a small segment of the northern Sydney area. Their shit crowds and TV ratings prove it. Getting them out of that market and handing its catchment over to Roosters at NRL level and Bears at NSW Cup level will help the game get more kids playing and watching the game.



Then relocate them to Adelaide. If they couldn't be f**ked travelling to a quality stadium and hate the one they're based at then they're unviable as an NRL entity. It goes a long way to explaining why the club was on death's door in the 90s and had to merge with Illawarra. Brian Smith said the club had the stench of death, so he went to the Eels.




The NSW gov would be hoping that the 9 Sydney clubs take their games to SFS, Parramatta and Stadium Australia. If St George were to run to them and ask for a new ground at Kogarah they would be told to play at the SFS. The best St George can hope for is the NSW gov agreeing to build a grandstand on the eastern terrace of Wollongong Stadium.


Sydney's existing teams will have no choice but to learn how to swim or sink. That means growing their supporter base so they can make more money from gate receipts and memberships. The bigger their fanbase the more they'll command from advertisers. The population and interest in the game just isn't strong enough to support 9 teams. That's what it comes down to. Demand vs supply.



Clubs have their ups and down moments, my club has been poo on more than one occasion.A real test give the Storm a few non performing years and check crowds.
Clubs bounce back.Just ask Souths.

Yep and 18- 20 teams will also need decent financial backing such as sponsorship, private backers, junior area, and create TV ratings.If they can't get backing, it's pointless to apply.
I have no objection with Perth,but not a relocation, included in the 18

But wait ,if Tv companies cannot add value with additional teams, what makes you think teams outside heartland areas are going to add significantly to weekly ratings.The Storm has done so after 28 years, because they have won G/Fs and because they get decent ratings from Brisbane (because of their close Qld ties with players).
All I know is the NRL have a deal extended with News Ltd so far, which gives some certainty.What happens with media in 10 years time, happens the code adjusts.

According to today's Telegraph because the State Govt did not go ahead with doing up ANZ,Vlad is threatening to look elsewhere for grand finals, unless the State Govt puts money into local grounds for new stadiums.In return they will commit the G/Fs to 2046.

The Sharks have no debt ,and will have 2 licensed clubs to provide additional revenue, plus savings by not having to pay ground rental.They already have State Govt grant for a new Center of Excellence which will be incorporated in the E.T Stand and surrounds.They also have money in the Bank.They are probably resigned to the fact they wont get a new stadium via Govt,so they will have to do it themselves, and so they should.

How many rusted on fans do you think exist?Not all rusted on fans ,have memberships BTW.I didn't have one last year .There are indeed members of clubs, there are regulars who prefer to attend with mates ,families or friends but not commit a full year but may well end up attending a full year, there are those who attend on a less regular basis due to finances,there are members from outside the area, either former residents or people like the brand.
And there are the bandwaggoners.That was shown in then 2016 G/F when the Sharks,had about 70% of the crowd.
I keep reading crap about "small" areas, yet areas such as the Shire and I suspect Manly,South Sydney as example all have population increase with higher density housing.Just around Shark Park their new development will house about 2,500 people.There are houses being knocked down and units and townhouses going up everywhere in the Shire.
If friggin large areas with big populations cant fill stadiums, you are left on shaky ground staging smaller areas.


If the club is gone, who the hell is going to remain interested in their club ,gone interstate or gone kaput.Mate I didn't understand rl tribalism, until I started following the club.

The GC and Broncos have you beaut stadiums and don't fill them with big catchment areas.

Adelaide ground(not the AFL one) is hardly a you beaut stadium FFS.

FYI according to the Telegraph the GC has 351k social media followers fewer than Sydney United SC 381k.Broncos have the largest naturally.The Storm are well up on social media, but near filling their stadium is still a hard task.


It's a no brainer all clubs, not just Sydney need to market games better, but having better facilities helps that point.That includes the Broncos.

It's worth arguing if an interstate team can't cut it, then what?Do what the fumblers are doing throwing cash around like confetti?
Well if the population in Sydney( that will continue to grow), isn't strong enough to support 9 teams with more fans(than Brisbane) and where the bulk of the code's Tv ratings come from, then pushing for new clubs in non heartland areas, that won't grow but dilute Sydney Tv ratings thus revenue ,is self defeating.

Anyone from afar can sit backhand put pins on mats, that's the easy part.When you are dealing with clubs /expansion you are dealing with people and not small numbers.
I am yet to be convinced that flicking a club/joint ventures has provided a huge increase in crowds or juniors/.Quite the opposite in fact.
And BTW there is zero chance of WIN stadium east side having stand, due to closeness to beach and erosion long term.
 

flippikat

First Grade
Messages
5,221
Each NRL team needs to then adopt a region and play home games there

CC Bears is my 18th team - 3 games at NSO

Easts - Adelaide with 6 games
Cronulla - Perth with 6 games
Penrith - Western NSW 2 games
Canberra - Riverina-Albury 2 games
Newcastle - Tamworth 2 games
Parramatta - Darwin 2 games
Canterbury - Christchurch 3 games
Melbourne - 2 games Hobart/Launceston
Souths - 2 games Coffs
Gold Coast - 2 games Lismore
Wests - 3 games Wellington NZ
Auckland - 2 games Hamilton NZ
Nth Qld - 2 games Mt Isa/Cairns
Western Brisbane - Toowoomba 2 games
Manly - Rockhampton/Sunshine Coast 3 games
Brisbane - Port Moresby 1 game
St Merge - 9 games in Wollongong

I'm not entirely sure that would work - it undermines the market in ticketed memberships for a start.

I honestly think in the most likely scenario, we get Brisbane 2 & NZ 2 under the current administration, then Perth once the appeal for a WA team/timeslot becomes irresistible - which based on the current rhetoric, could be after V'Landys moves on.

That takes us to 19. From there my crystal ball gets murky.

The NRL would be keen to get it to 20 in this scenario - an even number of teams, but I really think it's an even bet between a "safe" option (basically Brisbane 3 or Central Coast) or Adelaide or NZ3 *if* the two NZ teams are doing ok.
 

taipan

Referee
Messages
22,500
Each NRL team needs to then adopt a region and play home games there

CC Bears is my 18th team - 3 games at NSO

Easts - Adelaide with 6 games
Cronulla - Perth with 6 games
Penrith - Western NSW 2 games
Canberra - Riverina-Albury 2 games
Newcastle - Tamworth 2 games
Parramatta - Darwin 2 games
Canterbury - Christchurch 3 games
Melbourne - 2 games Hobart/Launceston
Souths - 2 games Coffs
Gold Coast - 2 games Lismore
Wests - 3 games Wellington NZ
Auckland - 2 games Hamilton NZ
Nth Qld - 2 games Mt Isa/Cairns
Western Brisbane - Toowoomba 2 games
Manly - Rockhampton/Sunshine Coast 3 games
Brisbane - Port Moresby 1 game
St Merge - 9 games in Wollongong


Seriously mate .I know you are genuine, but your first two are laughable.Two games fair enough.Else why not Nth Qld have 4 in Cairns 2 in Darwin.
Wests have Campbelltown.Leichhardt,Parra, and 3 games in Wellington NZ. Sheesh mate.
I have no problem with clubs having one or max 2 games, but no more.It's not only fans but clubs' local businesses who take out boxes and or financially back the club.
All you are doing is making local season club memberships hardly worthwhile.
Anycase if you do all that you suggest, the State Govt will not provide funding for boutique stadiums in suburban grounds.There would be no point.
 

Santino Patane

Juniors
Messages
295
Each NRL team needs to then adopt a region and play home games there

CC Bears is my 18th team - 3 games at NSO

Easts - Adelaide with 6 games
Cronulla - Perth with 6 games
Penrith - Western NSW 2 games
Canberra - Riverina-Albury 2 games
Newcastle - Tamworth 2 games
Parramatta - Darwin 2 games
Canterbury - Christchurch 3 games
Melbourne - 2 games Hobart/Launceston
Souths - 2 games Coffs
Gold Coast - 2 games Lismore
Wests - 3 games Wellington NZ
Auckland - 2 games Hamilton NZ
Nth Qld - 2 games Mt Isa/Cairns
Western Brisbane - Toowoomba 2 games
Manly - Rockhampton/Sunshine Coast 3 games
Brisbane - Port Moresby 1 game
St Merge - 9 games in Wollongong
Straight up- no more NSW teams. You don’t need one on the Central coast- a location an hour away from Sydney is not exactly expanding the comp.

Also, why can’t Newcastle own the Central Coast too- they’re only an hour away? This is an honest question for anyone that has local knowledge as I don’t.
 

siv

First Grade
Messages
6,748
Straight up- no more NSW teams. You don’t need one on the Central coast- a location an hour away from Sydney is not exactly expanding the comp.

Also, why can’t Newcastle own the Central Coast too- they’re only an hour away? This is an honest question for anyone that has local knowledge as I don’t.

In general CC residents dont go to Newcastle as there are big physical barrier very little public transport bar the rail which is always under weekend trackwork

As a CC resident for 20 years I havent had any personal association with anyone from Newcastle city region..While Newcastle city is transforming and is nice I prefer to have day outings across the Coast. And kids are going out locally due to the lack of afterhours public transport for those who dont live on a train line
 

T-Boon

Coach
Messages
15,854
In general CC residents dont go to Newcastle as there are big physical barrier very little public transport bar the rail which is always under weekend trackwork

As a CC resident for 20 years I havent had any personal association with anyone from Newcastle city region..While Newcastle city is transforming and is nice I prefer to have day outings across the Coast. And kids are going out locally due to the lack of afterhours public transport for those who dont live on a train line

People from Newcastle obviously go to the CC a lot more than the reverse because it is on the way to Sydney and there is really nothing in Newcastle for people from Gosford to come up here for except a football team. BUT, it is extremely easy to travel by car to and fro and a lot of the central coast is closer than an hour away.
The first thing i think should happen is the Newcastle and Central Coast first grade RL should combine (edit: looks like they allready have Wyong and The Entrance have joined).
 
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Messages
14,822
A real test give the Storm a few non performing years and check crowds.
You are absolutely correct. Storm have been given every advantage under the sun by News Ltd and ARLC.The team never loses. It doesn't change the fact they've added viewers to the game that wouldn't exist if the team was never created.
Yep and 18- 20 teams will also need decent financial backing such as sponsorship, private backers, junior area, and create TV ratings.If they can't get backing, it's pointless to apply.
I have no objection with Perth,but not a relocation, included in the 18
That's why I think relocation should be looked at as an option.

Imagine how strong Wests could become if they merged with the Pirates bid?

Sell Balmain's 10% stake to the Pirates, change the name to Western Tigers and take 6 games to Perth each year. Play their home games against Sydney teams at Parramatta Stadium and take games against interstate teams to Perth Oval. Run clinics in Perth before every home game played there. It'll future proof their existence in the NRL.
But wait ,if Tv companies cannot add value with additional teams, what makes you think teams outside heartland areas are going to add significantly to weekly ratings.The Storm has done so after 28 years, because they have won G/Fs and because they get decent ratings from Brisbane (because of their close Qld ties with players).
All I know is the NRL have a deal extended with News Ltd so far, which gives some certainty.What happens with media in 10 years time, happens the code adjusts.

Thus the reason relocation is the better option.

According to today's Telegraph because the State Govt did not go ahead with doing up ANZ,Vlad is threatening to look elsewhere for grand finals, unless the State Govt puts money into local grounds for new stadiums.In return they will commit the G/Fs to 2046.
The ARLC created a lot of anger in Queensland with the stadium deal. Queensland has built 3 state of the art stadia over 20 years and been given nothing in return. Magic Round is tokenism BS. Fumbleball took advantage of this by bringing the fumbleflag up here. A massive own goal by the ARLC.

There's no way the NSW gov will upgrade 5-6 suburban stadia.

The Sharks have no debt ,and will have 2 licensed clubs to provide additional revenue, plus savings by not having to pay ground rental.They already have State Govt grant for a new Center of Excellence which will be incorporated in the E.T Stand and surrounds.They also have money in the Bank.They are probably resigned to the fact they wont get a new stadium via Govt,so they will have to do it themselves, and so they should
Sharks could be a force in Southern Sydney if they were the only club representing it and rebranded as the Southern Sydney Sharks. The region isn't big enough for 2 teams. Likewise if Dragons became Southern Sydney Dragons and took over the area. Shifting one of these teams to another city would make them both stronger.

How many rusted on fans do you think exist?Not all rusted on fans ,have memberships BTW.I didn't have one last year .There are indeed members of clubs, there are regulars who prefer to attend with mates ,families or friends but not commit a full year but may well end up attending a full year, there are those who attend on a less regular basis due to finances,there are members from outside the area, either former residents or people like the brand.
And there are the bandwaggoners.That was shown in then 2016 G/F when the Sharks,had about 70% of the crowd.
I keep reading crap about "small" areas, yet areas such as the Shire and I suspect Manly,South Sydney as example all have population increase with higher density housing.Just around Shark Park their new development will house about 2,500 people.There are houses being knocked down and units and townhouses going up everywhere in the Shire.
If friggin large areas with big populations cant fill stadiums, you are left on shaky ground staging smaller areas.

Keep the brand but relocate the club to an area that has no representation and everyone wins.

If the club is gone, who the hell is going to remain interested in their club ,gone interstate or gone kaput.Mate I didn't understand rl tribalism, until I started following the club.

Fitzroy and South Melbourne proved it can be done.

The GC and Broncos have you beaut stadiums and don't fill them with big catchment areas.
Brisbane is under-represented and Broncos are a divisive brand due to their antics off the field since 1988. Not a recipe for success. There should have been 2 teams up here to begin with and both should have had links with BRL clubs. Gold Coast is, well, Gold Coast. Enough said.

Adelaide ground(not the AFL one) is hardly a you beaut stadium FFS.
Maybe not, but neither is Kogarah or Wollongong Stadium.

It's a no brainer all clubs, not just Sydney need to market games better, but having better facilities helps that point.That includes the Broncos.
That's not going to happen in Sydney with 9 clubs.

It's worth arguing if an interstate team can't cut it, then what?Do what the fumblers are doing throwing cash around like confetti?
Well if the population in Sydney( that will continue to grow), isn't strong enough to support 9 teams with more fans(than Brisbane) and where the bulk of the code's Tv ratings come from, then pushing for new clubs in non heartland areas, that won't grow but dilute Sydney Tv ratings thus revenue ,is self defeating.

How many of Sydney's increased population will care about NSWRL clubs in 2050?

Most of them will be migrants from non-RL countries and few of them will adopt our game.

Anyone from afar can sit backhand put pins on mats, that's the easy part.When you are dealing with clubs /expansion you are dealing with people and not small numbers.
I am yet to be convinced that flicking a club/joint ventures has provided a huge increase in crowds or juniors/.Quite the opposite in fact.

Attendances and ratings in Sydney before the mergers were shit compared to now.

And BTW there is zero chance of WIN stadium east side having stand, due to closeness to beach and erosion long term.
Why was it built there?
 
Messages
14,822
I'm not entirely sure that would work - it undermines the market in ticketed memberships for a start.

I honestly think in the most likely scenario, we get Brisbane 2 & NZ 2 under the current administration, then Perth once the appeal for a WA team/timeslot becomes irresistible - which based on the current rhetoric, could be after V'Landys moves on.

That takes us to 19. From there my crystal ball gets murky.

The NRL would be keen to get it to 20 in this scenario - an even number of teams, but I really think it's an even bet between a "safe" option (basically Brisbane 3 or Central Coast) or Adelaide or NZ3 *if* the two NZ teams are doing ok.
Here's my wish.

17th Bris 2
18th NZ 2
19th Bris 3
20th NZ 3

2 Sydney teams relocate to Adelaide and Perth.

Game is set up nicely and able to compete with AwFuL and onionball across Australia and NZ.
 

taipan

Referee
Messages
22,500
You are absolutely correct. Storm have been given every advantage under the sun by News Ltd and ARLC.The team never loses. It doesn't change the fact they've added viewers to the game that wouldn't exist if the team was never created.

That's why I think relocation should be looked at as an option.

Imagine how strong Wests could become if they merged with the Pirates bid?

Sell Balmain's 10% stake to the Pirates, change the name to Western Tigers and take 6 games to Perth each year. Play their home games against Sydney teams at Parramatta Stadium and take games against interstate teams to Perth Oval. Run clinics in Perth before every home game played there. It'll future proof their existence in the NRL.


Thus the reason relocation is the better option.


The ARLC created a lot of anger in Queensland with the stadium deal. Queensland has built 3 state of the art stadia over 20 years and been given nothing in return. Magic Round is tokenism BS. Fumbleball took advantage of this by bringing the fumbleflag up here. A massive own goal by the ARLC.

There's no way the NSW gov will upgrade 5-6 suburban stadia.


Sharks could be a force in Southern Sydney if they were the only club representing it and rebranded as the Southern Sydney Sharks. The region isn't big enough for 2 teams. Likewise if Dragons became Southern Sydney Dragons and took over the area. Shifting one of these teams to another city would make them both stronger.



Keep the brand but relocate the club to an area that has no representation and everyone wins.



Fitzroy and South Melbourne proved it can be done.


Brisbane is under-represented and Broncos are a divisive brand due to their antics off the field since 1988. Not a recipe for success. There should have been 2 teams up here to begin with and both should have had links with BRL clubs. Gold Coast is, well, Gold Coast. Enough said.


Maybe not, but neither is Kogarah or Wollongong Stadium.


That's not going to happen in Sydney with 9 clubs.



How many of Sydney's increased population will care about NSWRL clubs in 2050?

Most of them will be migrants from non-RL countries and few of them will adopt our game.



Attendances and ratings in Sydney before the mergers were shit compared to now.


Why was it built there?

If Wests merged with Pirates say goodbye to rl being strong in Sydney fastest growing area.
I have spelt out time and time again why relocation, after Sydney having already rationalised won't work.
The State Govt doesn't have to work on 5-6 Sydney boutique stadium,only Manly,Campbelltown ,and WIN
Win stadium cannot have a stand on the Eastern side as I stated, there is a possibility they may move to another area there.

Sharks are already a force in Sthn Sydney, even allowing for the Dragons playing games at Jubilee.
The area is big enough ,because both traditional clubs Dragons have a big base and Sharks are well entrenched in the Shire and surrounds and own their facilities.

You keep assuming keeping the brand and relocating will solve the problem.The NThn Eagles was a disaster.
Do you realise Gyngell when he was running ch9 stated IHO Brisbane needed a 2nd club(agreed),but was not keen on other non heartland areas.So all this proposition that non heartland areas, will translate into huge TV ratings and revenue ,belies the truth.He said it ,not me.
It's not going to happen ,unless a club fails.

It still doesn't sink in. Losing clubs and joint venturing didn't solve problems, it divides fans and fans are lost to the game.North Sydney is a classic example and they were not in a strong heartland rl area.
Anyone can sit back and say ,we'll put this club here and there.I would only work as a final desperate move to save a sinking club.

The crowds, juniors for joint venture and lost clubs did not dramatically increase in heartland areas, where one would expect it should happen.The money expended to get Melbourne established was a king's ransom and juniors are rare in their team.They were competitive day 1 and had many stars ,that gave them a boost, but they can't get on ch9 main channel in Melbourne.
Losing South Sydney for that period, did untold damage, ask their fans.Them coming back helped TV ratings,merchandisaing,crow.ds


The GC stadium was built ,and can't get close to full, unless the Broncos play.And the area has large numbers of junior s and 600k population, meaning size of area even in heartland can be misleading.
I have no problem with another Brisbane tearlike Gyngell stated.
I do not see another NZ side as being financially practical.

Using that argument ,how many care about rl in non heartland areas interstate and the likely ratings that bring in revenue? If they did the NRL would have had teams on track.
SOO brings in Interstate viewers,NRL games don't .


You do understand that Fitzroy and South Melbourne would not be in the position they are now, without the SL war, which the Broncos,Perth and Nth Qld all interstate clubs, jumped on the bandwagon.
And after 38 years the Swans Tv ratings in Sydney are ordinary, else they'd be on main Ch7 channel.
And when the Lions are down the ladder their crowds drop dramatically.
The Sunburns and Gnats get local ratings about as low as the earthquake Richter scale, after huge amounts poured in.
How much money does the NRL have in its kitty? Answer ATM not bleeding much,thanks to the CCP virus.

Hence the reason Vlad has stated the code needs to get into the Asian and Indian community at grassroots in Sydney.
And you are forgetting these migrants will also be going to others states, such as WA/SA/Vic,so that will make it a lot harder for rl.

So on your theory, removing more Sydney clubs even from heartland areas(and the effect on fans rusted on and casual), in the biggest Tv ratings city for the code, where the population will be watered down by migrant intake(that also includes other states),will somehow strengthen the game in Sydney ,when removal and joint ventures have not had the massive impact expected.
Despite the fact all Sydney clubs being financially able to carry on, and upgraded facilities either being done, being lobbied with Govt ,even the AFL is not that dumb.
And business people(yep even with union backgrounds) that financially help sponsor the clubs, they are not going to do so if their team ,is shafted to the ends of the earth.
The AFL are not going to move clubs now, they admit it's costing a motza to set up in other states, and bear in mind their Tv deals in the future may well be chopped.Then what?

I'd like to know what fully investigated research has been done on the matter by the code, not by us posters making assumptions and putting pins on maps.I'd also like to know the financial issues involved ,especially as we have used up our cash, as the code is hardly at its strongest point.
We are assuming the NRL has not discussed the ratings' effect on having clubs in non heartland areas.They have had people on the ARLC who have been involved with TV negotiations with expertise in non heartland regions.Weiss from memory was one.

I will repeat, those that seem to be pushing for Sydney relocation are non Sydneysiders.I do know the AFL would love further NRL club removals, that makes their efforts to penetrate the market that much easier.Particularly for growing grassroots in a vacuum.
We've screwed up Nthn Sydney so, why not other parts, sounds rational LOL.
It's like going on a patrol, without a forward scout, you'll get rogered.
 

Perth Red

Post Whore
Messages
69,548
Northern Eagles started off well in Gosford, their attendance avg in their first year was second best of any venue. I'm guessing the bad blood soon emerged after that and turned fans away? Like NS it doesnt show it has to be a certain way, just that if you dont do it right the inevitable outcome will be poorer. Look at Tigers, the nomadic nature of their stadium use continues to be a hinderance but they persist out of some failed logic of loyalty. Do it right and it can work, ask the Swans.

The crowd avg for the mergers is still better most years than for the previous individual clubs meaning greater chance of sustainability. Tigers good years have seen them avg 17-18k Balmain in modern times best was 10-11k and Wests was under 10k nearly every year. one club getting 18k fans is more sustainable than two clubs sharing 20k fans.
 
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Messages
14,822
Sydney RL isn't the victim. It's the bully that raped and pillaged every other RL competition in the country for its own benefit to everyone else's detriment. It took advantage of NSW's pro-gaming machine laws, which Queensland didn't have, to pillage the BRL and dominate the residency-based interstate competition.

When Origin was introduced by the QRL, the Sydney media and NSWRL were against it because they didn't want competition. They were arrogant and dumb enough to say Origin wouldn't work and that Queenslanders were stupid for wanting it. If we had have let those narrow-minded idiots have their way then the game's most lucrative product wouldn't exist.

NSWRL wanted to be a national competition, but in name only and for no other reason than they needed money from other markets for their clubs to stay relevant. It's the same today. The interstate clubs draw more viewers and money into the game.

average-ratings-by-club-1.png

market-size.png
https://pythagonrl.com/?s=Tv+ratings

Arthurson and Quayle wanted to rationalise Sydney in the 80s. The idiots were stupid enough to give the pay TV rights to Packer for $0. Murdoch came in and wanted to pay money for the rights, but only if Sydney was rationalised. Arthurson and Quayle did a 180 degree backflip and demanded we keep the Sydney teams they previously tried to kill, saying they needed to stay because of tradition and history, despite the fact those 2 hypocrites pissed all over the tradition and history of clubs from all over the country. Packer ended up stabbing the old dickheads in the back and the result was unsustainable Sydney clubs had to fend for themselves. Some merged. Some perished.

In spite of all the rhetoric about Sydney clubs being so valuable, the Sydney-centric ARL 1997 competition drew horrendous crowds and were put to shame by Super League clubs from Townsville, Brisbane and Adelaide.

ARL 1997
9,915

Super League 1997
12,347

https://afltables.com/rl/crowds/summary.html
 
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MugaB

Coach
Messages
15,042
If Wests merged with Pirates say goodbye to rl being strong in Sydney fastest growing area.
I have spelt out time and time again why relocation, after Sydney having already rationalised won't work.
The State Govt doesn't have to work on 5-6 Sydney boutique stadium,only Manly,Campbelltown ,and WIN
Win stadium cannot have a stand on the Eastern side as I stated, there is a possibility they may move to another area there.

Sharks are already a force in Sthn Sydney, even allowing for the Dragons playing games at Jubilee.
The area is big enough ,because both traditional clubs Dragons have a big base and Sharks are well entrenched in the Shire and surrounds and own their facilities.

You keep assuming keeping the brand and relocating will solve the problem.The NThn Eagles was a disaster.
Do you realise Gyngell when he was running ch9 stated IHO Brisbane needed a 2nd club(agreed),but was not keen on other non heartland areas.So all this proposition that non heartland areas, will translate into huge TV ratings and revenue ,belies the truth.He said it ,not me.
It's not going to happen ,unless a club fails.

It still doesn't sink in. Losing clubs and joint venturing didn't solve problems, it divides fans and fans are lost to the game.North Sydney is a classic example and they were not in a strong heartland rl area.
Anyone can sit back and say ,we'll put this club here and there.I would only work as a final desperate move to save a sinking club.

The crowds, juniors for joint venture and lost clubs did not dramatically increase in heartland areas, where one would expect it should happen.The money expended to get Melbourne established was a king's ransom and juniors are rare in their team.They were competitive day 1 and had many stars ,that gave them a boost, but they can't get on ch9 main channel in Melbourne.
Losing South Sydney for that period, did untold damage, ask their fans.Them coming back helped TV ratings,merchandisaing,crow.ds


The GC stadium was built ,and can't get close to full, unless the Broncos play.And the area has large numbers of junior s and 600k population, meaning size of area even in heartland can be misleading.
I have no problem with another Brisbane tearlike Gyngell stated.
I do not see another NZ side as being financially practical.

Using that argument ,how many care about rl in non heartland areas interstate and the likely ratings that bring in revenue? If they did the NRL would have had teams on track.
SOO brings in Interstate viewers,NRL games don't .


You do understand that Fitzroy and South Melbourne would not be in the position they are now, without the SL war, which the Broncos,Perth and Nth Qld all interstate clubs, jumped on the bandwagon.
And after 38 years the Swans Tv ratings in Sydney are ordinary, else they'd be on main Ch7 channel.
And when the Lions are down the ladder their crowds drop dramatically.
The Sunburns and Gnats get local ratings about as low as the earthquake Richter scale, after huge amounts poured in.
How much money does the NRL have in its kitty? Answer ATM not bleeding much,thanks to the CCP virus.

Hence the reason Vlad has stated the code needs to get into the Asian and Indian community at grassroots in Sydney.
And you are forgetting these migrants will also be going to others states, such as WA/SA/Vic,so that will make it a lot harder for rl.

So on your theory, removing more Sydney clubs even from heartland areas(and the effect on fans rusted on and casual), in the biggest Tv ratings city for the code, where the population will be watered down by migrant intake(that also includes other states),will somehow strengthen the game in Sydney ,when removal and joint ventures have not had the massive impact expected.
Despite the fact all Sydney clubs being financially able to carry on, and upgraded facilities either being done, being lobbied with Govt ,even the AFL is not that dumb.
And business people(yep even with union backgrounds) that financially help sponsor the clubs, they are not going to do so if their team ,is shafted to the ends of the earth.
The AFL are not going to move clubs now, they admit it's costing a motza to set up in other states, and bear in mind their Tv deals in the future may well be chopped.Then what?

I'd like to know what fully investigated research has been done on the matter by the code, not by us posters making assumptions and putting pins on maps.I'd also like to know the financial issues involved ,especially as we have used up our cash, as the code is hardly at its strongest point.
We are assuming the NRL has not discussed the ratings' effect on having clubs in non heartland areas.They have had people on the ARLC who have been involved with TV negotiations with expertise in non heartland regions.Weiss from memory was one.

I will repeat, those that seem to be pushing for Sydney relocation are non Sydneysiders.I do know the AFL would love further NRL club removals, that makes their efforts to penetrate the market that much easier.Particularly for growing grassroots in a vacuum.
We've screwed up Nthn Sydney so, why not other parts, sounds rational LOL.
It's like going on a patrol, without a forward scout, you'll get rogered.
But its so easy to to relocate "the dragons to Adelaide", and "sharks to perth" all these random whinges on the forum picking teams in Sydney without knowing what they bring to that community and catchment in Sydney.
So many facts and figures from Superleague and 1990s to prove that rationalization of the code will work, IT WON'T!!! Look at busted arse Union, even they flicked WA, the code is horrendous now, it was thriving at club level before SuperRugby ruin it, turn it into a weekly state of origin vs international clubs, now a laughing stock...
League needs to be smarter, not be dictated by the lack of presence, but by strengthening its current heartlands, 17th and 18th licence should cover SEQ, and swallow up brisbane's attention, and gold coast should thrive by having more nearby rivals also, this should shït on ALFs Suns and Lions doorstep, likewise trying to move any sydney based club will give a leg up to Giants and Swans, right now Giants are biding there time, but as soon as tigers eels or panthers drop the ball, Western Sydney becomes a more profitable place for ALF
 
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But its so easy to to relocate "the dragons to Adelaide", and "sharks to perth" all these random whinges on the forum picking teams in Sydney without knowing what they bring to that community and catchment in Sydney.
So many facts and figures from Superleague and 1990s to prove that rationalization of the code will work, IT WON'T!!! Look at busted arse Union, even they flicked WA, the code is horrendous now, it was thriving at club level before SuperRugby ruin it, turn it into a weekly state of origin vs international clubs, now a laughing stock...
League needs to be smarter, not be dictated by the lack of presence, but by strengthening its current heartlands, 17th and 18th licence should cover SEQ, and swallow up brisbane's attention, and gold coast should thrive by having more nearby rivals also, this should shït on ALFs Suns and Lions doorstep, likewise trying to move any sydney based club will give a leg up to Giants and Swans, right now Giants are biding there time, but as soon as tigers eels or panthers drop the ball, Western Sydney becomes a more profitable place for ALF
I used to think just like this, but the ratings for last year's NRL GF and fumbleflag convinced me we need to expand into new markets.

We're not going to get too many more people following the game in Australia's 3 largest cities. Brisbane might increase if it gets another 2 teams, but if we want even more fans then we'll have to tap into Adelaide and Perth.

Looking at the market size graphic from Pythago NRL shows there are plenty of Sydney clubs that don't appeal to the RL community.

The Gold Coast, despite being down the bottom of the ladder for most of the last decade, draw a higher average viewership on FTA than Manly, St George, Penrith, Wests, Canterbury and Roosters. Cronulla are only slightly ahead of them.

3 of those lower drawing clubs are from the inner-west out to the western boundary of Sydney metro, with 1 in the south, 1 in the CBD and 1 in northern Sydney.

I fail to see how keeping Manly around will help Roosters expand. We should be looking ay marketing the Roosters to the kids on the North Shore and Northern Beaches so that in 20 years time they are the largest club in Sydney.

Canterbury and Wests are holding each other back, so one of them should relocate so the other can become a powerhouse in the south-west.
 

Perth Red

Post Whore
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But its so easy to to relocate "the dragons to Adelaide", and "sharks to perth" all these random whinges on the forum picking teams in Sydney without knowing what they bring to that community and catchment in Sydney.
So many facts and figures from Superleague and 1990s to prove that rationalization of the code will work, IT WON'T!!! Look at busted arse Union, even they flicked WA, the code is horrendous now, it was thriving at club level before SuperRugby ruin it, turn it into a weekly state of origin vs international clubs, now a laughing stock...
League needs to be smarter, not be dictated by the lack of presence, but by strengthening its current heartlands, 17th and 18th licence should cover SEQ, and swallow up brisbane's attention, and gold coast should thrive by having more nearby rivals also, this should shït on ALFs Suns and Lions doorstep, likewise trying to move any sydney based club will give a leg up to Giants and Swans, right now Giants are biding there time, but as soon as tigers eels or panthers drop the ball, Western Sydney becomes a more profitable place for ALF

That would be so RL lol. Yep whilst AFL continues to flourish and grow as the countries national code RL hides behind its 2 suburban walls slowly starving as the AFL hordes rape and pillage the surrounding lands.
The AFL has a $250million revenue gap now and it grows every year (well pre covid anyway). We wont catch up just doing more of the same as we have always done. That's just dumb.
 

MugaB

Coach
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That would be so RL lol. Yep whilst AFL continues to flourish and grow as the countries national code RL hides behind its 2 suburban walls slowly starving as the AFL hordes rape and pillage the surrounding lands.
The AFL has a $250million revenue gap now and it grows every year (well pre covid anyway). We wont catch up just doing more of the same as we have always done. That's just dumb.
No but we cannot just hand over more of our heartland, its like Melbourne relocating 2-3 AFL clubs to TAS, NQ, ACT, but leaving the door for NRL to add our 18th team in North Melbourne for example, you can't see it coz your not in sydney all you see is perth is not represented, as much as i want to see that, we can be shafting the current 16 brands of NRL to cater for other cities, we need to just build there and add like it was done in 1995, and '88 in newy and qld, and '82 in act and win... etc
Dropping clubs solves nothing, relocating poor or badly run clubs is a recipe for disaster, and removing catchments or trying to hand over others to rivals kills interest for decades which just hands over those catchments to rival codes.

strong bids, or strong clubs that want to move to key cities are what we need.
 
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Has the participation rate dropped because of mergers and the axing of Bears, or is it due to changing demographics and cultural shifts?

We didn't know much about concussion 30 years ago and RL is a collison based sport.

Participation has dropped all over the country, especially amongst whites, although we've seen an increase in the amount of Polynesians playing the game. Polynesians tend to be bigger and stronger than whites while they're growing. I think the decline has more to do with the brutal nature of the game making it unpalatable to parents of middle class parents, especially of those who have smaller sized kids. The introduction of the 10 metre rule in the early 1990s made it more dangerous.
 

Perth Red

Post Whore
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69,548
No but we cannot just hand over more of our heartland, its like Melbourne relocating 2-3 AFL clubs to TAS, NQ, ACT, but leaving the door for NRL to add our 18th team in North Melbourne for example, you can't see it coz your not in sydney all you see is perth is not represented, as much as i want to see that, we can be shafting the current 16 brands of NRL to cater for other cities, we need to just build there and add like it was done in 1995, and '88 in newy and qld, and '82 in act and win... etc
Dropping clubs solves nothing, relocating poor or badly run clubs is a recipe for disaster, and removing catchments or trying to hand over others to rivals kills interest for decades which just hands over those catchments to rival codes.

strong bids, or strong clubs that want to move to key cities are what we need.

Its two fold for me, creating license space for a better geographical spread for the game and trying to reduce the cannibilising of limited resources in Sydney so we have bigger more sustainable clubs there long term without having to spend as much of the games money making that happen. Im not convinced RL fans are going to switch to Giants because a club is merged (I dont generally support relocation unless the club is bust and the brand is worth saving). If a generic brand like GWS appeals to sports fans why wouldnt a western sydney RL brand? We keep hearing its too far for Sharks and Dragons fans to travel to the SFs so why would they abandon RL and travel to SCG if there was a southern Sydney club on their doorstep in a quality stadium.
 

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