Nrl Betting

[andrew057]

Roosters look like a trap to me.

 

[umina panther]

Broncos giving away -4 paying $2.10 on Centrebet

 

[umina panther]

Cows to score under 19.5 points @ 1.95

Roosters -5.5 @ 1.95

 

[umina panther]

Broke even today.

I honestly can't see how the tigpies are favorites but I'm worried I'm being biased. Someone give me a reason why Penrith won't win?

 

[diggo]

Broke even today.

I honestly can't see how the tigpies are favorites but I'm worried I'm being biased. Someone give me a reason why Penrith won't win?

Don't even go there.. These types of games are like picking black or red on roulette. The best bet is to watch from the sidelines

 

[WYD]

Canberra over 17.5 juiced or 18 points.

Either will do.

 

[Chicken_Hunter]

My titans bet is looking good so far... Only had them at -7.5 though

 

[WYD]

My titans bet is looking good so far... Only had them at -7.5 though

Good bet, never in danger.

 

[Diesel]

Storm 13+ vs the Dogs might be a good option, waiting for the odds later today

 

[diggo]

ROUND 2

Not a great betting round this week, with all of the good teams playing each other, as are the bad teams. Most games are hard to pick with any confidence this week.

Manly, again, look to be the best bet of the round. Although Newcastle were good on Monday, you can't bring any of that form into this game (I don't think I've ever seen 65% possession before).. Tigers were dreadful.

I took Manly @ $1.76 (Betfair).. back at Brookie, very hard to beat.

I also took the Roosters @ $1.83 (Betfair). Just can't see the Warriors improving much on last week, Roosters are great value here.

Really nothing else this week. I'm tempted to take the Titans over Canberra, although they have shortened a little too much for mine. Also the Sharkies at $4? Jeez those are very juicy odds, despite the uncertainties hanging over them.

Another great return last week

Been doing some trading this week. I noticed Manly at $1.70 on betfair last night. Saw a hedging opportunity so I went large.. took every last cent available at that price and then some more at $1.69 today. Titans are now out to $2.80, so I will lock in a guaranteed (albeit modest) profit on a portion of my original Manly bet. I'll let the rest ride, quite happy with $1.70 odds.

 

[The Gambler]

It is bullsh*t what is happening to some of the odds.

Storm -12.5/over 36.5 points is paying $2.75. If you multi the same two singles together, you would get odds of $3.70 (obviously you can't do this).

Last season you were basically guaranteed to get above $3.20 for all four line/over/under combos.

 

[Jimmy Rustles]

It is bullsh*t what is happening to some of the odds.

Storm -12.5/over 36.5 points is paying $2.75. If you multi the same two singles together, you would get odds of $3.70 (obviously you can't do this).

Last season you were basically guaranteed to get above $3.20 for all four line/over/under combos.

You can parlay moneylines/spreads and totals on bet365 on most sports aside soccer and tennis. Storm -10.5 (1.91) & Over 36.5 (2.00) pays $3.82

Several of the other Aussie books have line and total double markets and margin and total doubles but they are juiced. Sportsbet have Storm -10.5 & Over 34.5 at $3.25 for the double.

 

[The Gambler]

You can parlay moneylines/spreads and totals on bet365 on most sports aside soccer and tennis. Storm -10.5 (1.91) & Over 36.5 (2.00) pays $3.82

Several of the other Aussie books have line and total double markets and margin and total doubles but they are juiced. Sportsbet have Storm -10.5 & Over 34.5 at $3.25 for the double.

Thanks.

The bet365 option is remarkable value compared to the TAB isn't it. What a farce.

My only issue is I operate in cash.

 

[andrew057]

Thanks.

The bet365 option is remarkable value compared to the TAB isn't it. What a farce.

My only issue is I operate in cash.

$3.60 on sportingbet. Stay away from Bet365 if you win money.

 

[Jimmy Rustles]

Yeah thing with bet365 is they are a rec book, if you bet large/max stakes and regularly win they will limit/exclude you fairly quick. Especially if you sign up and hit a nice streak max betting straight away. Many places do it. Lots of good options though and the 100% signup bonus is worth rolling over. If you don't go too large, few hundred max a game you can fly under their risk management radar. I mostly use them for hail mary multi's & combos in case I sweep a batch of events over a day/weekend. Which I realise I'll be paid out and probably no longer welcome if I get lucky on a huge win.

For large bets, best place is pinnacle sports but no semi-correlated parlays and doubles, just ml's, spreads, totals and margin bets for league. You can max bet an event, wait for the line to move and max bet again. No limiting or booting out winners.

 

[Chicken_Hunter]

I have gone storm with @-11.5 this week and also at -20.5 for fun

 

[WYD]

Think there's value in the Dogs ML so I'll be on that tonight.

It's rough but it's worth a play.

 

[Jimmy Rustles]

I've bought a point down to -9.5 @ 1.80, cross a key number for safety, being a noob here and my first bet posted will probably lose. Dogs by 8? :crazy:

Despite Storm having a fairly tough schedule and back to back games in warm weather there's too many outs for the Dogs to fade Storm or take the 1-12. Storm should go 3-0 ATS here.

 

[diggo]

With you on Melbourne, it's raining so I'll only give 5.5 points @ $1.48 (CB)

 

[Jimmy Rustles]

Oh for f**ks sake. How the hell did they give up that last try...