Eels game.

[Bests Golden Boots]

Chance is 50-50.

He’ll either make changes or he won’t.

Rubbish, you can easily rule out one of those choices.

 

[muzby]

Shut-up Muzby.

Why? It’s statistically correct..

 

[muzby]

Rubbish, you can easily rule out one of those choices.

Actually if we delve down into it further, there’s actually a great likely hood of a change..

First option is change or no change, a 1:2 (50%) chance..

But if we pull apart the reason for the change we are left with two factors which drive the change - forced (injury, therefore player unavailable), or unforced (form based, so player available but not selected).

Which means we are left with three possible outcomes:
- change, forced
- change, unforced
- no change

Therefore as each outcome has a 1:3 chance, there is a 2:3 chance that a change is made to the team..

 

[JohnnoMcJohnno]

Why? It’s statistically correct..

So what? Saying MacGregor is a successful coach is also statistically correct.

 

[muzby]

So what? Saying MacGregor is a successful coach is also statistically correct.

Depends on your comparative data set and measure of success.

If we look at games coached and work off a greater than 50% win rate as being the tipping point..

He’s won 54, lost 53 - which gives him a 50.5% success rate - so technically successful, albeit by the narrowest of margins.

But a loss this week would bring it down to exactly 50% - so neither successful nor unsuccessful.

A win would only lift him to 50.9%, so losing this weekend would actually have a greater impact on his overall career than a win (-0.5 vs +0.4)

Of course, if we compare him to Price (so expanding our data set) who had a 37.9% success rate, Mary is the far superior coach of the two. Let’s not forget, we made the finals in 2015

But if we further expand the data set and include Bellamy with a 68.1% success rate, this tells us that Bellamy is a better coach than McGregor, by a bigger margin than McGregor is better than Price.

 

[st penguin]

So what? Saying MacGregor is a successful coach is also statistically correct.

"successful" is a subjective opinion of the data - so you can't say that statement is "statistically correct".

You could definitively say he has won more than he has lost.

YAY.

 

[Bests Golden Boots]

Depends on your comparative data set and measure of success.

If we look at games coached and work off a greater than 50% win rate as being the tipping point..

He’s won 54, lost 53 - which gives him a 50.5% success rate - so technically successful, albeit by the narrowest of margins.

But a loss this week would bring it down to exactly 50% - so neither successful nor unsuccessful.

A win would only lift him to 50.9%, so losing this weekend would actually have a greater impact on his overall career than a win (-0.5 vs +0.4)

Of course, if we compare him to Price (so expanding our data set) who had a 37.9% success rate, Mary is the far superior coach of the two. Let’s not forget, we made the finals in 2015

But if we further expand the data set and include Bellamy with a 68.1% success rate, this tells us that Bellamy is a better coach than McGregor, by a bigger margin than McGregor is better than Price.

My kid recently got 51% on a maths test, he’s still an idiot.

 

[JohnnoMcJohnno]

My kid recently got 51% on a maths test, he’s still an idiot.

He's not an idiot, he potentially has a future career as an NRL coach.

 

[Drag Queen]

My kid recently got 51% on a maths test, he’s still an idiot.

Comment of the day BGB

 

[muzby]

My kid recently got 51% on a maths test, he’s still an idiot.

Look, I’m not going to comment on your family situation or how far apples fall from trees or anything like that..

However.. when you have a 50-50 chance of an outcome (win/loss) anthing greater than the median indicates a positive factor..

So for our mate Mary, if he loses this weekend he’s right on the precipice of switching to the wrong side of the ledger..

Huge match for his this Saturday..

 

[hazzbeen]

My kid recently got 51% on a maths test, he’s still an idiot.

Mate I got one of those . He got 48 percent , he is a bigger dope than yours ....

 

[Dragonslayer]

So, we are around 30 mins from seeing, most probably, the biggest decision in McGregors coaching career.

 

[muzby]

So, we are around 30 mins from seeing, most probably, the biggest decision in McGregors coaching career.

Biggest decision to date.

I hope the biggest decision in his career is the team list he puts out on Tuesday September 25, 2018..

 

[Bests Golden Boots]

Man you should see the team, Aitken dropped, Lafai dropped, nightingale dropped, Latimore dropped.
Lomax in, Mann to the centres, Herbert on the wing, Lawrie to starting prop.


Only kidding, it’s the same as last week.

 

[Old Timer]

Team announced
Cut & paste except for Vaughan.
BL on to bench & LAM to start
Interesting Host is No 18 thought he wasn't due back to #25

 

[TruSaint]

Matt Dufty – sponsored by Illawarra Mercury/St George & Sutherland Shire Leader
2. Jordan Pereira – sponsored by Relativity in the Loop
3. Euan Aitken – sponsored by University of Wollongong
4. Tim Lafai – sponsored by Kingsgrove Sports Centre
5. Jason Nightingale– sponsored by SMAI
6. Gareth Widdop (c) – sponsored by Dynamic Projects
7. Ben Hunt– sponsored by Paul's Customs and Forwarding Solutions
8. James Graham – sponsored by EFEX
9. Cameron McInnes – sponsored by Floormania
10. Leeson Ah Mau – sponsored by My Muscle Chef
11. Tyson Frizell – sponsored by Val Morgan
12. Tariq Sims – sponsored by Stonemasons & Landscapers (since 1970)
13. Jack de Belin – sponsored by Wollongong Jetski

Interchange:
14. Jeremy Latimore – sponsored by Addbuild Additions15. Kurt Mann – sponsored by Wollongong Diagnostics16. Blake Lawrie – sponsored by Westfund17. Luciano Leilua – sponsored by Domus Lighting
18. Jacob Host
19. Nene Macdonald
20. Zac Lomax
21. Hame Sele

 

[TruSaint]

FMD.... speechless.

 

[Old Timer]

FMD.... speechless.

Come on, at least it looks like he dropped Nene, that's a start isn't it?

 

[TruSaint]

Come on, at least it looks like he dropped Nene, that's a start isn't it?

lol...

 

[OzDragon]

It’ll be different this time around guys. I’m sure of it...