I can see the similarities in Newcastle to us in 2005, however I will say this. Their side is a lot less experienced then our side of 05. To be honest, I couldn't believe we were being written off the way we were in 2005. We were predicted to finish 9th (by Big League and other sources) despite buying a lot of talented and experienced players. At the start of the year I tipped us to be a top 4 side and optimistically had us winning the minor premiership, as it so happend to eventuate. I understand the perspective that we didn't have a so called, established halfback leading us around (before Tim produced the mother of all seasons) but I thought our forward pack/bench was the best/one of the best leading into that comp, and many of the previous seasons showed that we were more than competitive without an established halfback.
I think the thing with Newcastle is, they don't have many finals hardend players. In that if they're under the pump in the pressure of sudden death football, I'm not sure how they'll perform, hopefully for their sake this year Smithy isn't a negative influence in that area. However, in saying that, neither were the Tigers of 2005 and we all know how that ended, so it could work in their advantage also. Time will tell.