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Season 2021

stryker

First Grade
Messages
5,277
It's a template we need to copy. Hopefully without getting caught before it bears fruit. Also, Melbourne have $3 million a year in additional TP payments to players. This is more than triple the most by any other club in the NRL. As far as I know this has never been investigated by the NRL. TP payments must be at arms length to be legal. Therefore, the club can have no involvement with them at all. Funny how no one has has ever asked how $3 million in player sponsorship money just calls up, unsolicited, and expresses interest in keeping Melbourne ahead. All in a city where (aside from about 15,000 hard-core supporters) most people hope that league would just f**k off and die.

Great analysis Tigerm. Appreciate the effort you put in.
Corporate investors don’t care about allegiances to footy codes. The Melbourne Storm are winners, well branded and recognisable around the country due to their success.
Victorian businesses would be stupid not to get involved and clearly they have.
 

Mario chalmers

Juniors
Messages
581
A couple of interesting articles, from the other side?

I personally think the answer is obvious - the best players are juniors, and the most disappointing players are seniors. So Madge has his footballing ability locked up in players who don’t yet have the experience to fight tougher and smarter under adversity. And the players we turn to under adversity, the experienced once, aren’t playing good football even in absence of pressure.

I personally think Tamou is doing OK (he has almost no experienced support in the forwards), but guys like Mbye, Nofo, Jimmy Jet, Musgrove, Chee Kam, BJ, Packer have net negative output.

I think the fix is less obvious - get in more experienced heads, or be patient and try to get the kids confident to be performing to a more consistent level in difficult matches.

_______________________________________________________________________________________________

Tigers players over 45 maches: Twal (82), Mikaele (54), Liddle (57), Luch (79), Garner (54), Douiehi (64), MCK (88).
Total = 7
Over 100: Tamou (284), Jet (162), Packer (184), Ofa (123), Nofo (155), Mbye (150), Maumolo (108), BJ (225), Brooks (164),
Total = 9

Who in the >100 club is playing well? As I said Tamou is OK 6/10, Ofa I think 7/10, Brooks 7.5/10, rest hopeless - that’s coming on 1000 games of experience with poor 2021 output. Maumolo gets a pass because he’s just arrived.

The 50+ match club haven’t really kicked on - Twal is alright, Mikaele inconsistent, Liddle has only recently strung matches together. Luch is our best attacker and worst defender, Garner is middling (how did he already get to 54 matches?), Douiehi good, MCK career benchie.

So Madge not getting output from these experienced players. They are the backbone of the side. He inherited almost all of them, but you would also hope he could coach a good number of them to play to their best ability.

However I’ll argue that the “best” output of these 50+ match players has never really been that good. Guys like Mikaele, Garner, MCK, Packer, their career-best football has been short-lived, a year at most, so it can’t only be Madge as a coach. E.g. you’d hope Madge could get the best out of Luch, and for a good while that has been the case, but also St George didn’t let him go because he was an easy player to get results out of.

Barely any of the experienced players are hand-selected juniors - they are almost entirely cast-offs and some-risk players that Tigers hope to turn around. Brooks is one, Twal arguably was poached, so was Luch. The rest were basically released / unwanted by former clubs. I don’t know if that is specifically on Madge, that his most experienced players could only be bought off clubs that didn’t want them any longer, and he doesn’t have a core of experienced club juniors.

By comparison to Melbourne Storm, best team going around.

Storm 2021 players over 45 matches: Hughes (75), Jacks (48), G Jennings (49), Kamikamica (49), Olam (54), Cheese (78), Reimis Smith (65), Paps (48).
Total = 8
Over 100: JAC (121), NAS (138), J Bromwich (266), K Bromwich (184), Finucane (212), Kaufusi (146), Munster (144), Welch (110).
Total = 8

Of the +100 club, 6/8 were Melbourne Storm junior selections, 2 were head-hunted from other clubs. Of the ~50s, about half are juniors/debutants, 1 head-hunted (Paps).

Of the +100 players, 100% are rep players. So Bellamy is getting very good value out of his experience, and his highest paid / most experienced players are also the best performers.

So is that entirely the coach, or does he have some luxury of having head-hunted or junior-base players forming the core of his experienced group? Aren’t many rejects from other clubs there, although of course you take into account that Storm are so successful they don’t really need to look at rejects.

Storm’s junior players also have been able to wait patiently and come through a successful system, mentored by experienced rep-level players (in some cases, hall-of-fame players).

Whether or not Madge has the skills, he doesn’t have the luxury of that back-history that the Storm have, both in terms of smart long-term recruitment, junior development in a successful environment, no need to sign rejects, top-level experienced players whose best football is elite-level. Madge’s most experienced players have almost never been elite-level, not under any coach or any club.

Now Bellamy developed all that himself, so you can’t wipe it aside as being an achievement. BUT, when Bellamy joined Storm had played finals 3 times already, missed it twice (years before him), were being bankrolled by News Ltd, not allowed to fail/linger due to NRL multi-city strategy. Bellamy inherited Matt Orford, Billy Slater, Cam Smith, Scott Hill, Rodney Howe, Matt Geyer, Robbie Kearns, Stephen Kearney.

A year later he had Cronk, a year later Inglis - they were both already in the Norths Devils system (Storm feeder) when Bellamy arrived. Any of these named Storm players have played at a high level at other clubs too, so it’s not just the coach, they are inherently good in other systems.

And within 8 seasons, Bellyache’s side were done for systematic salary cap cheating, which tells you after his first several seasons, they conspired to set up and retain an illegal level of players, to either hold onto experienced elites or experienced juniors, i.e. keep the leadership whilst not losing the new rep-quality juniors.

This isn’t to defend Madge, just contrasting the rosters and where the rosters came from.
A really comprehensive post. Really could not agree more on the experienced players not doing enough

I think someone at WT needs to take your list of players and games and break it down even further from a statistical standpoint to confirm why we are struggling.

Your reference to Melbourne and Belamy reminded me of this metric which it seems the storm heavily rely on
1626233613578.png
you can read more about that here


and here


Without having access to any data my suspicion is that our only players with positive work rate marker ratings might be Twal and Seyfarth. These two are the only ones that seem to rank in any involvement % stats on Rugby League Eye Test.

Maybe there are other views on this and maybe work rate does not co-relate to win rate?
 

Tigerm

Coach
Messages
11,037
The run home for the maybe's?

St. George Illawarra Dragons​

7th. 18pts. -24​

  • Round 19: Titans (H)
  • Round 20: Rabbitohs (H)
  • Round 21: Raiders (A)
  • Round 22: Panthers (H)
  • Round 23: Roosters (H)
  • Round 24: Cowboys (H)
  • Round 25: Rabbitohs (A)
The Dragons’ first season under the tutelage of Anthony Griffin has been an inconsistent one, but they have exceeded expectations.

Untimely injuries and suspensions have not made things easy, but disappointing losses to the Bulldogs, Tigers, Warriors and Sharks could well hurt them come season’s end.

Still have a few weeks of suspension interruptions as players pay the penalty for a COVID breach and face a tough run home that features clashes with the Panthers, Roosters and Rabbitohs twice.

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks​

8th. 16pts. -60​

  • Round 19: Bulldogs (A)
  • Round 20: Sea Eagles (H)
  • Round 21: Warriors (A)
  • Round 22: Knights (H)
  • Round 23: Tigers (A)
  • Round 24: Broncos (H)
  • Round 25: Storm (H)
The Sharks are another side that have put a slow start behind them and now have their eyes on the finals.

Clinging to the edge of the eight, the Sharks missed a huge opportunity to put a gap in the bottom half of the draw when they went down to the Raiders in round 18.


They still have a very favourable run home, with just two of their final seven matches against current top-eight teams and three games against sides sitting in the bottom three.

Canberra Raiders​

9th. 16pts. -74​

  • Round 19: Eels (A)
  • Round 20: Knights (A)
  • Round 21: Dragons (H)
  • Round 22: Storm (A)
  • Round 23: Sea Eagles (H)
  • Round 24: Warriors (A)
  • Round 25: Roosters (H)
Consecutive wins over Manly and Cronulla draws them level with the eighth-placed Sharks on points.

The Raiders have endured a frustrating season, with much of the mojo that got them to a grand final two years ago appearing to have worn off with just five wins in the first 16 rounds.

Five of their final seven games come against current top-eight sides, including away clashes against Parramatta and Melbourne.


Newcastle Knights​

10th. 16pts. -137​

  • Round 19: Roosters (A)
  • Round 20: Raiders (H)
  • Round 21: Broncos (H)
  • Round 22: Sharks (A)
  • Round 23: Bulldogs (A)
  • Round 24: Titans (H)
  • Round 25: Broncos (A)
Their confidence and differential each took a big hit at the hands of a ruthless Melbourne in a tough round 18 but they are still level with eighth-placed Cronulla on points.

Tyson Frizell is back but Kalyn Ponga, David Klemmer, Mitch Pearce and Dan Saifiti were missed against the Storm.

The draw is quite kind to them for the run home, with meetings against the Broncos twice, as well as the Titans and Bulldogs on the menu.

Gold Coast Titans​

11th. 14pts. -74​

  • Round 19: Dragons (A)
  • Round 20: Bulldogs (A)
  • Round 21: Cowboys (H)
  • Round 22: Rabbitohs (A)
  • Round 23: Storm (H)
  • Round 24: Knights (A)
  • Round 25: Warriors (H)
It's one step forward and two steps back for the Titans, who were outplayed by the Eels in round 18 to keep them a win adrift of the finals zone.

They still sit just two points outside the eight though and the run home provides the Titans with an opportunity to jump up the standings, with four of their seven remaining games coming against sides around them on the ladder.

Wests Tigers​

12th. 14pts. -130​

  • Round 19: Sea Eagles (A)
  • Round 20: Warriors (H)
  • Round 21: Bulldogs (A)
  • Round 22: Cowboys (A)
  • Round 23: Sharks (H)
  • Round 24: Panthers (A)
  • Round 25: Bulldogs (H)

Climbed two ladder spots in round 18 with an impressive win over Brisbane sparked by Adam Doueihi's return to the halves to snap a three-game losing streak.

Remarkably still just a win outside the eight, further clashes against the Bulldogs (twice), Broncos again plus Warriors and Cowboys will keep Tigers' fans dreams alive for now.
 

Tigerm

Coach
Messages
11,037

Chemist Warehouse Injury Report: Round 20​

AuthorDan TalintyreTimestampMon 26 Jul 2021, 03:30 PM

Wests Tigers can provide the following Chemist Warehouse Injury Report ahead of the club's Round 20 clash against the New Zealand Warriors this Friday at Suncorp Stadium.
After picking up injuries in last week's loss to the Sea Eagles, both Luke Garner (ankle) and Alex Seyfarth (knee) are set to the sidelined for an extended period of time with the pair requiring further attention to their injuries.

Garner has suffered a syndesmosis injury and will undergo an additional assessment this week while Seyfarth has sustained a high-grade injury to his medial collateral ligament — also ruling him out for several weeks.
Both players will be sidelined for an indefinite period of time as the club continues to monitor their recovery in the coming weeks.
 

Tigerm

Coach
Messages
11,037
Interesting, we get a wrap from a journo?

Paul Kent: Wests Tigers’ rebuild taking shape, if club holds its nerve over Michael Maguire

After finally committing to a way out of a decade-long cycle of failure, Wests Tigers must fight calls that will send them spiralling back into the rugby league abyss, PAUL KENT writes.

Paul Kent
News Corp Australia Sports Newsroom
JULY 26, 20215:20PM

The ammunition against Michael Maguire is overly simplistic, but effective.

It seems to be a campaign driven by out-of-work coaches and their future assistants happy to aggravate the job market.

Little attention is paid to what Maguire is doing to clean up the problem at Wests Tigers, which was always the business someone was going to have to do eventually and which was always going to come with some skin lost, no matter who it was.

And it had to come at some point.

For too long the coaches at Wests spent their salary cap with wild indifference to the problems they were creating; namely, caps can be stretched only so much before they burst.

Too many treated the cap like a Ponzi scheme. Buy now, leave the consequence for whomever comes next.

It happened in the interest of short-term job security.

Maguire arrived in town for the long haul, knowing the problems he was inheriting but, still, as he goes about his business out-of-work coaches and their future assistants, at the cost of a phone call, continue to agitate for change.

The subtext goes that only they can fix the problem, without full disclosure that Maguire has finally turned the club in the right direction.

The problem for too long was that the Tigers’ management was unsure itself what success looked like so, unwittingly, they listened to outside voices, wondering if there was a better way.

So they continued to treat the symptom, not the cause.

The knock on Maguire came again over the weekend.

Dale Finucane signed with Cronulla after the Tigers came in with an 11th hour offer Friday. It was portrayed in some quarters that Finucane knocked back the Tigers to sign with Cronulla because he did not want to play under Maguire at the Tigers.

This happened after Tevita Pangai signed with Canterbury last week despite a bigger offer from the Tigers because, it went again, Pangai did not want to play under Maguire.

If only it were that simple.

There was no four-year deal to the Tigers for Finucane.

The Tigers offered a two-year deal with the third season in their favour.

Their reasoning was simple. The Tigers were only just coming out of a cycle where long-term deals, all well above market value, crippled the club and there was no appetite to begin the cycle again, no matter how good Finucane might be.

The Tigers also quietly dropped off Pangai after running a couple of character checks on him, which uncovered the same reasons the Broncos were happy to release Pangai immediately but declined Melbourne’s request to release Xavier Coates immediately.

What is being refused to be recognised at Wests is the job the club is doing in regard to the salary cap, and finally getting in order, but also the drive to develop elite junior pathways which has for too long been ignored.

Recruitment is essential at every club, and all the very best clubs realise it.

Without good young players coming through clubs are forced to always go to market, and invariably must pay overs to recruit outside talent.

Wests have done this for far too long.

Development allows clubs to grow from within, and always offers several good years where young players are cheap at the price.

The Tigers dropped off their development many years ago when the club suffered a critical lack of nerve and the coaches, and here it probably began in the final years of Tim Sheens’ tenure, saw no choice but to coach for the immediate future to guarantee their job security.

So they kept going for the sugar hits, the quick fixes, and it came at the cost of long-term development.

All the good clubs realise now the benefit of strong, and honest, junior programs.

Penrith has long been regarded as the junior template, but it took five or six frustrating years to get this current squad in the shape it is in now, which can win a premiership.

Manly has got its pathways in order in recent years and is showing the benefits this season. The Sea Eagles were widely criticised when they scouted wide, recruiting Blacktown as its feeder club, but the emergence of a stack of young stars this season has shown the intelligence in that decision.

The Roosters often get criticised for failing to develop their own but this is an old stereotype, the Roosters having long taken over the Central Coast juniors and poured plenty of effort into them.

Their success came on the back of Boyd Cordner, Jake Friend, Latrell Mitchell, and many others, which continues today, being contracted at young ages so they could be coached in the Roosters way of football, through the important years of their development.

Then, when it was time for the icing, the Roosters signed James Tedesco and Cooper Cronk to finish off their list.

Melbourne began with a similar model all the way back in Craig Bellamy’s early years and now reap the annual benefits of maintaining discipline and control of their cap.

So much the Storm were comfortable to offer Finucane under market price, which was really more a symbolic gesture more than a genuine attempt to retain him, because the club was in control of its salary cap and already has somebody trained to replace him.

This has long been the Storm way, comfortable losing one at the top because they already have identified the next young one coming through.

Cameron Smith goes out, Harry Grant is ready to step in. Billy Slater retires, Ryan Papenhuyzen steps in.

It is the natural order until clubs bend their salary cap out of shape.

It is a lesson the Tigers are also finally disciplining themselves to adhere to, despite the outside noise.

Already rivals have recognised the early shoots of development, which will only strengthen now the Tigers are exercising discipline, which will be stronger again next year.

The way forward is north.
 

BrotherJim05

Bench
Messages
3,453
It's nice reading an article by someone who is an actual journalist. I've always respected Kenty...can be annoying sometimes but I respect him as a journalist and generally I agree with him.

There really are a lot of similarities between us and the Panthers 10 years ago. They struggled to recruit big players, and any that they did were signed on overs and didn't contribute enough to winning games. Cleary had them competitive for a short while, but overall they were a mess. They were forced to sign a hard nosed coach that concentrated on developing juniors while getting flogged most weeks. They built a state of the art training facility and kicked their junior development into overdrive. Eventually they got to a point where they could recruit a couple of older heads that complemented the young side and they became a very competitive side. Eventually the young guns started outperforming the older heads by unfathomably margins and got to the point they are at now where their headaches will be around retention rather than recruitment...a good problem to have.

If there are any similarities to Wests Tigers, then we are way back in the part of the story somewhere between signing a hard nosed coach and building a state of the art training facility. We have a long way to go but I want to see this to the end with Madge as the head coach.
 

stryker

First Grade
Messages
5,277
That should see the season complete.
Another disastrous campaign.
Congratulations Wests Tigers
 

Tigerm

Coach
Messages
11,037
We should expect a signing (or more likely an upgrade) today, to get us to our 30 member squad?
 

Tigerm

Coach
Messages
11,037

Kevin Walters claims Brisbane would have made NRL finals if Kotoni Staggs was available.​


This is a similar problem to us IMO, we are a gun player (a back) short of being a competitive team and I can't understand why the club doesn't see it?

Manly has it in Turbo, is a great example?

In previous years, we probably didn't have the cash, but now we are awash with it. We've had signing opportunities, but it appears we have a player value which we won't go over. It's not working? It needs to be reviewed.

I'm not thinking a Bulldogs buying spree (we've been there and done that), but the developing kids, just aren't the answer for now?
 

Tiger05

First Grade
Messages
9,764
we are a gun player (a back) short of being a competitive team

The club knows it. We need one top talent. The club went after Latrell. He is one of those talents.

I think the only way we get one of those talents is via junior development players. Stef is like that. He is quality. It's just that props don't have the same impact as players like Latrell, Staggs or Turbo.
 

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