Perth Red
Post Whore
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Wouldn't work, for several reasons. The Broncos worked in Brisbane because most Brisbanites hate Sydney far more than they hated the rivals to their old Brisbane team. The reverse is true in Sydney. For most Sydney fans, the hatred of rival clubs is stronger than their interstate hatred. Tigers-Wests only worked because both teams were on death's door at the time. Even now, despite a Premiership, the partnership is uneasy one. Saints-Illawarra worked because of Illawarra being a much younger club, Saints having strong historical links with the South Coast, and Saints dominating the partnership.
Also the mathematical relationships between crowd numbers, population, and number of teams is not linear. Also ground size. You don't halve the teams and suddenly double crowds.
agree whole heartedly with the tribalism argument and the historical context of family attachment to a club (though it seems less these days with plenty of families in crowds all wearing different jerseys, especially the kids who are more likely to chose a team based on what their mates are doing at school or a superstar player they idolise rather than who there dad follows, such is Geni!). The NRL and clubs have barely scratched the surface of how to grow crowds from their current static avg of around 12-17k in Sydney depending on weather and form and opposition. The outlying clubs are going to be the hardest to grow for a variety of reasons and i guess commercial reality and NRL tolerance will be deciding factors on their long term viability. Penrith, Manly and Cronulla all suffer similair issues in growing their fanbases. AFL has been able to sustain a larger than normal amount of clubs in melbourne and to a lessor degree soccer in London so no reason the NRL can't if it can get its act together.
The recent grant increase and committment to differing level of NRL funding based on need will see clubs safe for now and give them some breathing space to try and grow their crowds.
If and when the one team city clubs mushroom and leave the smaller suburban clubs behind will be the telling time, but that is a long way away and may never happen.